Wednesday, August 5, 2020

A Diversified Aggressive Growth Portfolio Without Big Techs Risks 避开大型科技股风险的多元化高增长投资组合

Investors have been crowding into big cap tech stock such as AAPL, AMZN, FB, GOOD and MSFT since people believe that they are solid companies which will survive better during the COVID-19 pandemic. The effect has been driving the valuation of these stocks to extreme and likely unsustainable. One day, when the economy is recovering from the pandemic, the big tech stocks will likely out of favor and get sold and capital will flow into value stocks. But we don't know when will we get out of this pandemic mess as things are still out of control, so we don't want to rush back to the so called value stocks yet. I am suggesting below a diversified  portfolio of stocks which will allow us to thrive with or without the pandemic below and at the same time avoiding the risky big techs. This portfolio covers 7 different stocks and assets and is well diversified. They also provide huge price appreciation potentials.

PINS 35.88
Pinterest is a niche social media website provides visual discovery engine in the United States and internationally, gaining popular during the pandemic with 416 millions users worldwide. Q2 earnings and revenues beat estimates. Next year earning is expected to be up 124%. On August 3, two analysts upgraded stock with price target ranging from 42 to 44.5. Stock just made all time high this week. This stock can thrive with or without pandemic.





TGT 129.37
Target is a well know brick and mortar retail stores. Unlike other retail counterpart, it has been surviving the pandemic with a bang. Its stock is the only retailer that makes all time high. So if TGT can survive during the pandemic, it should get better when we recovered from the pandemic. Target countered weakness of retailers due to Covid-19 by investing in its e-commerce strategy and team up with designers for exclusive launches. Its next year earning estimate is expected to increase 37%. It has formed a bullish Cup and Handle chart pattern.



FCX 13.97
This copper miner is breaking above its one month trading range (also a 1 year resistance) and formed a bullish Cup and Handle chart pattern. Its monthly chart has formed a solid Double Bottom pattern.  Copper is going to be in good demand as the economy is recovering. Its estimated earning growth for next year is a whopping 503%.





SRNE 13.79
Sorrento Therapeutic just announced licensing Columbia University's SAR-COV-2 virus detecting method using saliva sample and test result will be ready in 30 minutes. If this method comes to use, analyst forecasts it could generate $1billion for Sorento. SRNE price target has raised to 30 from 24.
SRNE also has 4 other developments related to Covid-19 up its sleeve.  SRNE’s short percentage is a very high 28%. Once a short squeeze occurs, the stock will rise sharply. What's more, such volatile low price small biotech stock is bound to be chased by retail investors which should help to support stock price.



GBTC 13.84
GBTC is an ETF that tracks Bitcoin. After breaking above 10000 recently, Bitcoin looks ready to break above 12000 and on the way to 14000. Besides crypto currencies gaining popularity, Bitcoin is also a safe haven investment in case of a financial crisis and lost trust on fiat currency. Bitcoin trading is the most volatile among all financial vehicles. Back in 2017, I saw it move up $1000 in minutes and a few thousand dollar a day. If the timing is right, price could double in a very short period of time. 





AGQ 60.57
AGQ is an ETF that tracks 2X the performance of Silver. Gold and Silver have been surging up as capitals flowing into them as safe haven investment, reflecting investors' concerns about the current financial market. Extreme low interest rate, continue Fed easing and congress stimulus, crashing US dollar and worry over financial crisis all help to drive up precious metals. Silver is especially interesting base on the very high Gold/Silver ratio. The ratio is at 76 now and the ratio's average is 50 for the last 20 years. Silver price has lots of room to rise for the ratio to go down to 50. Bank of America analyst just said Silver could hit 50 in the near term. Silver is trading at 27 today. 






SQ 146.55
Square, Inc. provides, together with its subsidiaries, payment and point-of-sale solutions in the United States and internationally.  Square's Cash App is easy to use  and convenient in money transfer. It even allow user to buy stocks and Bitcoin fractionally.  Software Products and Services from Square include: Square Point of Sale, Square Virtual Terminal, Square Appointments, Square for Retail, Square for Restaurants, Square Invoices, Square Online Store, Square Loyalty, Marketing, and Gift Cards.  The company also sell hardwares to go with their services. It is a tech company and also serve as a bank. It reported Q2 earning beat in both earning and revenue.  Its estimated earning growth for this year is 950% and next year is 255%. SQ is an institutions favorite, they own 78% of SQ stock.  Analyst from RBC capital market raised SQ price target to 200. Stock made all time high today.








