Thursday, September 10, 2020

Market Bounce Is Over, Down Turn Resumes 市场反弹结束,下跌恢复

After a 4 day drop of 11%, the tech heavy Nasdaq 100 ETF QQQ bounce off support near its 50 day moving average since yesterday. The bounce has stopped and trend reversed after QQQ hit its 20 day moving average resistance at 284. Similarly, both market influential stocks APPLe (AAPL) and Tesla (TSLA) lost 19.6% and 34.5% respectively after a sharp 4 day drop and bounced off their 50 day moving averages yesterday and they both are losing stem after hitting their 20 day moving average resistances at 121 and 402 respectively.  With their downside reversal today, their 50 day moving averages will likely tested in the near term. The 50 day moving average for QQQ, AAPL and TSLA are 271, 108 and 336 respectively. If these levels are broken, QQQ will likely go down and test its 38% retracement level at 250, while AAPL and TSLA will likely test their 50% Fibonacci retracement levels at 95 and 286 respectively. Performances of QQQ, AAPL and TSLA are important since they have led the overall market's rally since March 2020. The overall market comes down if the come down. Waves and waves of selling today on the indexes also hinting the downside outlook. 








                                            Source: Finviz.com




在经历了4天的 11%下跌之后,偏重科技股的纳斯达克100 ETF QQQ昨天从50天移动均线附近开始反弹。今天在QQQ达到其20天移动平均阻力位284之后,反弹停止并且趋势逆转。类似地,具市场影响力的股票Apple(AAPL)和Tesla(TSLA)在连续4天分别大幅下跌了19.6%和34.5%到50天移动平均线支撑后反弹,今天在达到20天移动平均阻力分别为121和402之后,他们都失去了上升动力。由于今天的下跌趋势逆转,他们的50天移动平均线可能会在短期内被测试。 QQQ,AAPL和TSLA的50天移动平均线分别为271、108和336。如果这些水平被击穿,QQQ可能会下跌测试250处的38%的回撤水平,而AAPL和TSLA可能分别在95和286处测试其50%斐波那契回撤水平。 QQQ,AAPL和TSLA的表现非常重要,因为它们自2020年3月以来一直引领着整个市场的反弹。如果它们下跌,则整个市场也会下跌。今日指数一波接一波的抛售浪潮也暗示了下行前景。









                                            Source: Finviz.com

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