Friday, June 25, 2021

Why Buy FTCV 买FTCV的理由

FinTech Acquisition Corp. V (FTCV $12.38)   focuses on effecting a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination, with one or more businesses. The company was founded in 2019 and is based in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. 

FTCV and eToro announced on March16,2021 that they have entered into a definitive business combination agreement. Upon closing of the transaction, the combined company will operate as eToro Group Ltd. and is expected to be listed on NASDAQ. On June 2, 2021, eToro filed registration statement with US Securities and Exchanges Commission relating to its previous announcement to combine with FTCV.  If things goes well, the combination between the two companies will complete some time in the 3rd quarter. 

eToro is a global community of more than 20 million registered users who share their investment strategies; and anyone can follow the approaches of those who have been the most successful. Due to the simplicity of the platform users can easily buy, hold and sell assets, monitor their portfolio in real time, and transact whenever they want. eToro trading platform allows investors buy and sell stocks and cryptocurrencies. 

Followings are positives for FTCV:

1. FTCV merging with eToro is drawing close, 3rd quarter is just around the corner.

2.  eToro expected to have an estimated implied equity value of approximately $10.4 billion while market cap for FTCV is only around  $430M as of 06/25/2021. FTCV price will likely get a big boost after merging.

3.  eToro is becoming a popular platform for trading stocks and the fast growing crypto currencies. It offers a unique feature of allowing investors to piggyback winning traders's trades. Its CEO projects $1B revenue in 2021.

4. For the last 6 months, insider buying of FTCV has increased by 350%. For the last 3 months institution buying of FTCV has increased by 105%. These two type of knowledgeable people are getting ready. 

5. FTCV has an up trending chart. It is forming a bullish Cup and Handle pattern and is ready to breakout. Once it breaks above $12.5, it will likely go up and challenge its all time high at $15.70 and would be much higher when the merger is completed.

6. eToro is in the same business as Robinhood. Robinhood IPO has been the talk of the market. If it happened that Robinhood IPO comes out before eToro, FTCV price should also rise.

7. FTCV has been rising on crypto currencies down turn, it's relative stronger then Bitcoin and Ehereum's performances.







FinTech Acquisition Corp. V (FTCV $12.38) 专注于与一个或多个企业进行合并、资本证券交易所、资产收购、股票购买、重组或类似的业务合并。该公司成立于 2019 年,总部位于宾夕法尼亚州费城。

FTCV 和 eToro 于 2021 年 3 月 16 日宣布,他们已达成最终的业务合并协议。交易完成后,合并后的公司将以eToro Group Ltd. 运营,预计将在纳斯达克上市。 2021 年 6 月 2 日,eToro 向美国证券交易委员会提交了关于其先前宣布与 FTCV 合并的注册声明。如果进展顺利,两家公司的合并将在第三季度完成。

eToro 是一个拥有超过 2000 万注册用户的全球社区,他们分享他们的投资策略;任何人都可以效仿那些最成功者的方法。由于平台的简单性,用户可以轻松地购买、持有和出售资产,实时监控他们的投资组合,并随时随地进行交易。 eToro 交易平台允许投资者买卖股票和加密货币。


以下是 FTCV 的看涨因素:

1. FTCV 与 eToro 的合并已接近尾声,第三季度即将到来。

2. 截至 2021 年 6 月 25 日,eToro 的估计隐含股权价值约为 104 亿美元,而 FTCV 的市值仅为 4.3 亿美元左右。合并后FTCV价格会得到很大提升。

3. eToro 正在成为交易股票和快速增长的加密货币的流行平台。它提供了一个独特的功能,允许投资者跟随表现好的交易者的交易。其首席执行官预计 2021 年的收入为 10亿美元。

4. 过去 6 个月,FTCV 的内幕人士买股增加了 350%。过去 3 个月,机构对 FTCV 的购买增加了 105%。这两类有识人士已在积极入市。

5. FTCV 有上升趋势图。它正在形成看涨的杯状形态,并准备突破。一旦突破 12.5 美元,它很可能会上涨并挑战历史高点 15.70 美元,并且在合并完成后股价会更高。

6. eToro 与 Robinhood 的业务相同。 Robinhood IPO 一直是市场的热门话题。 如果碰巧在 eToro 之前 Robinhood IPO 上市,FTCV 价格也应该跟随上涨。

7. FTCV 一直在上升尽管加密货币都在下跌,它的表现相对强于比特币和以太币。




Wednesday, June 23, 2021

I Like Bitcoin But It Need To Go Down More 我喜欢比特币但它还会跌多些

 Since all time high $64895 made on April 14, 2021, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) dropped $36035 (-56%) to June 22 low $28860. It then reversed up sharply overnight to as high as $35000. It formed a bullish tail reversal  yesterday. However, it has not follow through to day with more upside action. I usually like long tail reversal, however I don't like this one. The trading volume was only 995K, and it dropped only around $4000 before reversal, I have hoped that it will drop $10000, reverse, with volume over 3 million. So, this means sellers have not been fully washed out, they are going to come back and sell again. 

Technically, for the last half year, Bitcoin has formed a very bearish Head and Shoulder Pattern. The $30000 level is the the neckline of this pattern and it is also a very good support level. However, with this level being pounded multiple times (at least 4 times in the last 1 month), this support is getting weaker, it looks destine to be broken to complete the Head and Should Pattern. Once $30000 is broken, it is likely to come down to a support band between $17000 to $20000. It would a 69% retracement from all time high if it drops down to $20000, and would be a 74% drop form all time high if it drops to $17000. Is this scary, yes it is. But you probably feel better if you remember it dropped 84% from top during the crash of 2018. We need to learn to live with the volatility of bitcoin.

People have also focused on Bitcoin's Death Cross formation (50DMA crosses 200 DMA). Many times Death Cross is not that scary, since moving averages are lack behind indicators, by the time they crosses the downside may have ran its course. But this time may be different, since the event is accompanied by  an incomplete Head and Shoulder Pattern. 

