As of 8AM Pacific Time today, Wuhan Coronavirus death toll climbs to 171 and 8235 cases confirmed worldwide.
What is worrisome is when I look at the confirmed cases in big provinces and major cities with huge population besides Hubei and Wuhan. Following is a list of the present situations: (Virus has spread to all 34 provinces, the list only lists number of cases above 100)
Provinces/Cities Population Confirmed Cases
Zhejiang 54,426,891 428
GuangDong 113,460,000 354
Henan 94,000,000 278
Hunan 67,000,000 277
Anhui 70,270,000 200
ChongQing (City) 8,518,000 182
Jiangxi 44,567,475 162
ShanDong 95,793,000 158
SiChuan 81,000,000 142
JiangSu 78,659,903 129
Beijing (City) 21,540,000 114
ShangHai (City) 24,240,000 112
FuJian 38,560,000 101
If we look at the virus progress curve by Bianco Research below, there were only 43 confirmed cases on January 16, 2020 in HuBei province and has ballooned to 4903 as of today. The worry is how many cases spread to in the above areas in two weeks with the spreading speed of HuBei as reference?
截至今天太平洋时间上午8点,武汉冠状病毒全世界死亡人数上升至171和8235确诊病例。
令人担忧的是,当我查看除湖北和武汉之外的人口大省和大城市的确诊病例时,以下是当前情况的列表:(病毒已蔓延到所有34个省,下列列表仅列出了100例以上的病例的省市)
省/市 人口 确诊病例
浙江 54,426,891 428
广东 113,460,000 354
河南 94,000,000 278
湖南 67,000,000 277
安徽 70,270,000 200
重庆(市) 8,518,000 182
江西 44,567,475 162
山东 95,793,000 158
四川 81,000,000 142
江苏 78,659,903 129
北京(市) 21,540,000 114
上海(市) 24,240,000 112
福建 38,560,000 101
下面Bianco Research的病毒进展曲线显示湖北确诊的病例在2020年1月16日时只有43例,到今天已激增至4903例。担心的是,以湖北的扩散速度作参考,两周后上述地区会扩散到多少病例?
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Thursday, January 30, 2020
These Statistics Are Worrisome 这些统计数据令人担忧

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