Thursday, September 12, 2019

Stock Market Making All Time High Likely 美股创新高的可能性高

The S&P 500 index is only 10 points 0.3% away from all time high 3027. It is very likely that all time high will be reached imminently. Will it make all time and hold? It sure look like it will base on the fact that hedge securities such as gold, us treasury and volatility index are being sold and the following bullish news are supportive. The bullish Shanghai Composite Index also helps. The following ETFs and stocks may be good candidates to participate for the short term upside of the market:  FNGU, AMZN, AAPL, MSFT, ASHR, BABA and JD.

。US/China trade talk to resume in early October in Washington DC. Trade headline going favorably.

。China's central bank announced on Friday that it will cut the required reserve ratio for all 。commercial banks, freeing up long-term funding of around 900 billion yuan (US$126 billion) that banks can use to increase lending and support government efforts to shore up the Real economy.
The 0.50 percentage point cut in the amount of reserves banks are required to hold at the central bank will be effective from September 16, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) said.

。The European Central Bank cut its deposit rate to -0.5% from -0.4% and said it will keep rates low until inflation picks up. It also said it will restart asset purchases in November.

。President Donald Trump delayed planned China tariff hikes on Oct. 1 by two weeks as a "gesture of good will," he tweeted late Wednesday.

。Market expects Fed will lower interest rate by 0.25% next Wednesday.










标准普尔500指数距离历史高点3027只有小于10点(0.3%)的距离。看来达到历史最高点已无可避免。它会达到并且会维持吗?基于黄金,美国国债和波动率指数等对冲证券正在被抛售以及下面的看涨消息都支持下,看起来它会。看涨的上证指数也有帮助。以下的ETF和股票可能是参与短期市场上涨的好方法:FNGU,AMZN,AAPL,MSFT,ASHR,BABA和JD。

。美国/中国贸易谈判于10月初在华盛顿特区恢复。贸易谈判新闻偏好。

。中国央行上周五宣布,将削减所有商业银行的存款准备金率,释放银行可用于增加贷款的资金约9000亿元人民币(1260亿美元)。中国人民银行(PBOC)表示,自9月16日起,银行在中央银行持有的准备金会减少0.50个百分点。

。欧洲央行将存款利率从-0.4%下调至-0.5%,并表示将维持利率在低位直至通胀回暖。它还表示将在11月重启资产购买。

。周三,总统唐纳德特朗普将计划在10月1日开始的中国关税上调延迟了两周作为“善意的举动”。

。市场预期下周三美国联储局将调低利率0.25%。



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