So be prepare for more downside, but get ready to buy when it drops near $20000. Bitcoin is going to come back much stronger.









自 2021 年 4 月 14 日创下 64895 美元的历史新高以来,至 6 月 22 日的低点 28860 美元, 比特币(BTC/USD)下跌反转。然而,它并没有带来更多的上行行动。我通都常喜欢长尾反转,但我不喜欢这次的反转。因为成交量只有99.5万,反转前只跌了4000左右,我的希望是下跌1万,反转,成交量超过300万。所以,这次下跌意味着卖家还没有完全被清洗,他们会再次回来抛售。

从技术上讲,在过去的半年里,比特币已经形成了一个非常看跌的头肩顶形态。 30000 美元的水平是该形态的颈线,也是一个非常好的支撑位。然而,随着这个水平被多次冲击(过去 1 个月至少有 4 次),这个支撑会越来越弱,看起来它注定要被击穿以完成头肩顶形态。一旦跌穿 30000 美元,它很可能会下降到 17000 美元至 20000 美元之间的支撑带。如果它跌至 20000 美元,将是从历史高点回撤 69%,下跌至$17000则是从历史高点下跌 74%。这可怕吗,是的,是可怕。不过如果你记得它在 2018 年崩盘期间从顶部下跌了 84%,你可能会感觉好些。我们需要学会习惯比特币的大幅波动。

人们还关注比特币的死亡交叉指标的形成(50DMA 向下交叉 200 DMA)。很多时候死亡交叉并不那么可怕,因为移动平均线是堕后的指标,当它们交叉时可能下行已经走到了尽头了。但这次可能不同,因为事件伴随着还没完成的头肩形顶形态。

所以要为比特币更多的下跌做好准备,但准备在价格跌至 20000 美元附近时买入。到时比特币会以更强劲的姿态上扬。






Wednesday, June 16, 2021

Last Minute Analysis On Market Direction市场方向的最后一分钟分析

The Federal Reserve is going to announce monetary policy in less than 1/2 hour at 11 AM Pacific Time. Most people expect the Fed to stay dovish. But how dovish can it be since it has been dovish for a long time. So even if it stay dovish it is not likely to help the market since it has been reacting to the dovishness for a long time already.The danger with the stock market is that major market indexes are near all time high and they have not been discounting rising inflation yet. Sell on dovish news may be the reaction. On the other hand, inflation has been surging in the past 3 months, the Fed is being pressured to response by reducing bond buying. Any slight tilt towards tightening is a negative for the stock market since it indicates Fed policy is changing.  I would think the odd favors a down market regardless of Fed decision. It is my gut feel as a trader only. 




美联储将在太平洋时间上午 11 点不到 半小时内宣布货币政策。 大多数人预计美联储将保持鸽派言论。 可是宽松政策已实行很久了,能再有多宽松? 因此,即使它保持宽松,也不太可能对市场有所帮助,因为市场已经因为宽松而上升了很久了。现在股市的危险在于,主要市场指数处于历史高位附近,并且没有对 通胀负面反映过。 所以保持鸽派的消息出来后可能的是反应下跌。 另一方面,过去 3 个月通胀一直在飙升,美联储正被迫做出回应的压力很大。 任何收紧政策的轻微倾向都对股市不利,因为这表明美联储政策正在发生变化。 我认为无论美联储的决定如何,对市场来说都是双输的局面。 这只是我作为交易者的直觉。

Stock, ETF, Options And Cryptocurrency Trading Class 股票、ETF、期权和加密货币交易课程

Mandarin/Cantonese 8 half-day weekend Stock, ETF, Options and Cryptocurrency trading class to start Saturday July 17,2021 in Burlingame, San Francisco Bay Area. Registration telephone is 650 808 8888. Detail information below:

普通话/粤语为期 8 天的周末股票、ETF、期权和加密货币交易课程将于 2021 年 7 月 17 日星期六在旧金山湾区 Burlingame 开始。 注册电话为650 808 8888。详细信息如下:









Translation results通话/粤语为期 8 天的周末股票、ETF、期权和加密货币交易课程将于 2021 年 7 月 17 日星期六在旧金山湾区 Burlingame 开始。 注册电话为650 808 8888。详细信息如下:




Tuesday, June 15, 2021

More Bullish News For Bitcoin 更多对比特币有利的消息

。Bitcoin (BTC) finally moved past its crucial resistance of $40,000 levels and is currently trading 2.39% up at a price of $40,350 with a market cap of over $750 billion. As per the on-chain data provider, the Bitcoin price hit its 3- week high and a recent push above $40,000 with a massive exchange outflow. The Bitcoin exchange flow balance turning negative on Monday was certainly a bullish indicator for the world's largest cryptocurrency.Bitcoin has been showing bullish momentum over the last few days making investors and analysts hopeful of its journey to the north. Besides, El Salvador making Bitcoin a legal tender has caused a major buzz with more Latin American countries showing interest in joining the bandwagon.---Coingape.com 06/15/2021

。A new survey of 100 chief financial officers at hedge funds worldwide has indicated that the sector is planning a significant increase in its exposure to crypto assets in the near term. The survey, conducted by Intertrust, suggests that if the respondents' forecasts were broadly mirrored across the sector, assets in crypto held by global hedge funds could hit $312 billion. United States-based funds were most bullish about the new asset class, expecting to raise their portfolio exposure to crypto to 10.6% on average within five years. Their European Union- and United Kingdom-based counterparts gave a slightly more modest figure, although still significant: 6.8% on average.High-profile hedge fund managers such as Paul Tudor Jones have been vocal advocates of Bitcoin (BTC) amid concerns about inflationary tendencies in the economy. SkyBridge Capital CEO Anthony Scaramucci takes a similar view of Bitcoin's potential as a store of value, considering it superior to gold.---Cointelegraph.com 06/15/2021

