If you ask me about TSLA and NIO, I say these two stocks already had their good time after rising 704% and 1187% respectively in the last 12 months. These kind of rises are simply euphoric and base on hope of perfect situations and cannot afford to have any hick ups. Sure EV is the future and we cannot ignore that, but as far as future stock performance is concern, I easily pick GM and F over TSLA and NIO. GM and F have forward PEs of only 8.67 and 9.62 respectively vs TSLA and NIO's 209 and no PE. GM and F are selling a lot more car than TSLA and NIO now and they are dedicated to accelerate their EV developments. And which auto maker is not focus on EV developments in the world as in the future gasoline operated vehicles will be obsolete? This development guarantees fierce competitions for TSLA and NIO in a year or two. This year will likely be the year for TSLA and NIO to come down while GM and F go up. TSLA and NIO PEs are to shrink and PE for GM and F PEs are to expand.
Charts of way overvalued stocks:
Chart of value and growth stocks:
On the coming EV era, one stock that is a guarantee winner is Albemarie Corp. (ALB). This company produce the most important material for battery---Lithium and battery is most important component of an electric vehicle. Goldman Sachs estimates there is roughly 150 lbs. of lithium in Tesla’s Model 3 battery. The same report estimates for every 250,000 electric cars made, lithium demand jumps 70,000 tons/year.ALB controls 25% of the lithium market and owns the purest lithium mines on the planet. ALB will no doubt be the ultimate winner of the EV era.
Albemarle Corporation (ALB 180.14) develops, manufactures, and markets engineered specialty chemicals worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Lithium, Bromine Specialties, and Catalysts. The Lithium segment offers lithium compounds, including lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, lithium chloride, and value-added lithium specialties, as well as reagents, such as butyllithium and lithium aluminum hydride for applications in lithium batteries for consumer electronics and electric vehicles, high performance greases, thermoplastic elastomers for car tires, rubber soles, plastic bottles, catalysts for chemical reactions, organic synthesis processes, life science, pharmaceutical, and other markets. It also offers cesium products for the chemical and pharmaceutical industries; zirconium, barium, and titanium products for various pyrotechnical applications; technical services, such as the handling and use of reactive lithium products; and recycling services for lithium-containing by-products. The Bromine Specialties segment offers bromine and bromine-based solutions for fire safety, chemical synthesis, mercury control, water purification, beef and poultry processing, and other industrial applications, as well as oil and gas well drilling, and completion fluids applications; and tertiary amines, biocides, disinfectants, and sanitizers. The Catalysts segment offers hydroprocessing catalysts together with isomerization and akylation catalysts; fluidized catalytic cracking catalysts and additives; and performance catalyst solutions comprising organometallics and curatives. The company serves energy storage, petroleum refining, consumer electronics, construction, automotive, lubricants, pharmaceuticals, crop protection, and custom chemistry services markets. Albemarle Corporation was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
The positives for ALB:
1. Much better value than any EV stocks: Forward PE 44, Price to Sales 5.91, Price to Book 4.65, dividend 0.85%.
2. Institutions own 90% of stocks, an institution favarite.
3. 27 hedge funds bought into ALB in Q4.
4. Démocrat controlled government is to increase incentives for lithium-ion batteries that power electric cars.
5. Besides Lithium products, ALB is a basic material company that produce materials for many other industrial sectors，it will benefit from economic recovery.
6. Technicals: ALB has been in a short, intermediate and long term up trends as price is above its 20, 50 and 200 day moving averages. It is near all time high and has been trading narrowly waiting for catalyst to breakout. Supports are 173 and 160. Buy points are on pull back to 160 or on breakout of 187.25. Projected price target is 210 after breakout.
如果您问我有关TSLA和NIO的问题，我会说这两支股票在过去12个月已分别上涨704％和1187％之后好景已经过去。因为这种升幅只是极度乐观的，并且是基于对完美情况的希望，因此它们无法承受任何意外。 EV肯定是未来，我们不能忽视这一点，但是就未来的股票表现而言，我很容易的会选择GM和F而非TSLA和NIO。 GM和F的前瞻PE分别只为8.67和9.62，而TSLA和NIO则是极高的209和没有PE。现在，通用汽车和F的汽车销量都大大超过TSLA和NIO，它们都正在致力于加速电动车的发展。试问全球那家汽车制造商不专心电动汽车的发展的，因为未来汽油汽车将会过时。这一发展保证在一两年内TSLA和NIO将遇上激烈的竞争。所以今年很可能是TSLA及NIO的下跌年而GM及F则上升。TSLA及NIO的PE会下来而GM及F的PE会扩展。
价位被极端高估的股票图表：
价值与成长都好的股票图表：
在即将到来的电动汽车时代，Albemarie Corp.（ALB 180.14）是无疑是赢家的一家公司。该公司生产最重要的电池材料-锂，而电池是电动汽车最重要的组件。高盛估计特斯拉3型汽车电池中的锂含量大约有150磅。同一份报告估计，每生产25万辆电动汽车，锂需求将跃升至70,000吨/年。ALB控制着25％的锂市场，并拥有地球上最纯净的锂矿。毫无疑问，ALB将成为电动汽车时代的最终赢家。
Albemarle公司（ALB）在全球范围内开发，制造和销售特种化学品。该公司的业务分为三个部分：锂，特种溴和催化剂。锂电池部门提供高性能的锂化合物，包括碳酸锂，氢氧化锂，氯化锂和高附加值的锂特种产品，以及丁基锂和氢化铝锂等试剂，这些产品可用于消费电子和电动汽车的锂电池中。润滑脂，用于汽车轮胎的热塑性弹性体，橡胶底，塑料瓶，化学反应催化剂，有机合成过程，生命科学，制药和其他市场。它还为化学和制药行业提供铯产品；用于各种烟火应用的锆，钡和钛产品；技术服务，例如活性锂产品的处理和使用；含锂副产品的回收服务。溴专业领域为消防安全，化学合成，汞控制，水净化，牛肉和家禽加工以及其他工业应用以及油气井钻探和完井液应用提供溴和溴基解决方案；以及叔胺，杀菌剂，消毒剂和消毒剂。催化剂部分提供加氢处理催化剂以及异构化和烷基化催化剂；流化催化裂化催化剂和添加剂；高性能催化剂溶液，包括有机金属和固化剂。该公司服务于储能，炼油，消费电子，建筑，汽车，润滑剂，制药，作物保护和定制化学服务市场。 Albemarle 公司成立于1994年，总部位于北卡罗来纳州的夏洛特。
ALB的优势：
1.比任何电动汽车股票的价值都好：前瞻PE 44，价格/销售为5.91，价格/账面价值为4.65，股息为0.85％。
2.机构拥有90％的股票，这是机构的最爱。
3.在第四季度，有27家对冲基金拥有ALB股票。
4.民主党控制的政府将增加对电动汽车供电的锂离子电池的激励措施。
5.除锂产品外，ALB是一家基础材料公司，为许多其他工业领域生产材料，将得益于经济复苏。
6.技术面：由于价位高于他的20、50和200天移动均线，ALB处于短期，中期和长期的上升趋势中。它接近历史最高水平，一直在窄幅交易，等待催化剂突破。支撑位在173和160。买入点是回落至160或突破187.25时。突破后，预计目标价格为210。
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