由于人们相信大企业在COVID-19大流行期间将能够更好地生存,因此他们一直在涌入AAPL,AMZN,FB,GOOD和MSFT等大型科技股。这种情况已经将这些股票的估值推高至极高水平,甚至可能难以为继。有一天,当经济从大流行中恢复过来时,大型科技股可能会失宠并被抛售,资金将流入价值股。但是我们不知道什么时候才能摆脱这种大流行的混乱局面,因为疫情仍然无法受到控制,所以我们还不想急于回到所谓的价值股票上。下面列出提供参考可使我们能够在有或没有流行病的情况下成长的多元化的股票投资组合,同时也避免风险大的大型科技公司。 该投资组合涵盖7种不同的股票和资产。除了达到分散目的外,它们还提供了巨大的价格升值潜力。

PINS 35.88
Pinterest是一个另类社交媒体网站,是提供美国和全球的视觉发现引擎。 在疫情大流行期间广受欢迎,全球已有4.16亿用户。第二季度的盈利和营业额均超出预期。明年的收入预计将增长124%。 8月3日,两名分析师调升股票评级并将目标价提升到42及44.5。本周PINS刚刚创下历史新高。无论有无大流行,这种股票都可以拙壮成长。





TGT 129.37
Target是一家知名的实体零售店。与其他零售业同行不同,它一直在大流行中幸存下来。它的股票是唯一一家创造历史新高的零售商。因此,如果TGT在大流行期间能够生存,那么当我们从大流行中恢复过来时,它应该会变得更好。Target通过投资电子商务战略并与设计师合作推出独家产品来应对零售商受Covid-19影响的劣势。明年的收入估计为增长37%。技术上它已经形成了看涨的杯状图表模式。




FCX 13.97
这家铜矿商突破了其一个月的交易区间(也是一年的阻力位),并形成了看涨的“杯状”图表模式。它的月线图已经形成了坚实的双底形态。随着经济的复苏,铜将有良好的需求。预计明年的收入增长将达到巨大的503%。





SRNE 13.79
Sorrento Therapeutic刚刚宣布获得哥伦比亚大学SAR-COV-2病毒检测方法的许可。这个使用唾液样本的测试非常简易,测试结果将在30分钟内准备就绪。分析师估计,如果使用这种方法,它将为Sorrento公司带来10亿美元的收益。 SRNE的价格目标也从24被提高至30。SRNE还拥有与Covid-19相关的其他4个发展。SRNE的卖空百分比为很高的28%,一旦逼空发生,股票将大升。何况这种波动大的小型生化股也势必受到散户的追买。这将帮助支撑股价。




GBTC 13.84
GBTC是追踪比特币的ETF。在最近突破10000之后,比特币看起来已经准备好突破1​​2000并升向14000。除了加密货币越来越流行以外,比特币还是金融危机及对法定货币失去信任时的避风港投资。比特币交易可说是所有金融工具中波动最大的。早在2017年,我看到它在几分钟内上涨了1000美元,一天上涨数千美元的表现。如果时机合适,价格可能会在很短的时间内翻倍。





AGQ 60.57
AGQ是追踪白银价格波动两倍的ETF。黄金和白银作为资本的避风港投资一直在飙升,显示投资人对目前金融市场的担忧。极低的利率,美联储的持续宽松和国会的刺激措施,美元大跌以及对金融危机的担忧,都助推了贵金属的上涨。基于极高的金/银比率,白银尤其值得关注。现在该比率为76,最近20年的平均比率为50。因此白银价格还有很大的上升空间,可以将比率降至50。美国银行分析师刚刚表示,白银在短期内可能升到50。白银今天交易价格为27。






SQ 146.55
Square,Inc.及其子公司在美国和全球范围内提供付款和销售点解决方案。 Square的Cash App易于使用,汇款方便。它甚至允许用户零碎购买股票和比特币。 Square提供的软件产品和服务包括:Square销​​售点,Square虚拟终端,Square预约,Square商业零售,Square餐厅,Square发票,Square在线商店,Square忠诚度,营销和礼品卡。该公司还出售硬件以配合其服务。它是一家科技公司,也可以作为银行。它报告了第二季度的盈利和营业额均超过预期。估计今年的收入增长为950%,明年为255%。 SQ是机构的最爱,他们拥有78%的SQ股票。来自RBC资本市场的分析师今天将SQ的价格目标提高至200。SQ 今天创了历史新高。






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