。After hitting its lowest in more than a year in recent week, Bitcoin Fear & Greed has rebounded to 38/100 — approaching neutral territory. (Blogger note:It was at an extreme oversold level 10 in May, Bitcoin has likely bottomed out). ---Cointelegraph.com 06/15/2021




。The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) seems to have no plans of regulating Bitcoin and the crypto market this year. The 2021 Regulatory Agenda released by the top regulatory body has left out any mention of Bitcoin or crypto assets. Regulatory policymakers have continued their passive stance towards Bitcoin and other crypto assets, despite major banking giants including JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, and many others started offering Bitcoin exposure amid growing clients demand.The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision decided to recognize Bitcoin as an asset class but proposed a risk weightage of 1,250%. It means banks willing to offer Bitcoin services would be required to hold cash equivalent as per the risk weightage. ---Coingape.com 06/15/2021

。The Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov talked about the future importance of cryptocurrencies as an international settlements layer at the Primakov Readings Forum. Lavrov referred to these assets as having a “significant role” in the future. Russia has been striving to de-dollarize some of its activities, and this statement might offer a glimpse into future plans.---Bitcoin.com




。比特币 (BTC) 终于突破了 40,000 美元的关键阻力位,目前以 40,350 美元的价格上涨 2.39%,市值超过 7500 亿美元。根据链上数据提供商的说法,比特币价格创下 3 周高点,最近因有大量交易所流出而突破 40,000 美元。周一比特币交易流平衡转为负数无疑是世界上最大的加密货币的看涨指标。比特币在过去几天一直显示出看涨势头,这让投资者和分析师对其向上的旅程充满希望。此外,萨尔瓦多(El Salvador) 使比特币成为法定货币引起了轰动,更多拉丁美洲国家表示有兴趣加入这一潮流。---Coingape.com 06/15/2021

。一项针对全球 100 名对冲基金首席财务官的新调查表明,该行业计划在短期内大幅增加其对加密资产的参与。这项由 Intertrust 进行的调查表明,如果受访者的预测在整个行业得到广泛反映,全球对冲基金持有的加密资产可能达到 3120 亿美元。总部位于美国的基金最看好新资产类别,预计在五年内将其投资组合对加密的平均敞口提高至 10.6%。他们在欧盟和英国的同行给出了一个稍微温和的数字,尽管仍然很显着:平均 6.8%。 保罗·都铎·琼斯 (Paul Tudor Jones) 等知名对冲基金经理在担心通货膨胀的情况下一直大力倡导比特币 (BTC)经济的趋势。 SkyBridge Capital 首席执行官 Anthony Scaramucci 对比特币作为价值存储的潜力持有类似的看法,认为它优于黄金。---Cointelegraph.com 06/15/2021

。在最近一周触及一年多以来的最低点后,比特币恐惧与贪婪指标已反弹至 38/100——接近中性区域。 (博主注:5 月份处于极端超卖水平 10,比特币可能已经触底弹)。 ---Cointelegraph.com 06/15/2021



。美国证券交易委员会(SEC)今年似乎没有监管比特币和加密市场的计划。最高监管机构发布的 2021 年监管议程没有提及比特币或加密资产。尽管摩根大通、摩根士丹利等主要银行业巨头在客户需求不断增长的情况下开始提供比特币参与,但监管政策制定者继续对比特币和其他加密资产采取被动立场。巴塞尔银行监管委员会决定承认比特币为资产类,但建议风险权重为 1,250%。这意味着愿意提供比特币服务的银行将需要根据风险权重持有现金等价物。 ---Coingape.com 06/15/2021

。俄罗斯外交部长谢尔盖拉夫罗夫在普里马科夫阅读论坛上谈到了加密货币作为国际结算层的未来重要性。拉夫罗夫称这些资产在未来具有“重要作用”。俄罗斯一直在努力将其一些活动去美元化,这一声明可能会提供对未来计划的一瞥。---Bitcoin.com 06/15/2021

6 Charts Warn Market Top 预警市场见顶的6个图表



Equity Put/Call ratio near extreme low level which indicates investors are too aggressive in betting the market up. This usually happens when market is ready to turn down.




Transportation index broke below 20 and 50 day moving averages, its trend is now down. Historically, transportation index leads Dow Jones Industrial Index in trend.




The tech heavy Nasdaq Composite is making a very bearish Triple Top pattern.



Volatility Index ($VIX) is at extreme low level.  sentiment is too bullish to sustain. Stock market could turn down at any moment.




S&P 500 PE is now at 39, 3rd highest in history. It may start to normalize. Normal PE is around 15.




The S&P 500 has surged 94% since March 2020 low. It has gone up too much too fast and is hard to see  much room to go up.











股票看跌/看涨期权比率在极低水平,表明投资者押注市场上升过于激进。 这通常发生在市场准备下跌时。


运输指数跌破20日和50日均线,目前呈下跌趋势。历史上,运输指数在趋势上通常领先道琼斯工业指数。



科技股含量高的纳斯达克综合指数正在形成非常看跌的三重顶形态。



波动率指数($VIX)处于极低水平。 情绪过于乐观,将无法维持。 股市随时可能下跌。




标准普尔 500 指数 PE 现在是 39,是历史上第三高。 它可能会开始正常化。 正常PE在15左右。




自 2020 年 3 月的低点以来,标准普尔 500 指数已飙升 94%。 它上升得太多太快了,很难有太多的上升空间。




Monday, June 14, 2021

It's Time To Buy Bitcoin Again 又是买比特币的时候了

Due to Elon Musk's tweet of possible resume accepting Bitcoin for car purchasing and MicroStrategy announces ready to spend $1.5 B to buy Bitcoin, Bitcoin rallied strongly in the last two days. After Bitcoin finding support multiple times at the $30000 level, Bitcoin has surged nearly 30% since June 8 to over $40000 today. If the $40000 level holds, the next two levels of resistances will be $42000 and $45000. After dropping 54% from its top of around $65000, Bitcoin is too cheap to ignore and has created a great buying opportunity. Analysts are still targeting $100,000 by year end and $85000 in the next few months. The vast adoption of bitcoin makes it an investment for the future. It is a good long term investment. On the other hand Bitcoin's high volatility is definitely the paradise for short term traders. 




