Has US Stock Market Bottomed？美股已经见底了吗？

The S&P 500  has regained its 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, while the Nasdaq and Dow have recovered above their 20 and 50-day moving averages. Major indices are also forming bullishDouble-Bottom patterns at their February lows. Technically, the U.S. stock market has turned from a downtrend to an uptrend in the short and medium term. Big tech stocks were particularly strong. Goldman Sachs and Wedbush analysts are bullish on AAPL iPhone sales. TSLA's mega manufacturing plant in Germany started building cars. NVDA announced a series of new products yesterday, a system of 20 Hopper H100 GPUs connected together is able to handle global Internet traffic. These three stocks will likely support tech stocks uptrend. Separately, the market has no fear of the outlook that the Fed will raise interest rates by a total of 1% in May and July. The Russia-Ukraine war would have two outcomes: a negotiated peace and  Russia take control of Ukraine completely. I think both outcomes will likely be a relief for the stock market. It seems that the market has already largely reacted to the bad situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war. Dow resistance is 35,000, support 34445. Nasdaq resistance is 14721, support 4484. S&P resistance is 4600, support 4484. Since the stock market has risen 6 days already, today's market pull back is healthy for more upside.  The key for the stock market to continue its upside is for major market indexes to hold their 50 day moving averages. They are Dow 34445, S&P 500 4420 and Nasdaq 13812. If the market correction is limited, the market strategy may need to shift from selling on rallies to buying on dips.

标普500已经向上收复了20，50及200日均线，而纳指及道指则已收复20及50日均线。各大指数也都在它们的2月份低位造成了看涨的双低形态。技术上短中期美股已从跌势转为升势。大型科技股尤为强劲。高盛及Wedbush分析师均看好 AAPL iPhone销量。TSLA在德国的超大型制造厂建成开工。NVDA 昨日宣布一系列新产品，20 个Hopper H100 GPU连起来的系统可掌控全球互联网交通。这三只股票将支撑科技股。另外，市场对联 储在5月及7月份将加息共1%的展望毫无恐惧。俄乌战争会有两个结果：讲和停战及俄国完成控制乌克兰。我觉得两个结果对美股都是利好。现在看来市场对俄乌战争的坏情况已经大部份反应过。目前道指阻力是35000, 支撑34445。纳指阻力是14721，支撑13812。标普阻力是4600，支撑4484。美股最近已连升6天，今天的市场回落是健康的，对准备更多的升势有帮助。股市继续上涨的关键是主要市场指数能守住50日均线。 它们是道琼斯指数 34445、标准普尔 500 指数 4420 和纳斯达克指数 13812。如果市场调整有限，市场策略可能要从逢高卖出转为逢低买入。