Sunday, June 8, 2014

The Stock Market Can Be Beaten

In 1992, during the CNBC/USA Today's National Investment Challenge, I used the most aggressive options strategy and parleyed $500,000 to over $6,000,000 in the course of 3 months. The gain was 1125% and I won the professional options division contest. But that's simulated money and my reward money was only $10,000.

22 years later, trying to have fun after retirement,  I decided to test the same options strategy with real money. The goal is to match or better Larry William's (or was it somebody else) who started with $5,000 and turn it into $1 million by trading futures in a year and that's equal to 19000% annual return on the initial capital. In this challenge, instead of using futures I would trade options and individual stocks.

I funded the account with $6000 near the end of March 2014 and as of today (June 6, 2014) net realized gain is $582,177 which translates into 9600% gain in  the last 2 1/2 months.  I traded 43 times during the period which includes TZA options, varies stock options and varies stocks. I have 75% of the trades were winning trades. However, most of the gains were from TZA put and call options. I traded TZA options 23 times within this period and only 2 of the trades were losing trades. So the winning percentage for TZA trades were 91%.

These have been an amazing 2 1/2 months. At first, I thought I got lucky. But then it couldn't have been because I traded 43 times and 91% accuracy on timing the TZA which is an ETF tracking the Russell 2000 index. And besides I always have been confident in my market timing. But then before these all happened I had a dream in which I had both hands full of bird eggs of different colors and I looked up the Chinese dream analysis on the web and it meant I have a fortune coming.  So I now think it's because of fate, luck and skill combined for the great result. Any way , a 9600% return on capital in 2 1/2 months is a crazy return I haven't heard of until now and the public ought to be told. With this kind of progress, I may be able to reach my 1 million target by August sometime.

I declared I have the market beaten at least for the last 2 1/2 months. I want to brag about it now when I still can before the market opens next week. So I am also telling you novice trader out there, there is hope in trading.  The following are the results:

 Realized Gains/ Losses:















Account Value Graph:









CNBC/USA Today National Investment Challenge Article:























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