 Followings are some latest news on Bitcoin: 

 。Elon Musk’s tweet — that said Tesla would accept bitcoin again if the energy used to process transactions was at least 50% renewables — lifted bitcoin’s (BTC) price over 9% as the crypto asset neared the $40K range again. ---Bitcoin.com 

 。Musk has a huge impact on the adoption side, first he said Tesla would accept Bitcoin as a payment implying it is a “currency,” then said he is not sure and today he again hinted at using it as a form of payment.” El Erian,Allianz Chief Economic Advisor said.---Coingape.com 

。MicroStrategy (MSTR)is preparing to buy up to $488 million in bitcoin (BTC, +13.64%) with the proceeds of a $500 million bond sale it just completed, the company said Monday. ---Coindesk.com 

。Microstrategy  files for an at-the-market equity offering of up to $1B (right after finishing its $500 million bond sales) Monday . Microstrategy owned more than 90K bitcoins prior to the just-closed $500M capital raise. Adding $1B to that $500M would allow the company to buy roughly 37.5K coins at $40K each. To review, only 21M bitcoins will ever be create. ---Seekingalpha.com

 。"Things are absolute bat-shit crazy right now," says hedge-funder Paul Tudor Jones, appearing on CNBC as the FOMC gets set to meet this week. "This is the most important Fed meeting we've had in 5 years." Jones say he'll be watching carefully, and if Fed boss Jay Powell "shrugs off "the perky inflation numbers, that would be a "green light" for heavy bets on every inflation trade. Jones famously went long Bitcoin (BTC-USD) in 2020, and he says he continues to like it as a "portfolio diversifier." He likes a mix of 5% bitcoin, 5% commodities, and 5% cash, but that leaves 85 % that he's unsure of what to do with. "Economic orthodoxy has been turned upside down."  he said.---Seeking Alpha 

 。The Indian government may classify bitcoin as an asset class, industry sources told The New Indian Express, adding that the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) will regulate the cryptocurrency sector. The cryptocurrency regulation bill could be tabled during the monsoon session of the parliament set to begin next month, a source told the Indian publication. Major crypto exchanges like U.S.-based Kraken, Hong Kong-based Bitfinex and rival KuCoin are already scouting for India's entry in hopes that the market will explode once regulatory uncertainty subsides. ---Coindesk.com




由于埃隆马斯克的推文说可能会重新接受比特币购买汽车,并且 MicroStrategy 宣布准备花费 15 亿美元购买比特币,比特币在过去两天强劲上升。 在 30000 美元的水平多次得到支撑后,比特币自 6 月 8 日以来飙升了近 30%,至今天的 40000 美元以上。如果 40000 美元的水平能够维持,那么接下来的两个阻力位将是 42000 美元和 45000 美元。在从 65000 美元左右的顶部下跌 54% 之后,比特币创造了一个很好的买入机会。分析师仍将年底前目标定为10 万美元和未来几个月目标为 8.5 万美元。比特币因受到广泛采用而前景光明,是一个很好的长期持有资产。另一方面,比特币的高波动性绝对是短线交易者的天堂。





 以下是有关比特币的一些最新消息:

 埃隆马斯克的推文——表示如果用于处理交易的能源至少 50% 是可再生能源,特斯拉将再次接受比特币——随着加密资产再次接近 4 万美元的范围,比特币 (BTC) 的价格上涨了 9% 以上。 ---Bitcoin.com

 。马斯克对采用(比特币)方面产生了巨大影响,首先他说特斯拉会接受比特币作为一种支付方式,暗示它是一种“货币”,然后说他不确定,今天他再次暗示使用它作为一种支付方式。”安联首席经济顾问 El Erian 表示。---Coingape.com

。MicroStrategy(MSTR)周一表示, 正准备用其刚刚完成的 5 亿美元债券销售的收益购买高达 4.88 亿美元的比特币。 ---Coindesk.com

。Microstrategy 周一 (继刚刚完成的5亿元债券销售后)提交高达 10亿美元 的市场股票发行文件。在刚刚结束的 5 亿美元融资之前,Microstrategy 已拥有超过 9 万个比特币。 在这 5 亿美元中加上 10亿 美元将使该公司能够以每个 4 万美元的价格购买多大约 3.75 万枚比特币。 回顾一下,比特币只有 2100 万个。 ---Seekingalpha.com

 。 “现在的情况绝对是疯狂的,”对冲基金公司经理保罗·都铎·琼斯说,他出现在 CNBC 上说,因为 FOMC 将于本周开会。 “这是我们 5 年来最重要的美联储会议。”琼斯表示,他将密切关注,如果美联储主席杰伊鲍威尔“对”强劲的通胀数据不屑一顾,那将是对每笔通胀交易进行大量押注的“绿灯”。琼斯在 2020 年以做多比特币而闻名,他说他继续喜欢将其作为“投资组合多元化者”。他喜欢混合 5% 的比特币、5% 的商品和 5% 的现金,但剩下 85% 的他不确定如何处理。 “经济正统观念被颠倒了。” 他说---Seeking Alpha

 。行业消息人士告诉《新印度快报》,印度政府可能将比特币归类为资产类别,并补充说印度证券交易委员会 (SEBI) 将监管加密货币行业。一位消息人士告诉印度出版物,加密货币监管法案可能会在下个月开始的议会季风会议期间提出。美国的 Kraken、香港的 Bitfinex 和竞争对手 KuCoin 等主要加密货币交易所已经在寻找印度的进入机会,希望一旦监管不确定性消退,市场就会爆炸。 ---Coindesk.com





Wednesday, June 9, 2021

How To Trade Meme Stocks 如何操作社交网站传播的模因(MEME)股票

A new way of stock trading was born in recent months, its meme stock trading. Definition of meme:an element of a culture or system of behavior that may be considered to be passed from one individual to another by nongenetic means, especially imitation. A meme stock is a highly shorted stock mentioned in social media and everybody pile in to push the stock higher,even though the reasons cited may be faulty and without any fundamental backings. Besides the well known AMC and GME, thelatest meme stocks are CLOV and WEN. 






