The Wuhan coronavirus has now spread to at least 18 other countries and has dampened sentiment over global economic growth. Confirmed cases in China rise to 9,925 and 213 dead as of 12Noon Pacific Time January 31, 2020. Research suggests 75,800 infected in Wuhan. The virus has now spread to 18 countries. People have been focus on WuHan city and HuBei province development, but virus has spread to all the provinces inside China. The provinces and cities with the highest population are jumping on confirmed cases and should be worried. As of 12Noon Pacific Time January 31,2020, provinces and city with the higest confirmed cases besides HuBei and WuHan are ZheJiang 538 cases, GuangDong 436 cases, HeNan 352 cases, HuNan 332 cases, JiangXi 240 cases, AnHui 237 cases and the city of ChongQing 211 cases. These are the places with potential problems. Aslo the 2nd most populated country India has 1,000 suspected virus cases 'under observation'.
The World Health Organization (WHO) declared a global health emergency on Yesterday but did not recommend restrictions on international trade and travel. However, the State Department has advised against travel to China, and has permitted nonemergency employees at its diplomatic offices there to leave China. In addition the Trump administration on Friday declared the coronavirus a public health emergency in the United States, and announced that people who pose a risk of transmitting the disease will temporarily be suspended from entering the U.S. American and Delta announced they are suspending service to mainland China. There are more than 43 airlines cancel flights to China. North Korea and Singapore closes borders to Chinese travelers. Iran cancels flights to and from China.
Goldman Sachs analyst anticipates a 0.4 percentage point slowdown of U.S. annualized growth in the first quarter, while JP Morgan analyst said slow down by 0.3%. But how can one put a fix number of economic damage to a situration that is still out of control especially at least 70% of China's economy is to stay shut?Look out, the Wuhan coronavirus may have some more bad news to come.
武汉冠状病毒目前已经传播到至少18个其他国家，并削弱了人们对全球经济增长的信心。截至2020年1月31日太平洋时间中午12点，中国确诊病例上升到9,925，死亡人数为213。有研究推测武汉会有75,800感染者。人们一直都只关注着武汉市和湖北省的病例发展，但是病毒已经蔓延到中国境内的所有省份。人口最多的省市确诊病例正在迅速增加也应该令人担忧。截至2020年1月31日太平洋时间中午12时，除湖北省和武汉市外，其他确诊病例最多的省市为浙江538例，广东436例，河南352例，湖南332例，江西240例，安徽237例，重庆211例。这些都是有潜在问题的地方。另外人口第二多的国家印度已有1,000宗疑似病毒病例并“正在受监察”中。
世界卫生组织（WHO）昨天宣布全球健康紧急情况，但不建议限制国际贸易和旅行。但是，美国国务院建议不要前往中国，并允许外交机构的非紧急雇员离开中国。此外，特朗普政府周五宣布将冠状病毒列为美国的公共卫生紧急事件，并宣布有可能传播这种疾病的人将被暂时禁止进入美国。美国航空及达美航空宣布将暂停中国大陆的服务。有超过43家航空公司取消飞往中国的航班。朝鲜和新加坡对中国游客不开放边境。伊朗取消了往返中国的航班。
高盛（Goldman Sachs）分析师预计第一季度美国年化增速将下降0.4个百分点，而摩根大通（JP Morgan）分析师则表示会放缓0.3％。但是，如何能够对仍然无法控制的情况对经济损失作定量评估呢，尤其是中国至少70％的经济正在停顿之中。当心，武汉冠状病毒可能还会带来更多的坏消息。
No comments:
Post a Comment