ZeroHedge.com described how the pump and dump of a meme stock work as follows:

1) Retail investors ignite the momentum, squeezing shorts out;

2) ...which grabs the attention of institutional/hedge funds, who then deploy leverage to spark the gamma squeeze meltup...

3) ...which further squeezes the shorts out...

4) ...enabling hedgies to implement shorts at much higher prices, slamming the stock lower...

5) ...setting the stage for the next retail-ignited squeeze.

Rinse... Repeat.

Knowing how the pump and dump work from the above Zerohedge.com descriptions, followings are my suggestions of how to trade meme stocks if you have to:

1. Trade them short term (1 or 2 days), don't expect them to be a good long term investment.

2. Know how price chart work: trend, support and resistance. Buy at support, sell at resistance.

3. Always take windfall profits, 50% to 100% move in a day is a lot, don't be greedy, take them.

4. When price chart goes vertical, it's about to fall, get out.

5. When you have significant profit, protect them using sell stop order. When you worry about big loses, use Stock Loss Order for protection.

6. Big price move accompanied with huge volume is a sigh of climatic action, get out because price is ready to turn.

7. Price movement in these stock are usually fast and furious, be fast and decisive in taking profits and cutting losses. It is the ultimate test of trader skill.

8. If you are not watching the market all the time, you are not suitable to trade these kind of stocks.

Following is a list of popular meme stocks watch:












近几个月诞生了一种新的股票交易方式,他是模因(meme)股票交易。模因(meme)的字义是:一种文化或行为系统,可以被认为是通过非遗传方式从一个人传给另一个人的,尤其是模仿。用月股票上,模因(meme) 股票是社交媒体中提到的高卖空率的股票,即使传出的原因可能是错误的并且没有任何基本面支持的,一旦传出后,口口相传,每个人都在最买该股票,价格因而被推高。除了著名的AMC和GME,最新的是CLOV 和 WEN。





ZeroHedge.com 介绍了模因股票如何被推高后被抛售的运作程序如下:

1)散户点燃动力,挤压空头。

2)  这引起了机构/对冲基金的注意,然后他们利用杠杆来引发伽玛挤压式熔升。

3)这进一步挤压了空头。

4) 使对冲者能够以更高的价格实施卖空,从而导致股票下跌。

5)为下一次散户引发的挤压做准备。

洗牌...重复运作。

从上面 Zerohedge.com 的描述中了解了meme股票暴涨和暴跌的工作原理后,如果您一定要操作这种股票的话,以下是我对如何交易 meme 股票的一些建议:

1. 短期(1 或 2 天)交易它们,不要指望它们是好的长期投资。

2. 先了解价格图表的工作原理:趋势、支撑和阻力。在支撑位买入,在阻力位卖出。

3. 一旦遇上暴利,一天50%到100%的变动是极多的了,不要贪心,获利退出吧。

4.当价格图表走势呈垂直时,股价即将下跌,立刻退出。

5. 当您有可观的利润时,使用卖出止盈单来保护它们。当您担心会赔大钱时,用止损单保护。

6. 大涨幅伴随着大成交量是上升高潮的显示,价格会很快转跌,所以要退出。

7.这些股票的价格走势通常是快速而猛烈的,在止盈止损时要果断。这是对交易者技巧的终极考验。

8. 假如你不是分分钟在看市,你不适合操作这些股票。

以下是流行的模因股票列表:









Latest Crypto Currency News 最新加密货币新闻

The bill to make bitcoin legal tender has passed Congress in El Salvador. President Nayib Bukele announced via Twitter early Wednesday morning: “The Bitcoin Law has been approved by a supermajority in the Salvadoran Congress. 62 out of 84 votes. History.” "The purpose of this law is to regulate bitcoin as unrestricted legal tender with liberating power, unlimited in any transaction, and to any title that public or private natural or legal persons require carrying out," the bill describes.---Bitcoin.com 06/09/2021

Bitcoin is in recovery mode on Wednesday (blogger note: bounced from overnight low of 31025 to over 36000 mid morning 06/09/2021) amid mounting inflation concerns and hopes for mass adoption after El Salvador’s parliament approved the cryptocurrency as legal tender. ---Coindesk.com 06/09/2021

Tesla CEO Elon Musk said he “pretty much” agrees with Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin about a collaboration between Dogecoin and Ethereum. Buterin said: “if we can have a secure Doge-to-Ethereum bridge. That would be amazing.” "I think if we can have a secure Doge-to-Ethereum bridge. That would be amazing, and then when Ethereum gets any scalability that works for Ethereum assets, you would be able to trade wrapped DOGE with very low transaction fees and very high speed as well."Vitalik Buterin said. ---Bitcoin.com 06/09/2021

In his recent appearance on the Lex Fridman Podcast, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin revealed he profited more than $4 million from a $25,000 investment that he made into Dogecoin (DOGE) during 2016. ---Cointelegraph.com 06/09/2021

But true to form, he gave it all away to charity.Mike Novogratz declared institutional investors are waiting for the next narrative shift in a recent interview at the Bitcoin 2021 conference in Miami. The CEO of Galaxy Digital thinks the market is now in a consolidation phase after the price crash last month. Novogratz also commented on what the rise of defi could mean for banking operators in the near future.---Bitcoin.com 06/09/2021

Major internet services in China including Baidu, Weibo, Zhihu, and Sogo appear to have started censoring keywords associated with crypto exchanges catering to Chinese traders and investors. The censorship of keywords associated with Binance, Huobi, and OKEx by the popular internet services comes after government officials in mainland China recently started putting pressure on crypto mining and trading.---Coindesk.com 06/09/2021

Interactive Brokers, an American multinational brokerage firm today announced they would start offering crypto trading to their clients amid growing demand reported CNBC. Although rival brokerage firms such as Fidelity do offer bitcoin exposure to their clients but not direct ones and depend upon other company's stocks that invest in Bitcoin along with Hedge funds. Interactive Broker's entry into crypto trading with direct listing on its platform would expand crypto exposure and onboarding for many new investors.---Coingape.com 06/09/2021

Amid severe crackdown from the Chinese regulators, local Bitcoin (BTC) miners have started pulling the plugs and discontinuing their operations. Because of these restriction policies, the BTC hashrate at some of the biggest Chinese crypto miners has started to decline.---Coingape.com 06/09/2021

Blogger note: Hashrate is a measure of the computational power per second used when mining. More simply, it is the speed of mining. It is measured in units of hash/second, meaning how many calculations per second can be performed. ... For example, 1 Mhash/s indicates 1 million hash calculations are done every second.



使比特币成为法定货币的法案已在萨尔瓦多(El Salvador)国会获得通过。总统纳伊布·布克勒 (Nayib Bukele) 周三早上通过推特宣布:“比特币法已获得萨尔瓦多国会的绝对多数票通过。 84 票中的 62 票。这是历史。” “这项法律的目的是将比特币作为不受限制的法定货币进行监管,具有自由的权力,在任何交易中都不受限制,并且具有公共或私人自然人或法人要求执行的任何所有权,”该法案描述。---Bitcoin.com 06/09/2021

在对通货膨胀的担忧日益加剧的负面冲击,但希望在萨尔瓦多议会批准该加密货币作为法定货币后被大规模采用的环境下,比特币周三处于复苏状态(博主注:从隔夜低点 31025 反弹至 2021 年 6 月 9 日中午时分的超过 36000)。 ---Coindesk.com 06/09/2021

特斯拉首席执行官埃隆马斯克表示,他“非常”同意以太坊联合创始人 Vitalik Buterin 关于狗狗币和以太坊之间的合作。 Buterin 说:“如果我们能拥有一个安全的 Doge-to-Ethereum 桥梁,这将是惊人的。” “我认为,如果我们能够拥有一个安全的 Doge 到以太坊的桥梁。那将是惊人的,然后当以太坊获得适用于以太坊资产的任何可扩展性时,DOGE将能够以非常低的交易费用和非常高的交易速度出现。”Vitalik Buterin 说。 ---Bitcoin.com 06/09/2021

以太坊联合创始人 Vitalik Buterin 在最近出现在 Lex Fridman 播客上时透露,他从 2016 年对狗狗币(DOGE)进行的 25,000 美元投资中获利超过 400 万美元。但他将一切都捐给了慈善机构。---Cointelegraph.com 06/09/2021

迈克·诺沃格拉茨 (Mike Novogratz) 在最近在迈阿密举行的比特币 2021 会议上接受采访时宣布,机构投资者正在等待下一次的转变。 Galaxy Digital 的首席执行官认为,在上个月的价格暴跌之后,市场现在处于整合阶段。 Novogratz 还评论了 defi (去中心化金融) 的兴起在不久的将来对银行运营商意味着什么。---Bitcoin.com 06/09/2021

中国的主要互联网服务包括百度、微博、奇虎和崇光似乎已经开始审查与迎合中国交易者和投资者的加密货币交易所相关的关键词。在中国大陆政府官员最近开始对加密货币挖矿和交易施加压力之后,流行的互联网服务对与币安、火币和 OKEx 相关的关键字进行了审查。---Coindesk.com 06/09/2021

据 CNBC 报道,美国跨国经纪公司盈透证券今天宣布,随着需求不断增长,他们将开始向客户提供加密货币交易。尽管 Fidelity 等竞争对手的经纪公司确实向他们的客户提供比特币敞口,但不是直接的,并且依赖于其他公司的股票,这些股票与对冲基金一起投资于比特币。盈透证券进入加密交易并在其平台上直接上市,这将扩大许多新投资者的加密货币参与。---Coingape.com 06/09/2021

在中国监管机构的严厉打击下,当地比特币 (BTC) 矿工已开始停止运营。由于这些限制政策,中国一些最大的加密矿工的 BTC 算力开始下降。---Coingape.com 06/09/2021

博主注:算力是衡量挖矿时每秒使用的计算能力的指标。更简单的说,就是挖矿的速度。它以hash/秒为单位来衡量,这意味着每秒可以执行多少次计算。 ... 例如,1 Mhash/秒 表示每秒完成 100 万次hash计算。

Tuesday, June 8, 2021

Anonymous Targets Elon Musk Article Repost匿名者指责 Elon Musk 文章译载

Following is the article from Bitcoin.com "Anonymous Targets Elon Musk for Destroying Crypto Holders' Lives, Trying to Control Bitcoin": https://news.bitcoin.com/anonymous-targets-elon-musk-destroying-crypto-holders-lives-control-bitcoin/

The decentralized group Anonymous has published a message for Elon Musk in a video where they called the Tesla CEO “nothing more than another narcissistic rich dude who is desperate for attention.” They shed light on many things people may not know about Musk, including how he treats his employees, harms the environment, where his fortune came from, how Tesla actually makes money, and his attempt to centralize and control bitcoin mining. 

Anonymous, a decentralized international activist and hacktivism movement, posted a video Friday directed at Tesla CEO Elon Musk. It is unknown if the people behind this video are the same Anonymous as the hacktivist group known for cyber attacks against several governments since 2003. The video begins with a message: “Greetings citizens of the world. This is a message from Anonymous for Elon musk.” 

Elon Musk Is ‘Nothing More Than Another Narcissistic Rich Dude Desperate for Attention’

The video starts by explaining why Elon Musk became popular. “For the past several years you have enjoyed one of the most favorable reputations of anyone in the billionaire class because you have tapped into the desire that many of us have to live in a world with electric cars and space exploration," the group described, adding:

But recently your carefully created public image is being exposed, and people are beginning to see you as nothing more than another narcissistic rich dude who is desperate for attention. 

"It appears that your quest to save the world is more rooted in a superiority and savior complex than it is an actual concern for humanity," they declared. 

Employees, Young Children, Local Environment Suffer Under Elon Musk

Anonymous then emphasized that Elon Musk’s lack of concern for humanity “has been obvious to [his] employees for a long time who have faced intolerable conditions under [his] command for years." 

The group referenced an article in the Observer titled “Elon Musk, Tesla are pushing factory workers to the brink as profits soar.” The article explains that “Tesla workers and worker advocates say the company is risking the health and safety of its workers in relentless pursuit of these gaudy numbers."

In addition, Anonymous referenced a different article on The Times titled “‘Blood batteries’ fuel the fortune of Elon Musk,” stating: 

It is also obvious to the young children working in your overseas lithium mines, which are destroying the local environment as well. 

"You have been open about your willingness to stage coups in order to install dictators in places where your toxic products are being mined," the group also said. 

"You have even prematurely crowned yourself ‘Emperor of Mars,’ a place where you will be sending people to die," the group continued, pointing to an article titled "Elon Musk proclaims himself emperor of Mars."

"Your fanboys overlook these issues because they are focused on the potential good that your projects can bring to the world," Anonymous suggested. 

However, the group added: “you are not the only show in town, and your competition is growing more intense with each passing day. There are plenty of other companies working on space exploration and electric vehicles. You are just the only CEO who has gained a cult following through shitposting and trolling the world on social media." 

Tesla’s Main Income Is From Government Subsidies, Not Cars

Anonymous then talked about how Tesla makes its money. “Many people are now learning that the vast majority of Tesla's income doesn't actually come from selling cars. It comes from government subsidies, selling carbon tax credit for your innovation with clean energy ," the group detailed. However, they pointed out: 

This technically isn’t your innovation though because you aren’t actually the founder of Tesla. You simply purchased the company from two people much more intelligent than you are. 

The two people Anonymous referred to were Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning. In an interview with CNBC, Tarpenning said Musk was an investor of the company. “He was always supportive from the beginning but he wasn't the founder. We started it,” he confirmed. Eberhard added: "He actually accomplished some amazing things… I'm not sure why he has to also said that he was the founder when he wasn't. I don't understand that."

Referencing an article titled “Tesla: Bitcoin sales and environmental credits boost profits,” Anonymous suspected:

Tesla has also made more money holding bitcoin for two months than they did in years of selling cars. It is also more than likely that this bitcoin was purchased with money from these government subsidies.

Elon Pretends to Be Clueless About Energy Use When Tesla’s Main Income (Government Money) Is at Stake

On the subject of bitcoin and Tesla’s income from the government, Anonymous said: “It is now widely believed that you have been forced to renounce your company’s involvement with bitcoin in order to keep that green government money flowing into Tesla’s coffers.”Elon Destroying Crypto Holders’ Lives With Memes and Twitter Posts

Anonymous also accuses Elon Musk of destroying crypto holders’ lives with his memes and tweets, stating in their video:

Reading from the comments on your Twitter posts, it seems that the games you have played with the crypto markets have destroyed lives. Millions of retail investors were really counting on their crypto gains to improve their lives.

"This is something that you will never understand because you were born into the stolen wealth of a South African apartheid emerald mine and have no clue what struggle is like for most of the working people in the world," the group further opined, referencing an articletitled “Elon Musk's family once owned an emerald mine in Zambia — here's the fascinating story of how they came to own it.”

While acknowledging, “Of course, they took the risk upon themselves when they invested and everyone knows to be prepared for volatility in crypto,” Anonymous maintained, “but your tweets this week show a clear disregard for the average working person.” They concluded :

As hard-working people have their dreams liquidated over your public temper tantrums, you continue to mock them with memes from one of your million-dollar mansions.

The video ends with a message to Musk that says: “You may think you are the smartest person in the room, but now you've met your match. We are anonymous. We are Legion. Expect us.” The video URL is shown below :https://youtu.be/UG07x3aN3b0





以下是来自 Bitcoin.com 的文章“匿名者指责Elon Musk 摧毁加密持有者的生活,试图控制比特币”:https://news.bitcoin.com/anonymous-targets-elon-musk-destroying-crypto-holders-lives-control-bitcoin/


去中心化组织匿名者在一段视频中为发布了一条有关埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)的信息,他们称这位特斯拉首席执行官“只不过是另一个渴望得到关注的自恋有钱人。”他们揭示了人们可能不了解马斯克的许多事情,包括他如何对待他的员工、如何破坏环境、他的财富来自哪里、特斯拉如何真正赚钱,以及他试图集中和控制比特币挖矿。

匿名者是一个去中心化的国际活动家和黑客运动动主义者,周五发布了一段针对特斯拉首席执行官埃隆马斯克的视频。不知道该视频背后的人是否与自 2003 年以来因对多个政府进行网络攻击而闻名的黑客组织是同一个匿名者。该视频以一条信息开头:“世界公民你们好,这是匿名者给埃隆·马斯克的信息。”

埃隆马斯克“只不过是另一个渴望引起注意的自恋有钱人”

该视频首先解释了埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)受欢迎的原因。 “在过去的几年里,你在亿万富翁阶层中是享有最高的声誉之一,因为你满足了我们许多人必须生活在一个拥有电动汽车和太空探索的世界中的愿望,”该组织描述道,加说:

“但是最近你精心打造的公众形象被曝光,人们开始把你看作是另一个渴望关注的自恋有钱人。”

“看来你拯救世界的追求更多地植根于优越感和救世主情结,而不是对人类的实际关切,”他们宣称。

“员工、幼童、当地环境在埃隆·马斯克的领导下受苦及遭到毁坏。”

匿名者随后强调,埃隆·马斯克对人性缺乏关注“长期以来对[他的]员工来说是显而易见的,他们多年来在[他的]指挥下面临着无法忍受的条件。”

该组织引用了《观察家报》上一篇题为“埃隆·马斯克,随着利润飙升,特斯拉正在将工厂工人推向边缘”的文章。文章解释说,“特斯拉工人和工人倡导者说,该公司不断追求这些花哨的数字,正在冒着工人的健康和安全的风险。”

此外,匿名者还引用了《泰晤士报》另一篇题为“‘血液电池’为埃隆·马斯克的财富加油”的文章,该文章指出:

“对于在你们海外锂矿工作的年幼的孩子来说,这也是显而易见的,他们也在破坏当地的环境。”

该组织还表示:“你们一直公开表示愿意发动政变,以便在开采有毒产品的地方安置独裁者。”

“你甚至过早地给自己加冕为‘火星皇帝’,一个你会送人去死的地方,”该组织继续说道,并指着一篇题为“埃隆·马斯克宣布自己为火星皇帝”的文章。

“你的粉丝们忽略了这些问题,因为他们专注于你的项目可以为世界带来的潜在好处,”匿名者说。

然而,该组织补充说:“你们并不是镇上唯一的表演者,你们的竞争日益激烈。还有很多其他公司致力于太空探索和电动汽车。你是唯一一个通过在社交媒体上发布狗屁内容和在世界范围内谩骂而获得狂热追随者的 CEO。”

匿名者随后谈到了特斯拉如何赚钱。 “许多人现在了解到,特斯拉的绝大部分收入实际上并不是来自销售汽车。它来自政府补贴,为清洁能源的创新出售碳税抵免,“该组织详细说明。然而,他们指出:

“从技术上讲,这不是您的创新,因为您实际上并不是特斯拉的创始人。你只是从两个比你聪明得多的人那里购买了这家公司。”

匿名者提到的两个人是马丁·埃伯哈德 (Martin Eberhard) 和马克·塔彭宁 (Marc Tarpenning)。在接受 CNBC 采访时,塔彭宁说马斯克是该公司的投资者。 “他从一开始就一直支持,但他不是创始人。是我们开始的。”他证实。埃伯哈德补充说:“他实际上完成了一些了不起的事情......我不知道为什么他还必须说他是创始人,而他不是。我不明白。”

引用一篇题为“特斯拉:比特币销售和环境信用提高利润”的文章,匿名者怀疑:

“特斯拉持有比特币两个月所赚的钱也比他们多年来卖车赚的钱多。这些比特币也很有可能是用这些政府补贴的钱购买的。”

“当特斯拉的主要收入(政府资金)岌岌可危时,埃隆假装对能源使用一无所知。”

在谈到比特币和特斯拉从政府那里获得的收入时,匿名者说:“现在人们普遍认为,为了让政府的绿色资金流入特斯拉的金库,你被迫放弃公司对比特币的参与。”

匿名者还指责埃隆马斯克用他的“社交网站相传模仿(Meme 模因)”和推文摧毁了加密货币持有者的生活,并在他们的视频中说:

“从你 Twitter 帖子上的评论来看,你在加密市场上玩的游戏似乎已经摧毁了生命。数以百万计的散户投资者真的指望他们的加密收益来改善他们的生活。”

“这是你永远无法理解的事情,因为你出生在南非种族隔时期绿宝石矿中盗来的财富中,不知道世界上大多数劳动人民的斗争是什么样的,”该组织进一步指出,并引用了一个文章标题为“埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)的家人曾经在赞比亚拥有一座绿宝石矿——这是他们如何拥有它的引人入胜的故事。”

匿名者承认,“当然,他们(投资人)在投资时承担了风险,每个人都知道要为加密货币的波动做好准备,但你本周的推文明显无视普通工人。”他们得出结论:

“当努力工作的人因为你在公众场合发脾气而梦想破灭时,你继续用你价值百万美元的豪宅中的一个模因(Meme)来嘲笑他们。”

视频的结尾是给马斯克的一条信息:“你可能认为自己是最聪明的人,但现在你遇到了对手,我们,“匿名者”。我们是军团。期待我们。”视频URL如下:https://youtu.be/UG07x3aN3b0


Sentiment Too Complacent, Market About To Reverse Down情绪过于自满,市场即将向下逆转



The S&P 500 has surged 92% since March 23, 2020 low. The market has ran up too much in such a short time and there is not too much room for it to run without correcting. 



The S&P 500 is facing historical high resistance at 4238. Volatility Index (VIX) is near historical low indicating sentiment is too complacent. 


Put/Call ratio is below 0.70 at 0.68. Historically, this low a ratio usually precedes a market reversal down. The On Balance Volume (OBV) has been on downtrend since early May 2021 and has been diverging with the S&P 500. This is also a signal precedes a market reversal down.



All it need is a trigger for a correction to begin. China is to release inflation number tomorrow and US is to report CPI on Thursday. These reports are likely negative for the market and correction may begin. A 10% correction would put S&P 500 at around 3800. SQQQ, FNGD, TZA and UVXY may be consider as ways to participate on market downturn.






自 2020 年 3 月 23 日的低点以来,标准普尔 500 指数已飙升 92%。 市场在如此短的时间内上涨太多,在没有修正的情况下将没有太多的空间再升。





标准普尔 500 指数面临历史高位阻力位 4238。波动率指数 (VIX) 又接近历史低点,显示投资人情绪过于自满而有下跌的风险。




看跌/看涨期权比率低于 0.70,为 0.68。 从历史上看,这种低比率通常在市场反转下跌前出现。 自 2021 年 5 月上旬以来,平衡量 (OBV) 一直处于下降趋势,并与标准普尔 500 指数走势背离。这也是市场反转下跌之前的信号。




市场所需要的只是一个开始修正的触发消息。 中国将于明天公布通胀数据,美国将于周四公布 CPI。 这些报告很可能对市场不利,可能会因此开始调整。 10% 的修正将使标准普尔 500 指数跌至 3800 水平附近。可以考虑用SQQQ、FNGD、TZA 和 UVXY 作为参与市场跌势的方式。