UVXY May Be Ready To Surge UVXY 或许要准备大升

US major market indexes have been correcting since September 2, 2020 tops. However, with major market indexes have come down around 10%, the market is in correction and it may not be over. As all major market indexes and major tech stocks such as AMZN, GOOG, FB ,MSFT,AAPL, NVDA,CSCO and INTC are mostly below their 50 day moving averages, their trends have now changed from up to down. Major market indexes are having oversold bounces now but more down side is likely when they get turn back by the 50 day moving averages.  For the last couple of weeks, as the indexes were coming down so was UVXY. This kind of divergence doesn't make sense. The only thing I can think of is investor sentiment is too optimistic, not believing that market can go down more and ready to buy dips. I think it is a buying opportunity for UVXY, as it may accelerate to the upside to compensate the drop due to previous period of divergence. UVXY has formed a bullish Double Bottom pattern and is starting to move up even in the face of a strong market today. It has been pushed down too low. It's potential rise may be similar to the rise happen between August and September if the market continues to correct.  Market correction will likely continues and when there is no extreme surge in the price of UVXY, we are not likely to see the market bottom.

自2020年9月2日见顶以来，美国主要市场指数一直在下跌修正。随着主要市场指数下跌了10％左右，市场正处于调整之中，并且可能还没有结束。 由于所有主要市场指数和主要科技股（例如AMZN，GOOG，FB，MSFT, AAPL, NVDA, CSCO 和 INTC）大部分都低于它们的50天移动平均线，因此它们的趋势现在已经从上上升变成下跌而应该还会有更多的下行空间。主要市场指数现在出现超卖反弹，但当它们回到50天移动平均线处时，很可能会被阻再跌。在过去的两个多星期中，随着市场指数的下跌，UVXY也下跌。 这种背离是没有道理的。 我唯一能想到的是，投资者的情绪过于乐观，不相信市场不会下跌太多并准备逢低买入。 我认为这是买入UVXY的机会，因为它可能会加速上涨，以弥补前期背离导致的下跌。技术上 UVXY已经形成了看涨的双底形态，即使面对今天的强劲市场也开始上升。 它实在被推得太低了。如果市场继续下跌调整它可能会有八月到九月般的类似涨幅。市场调整将继续，当UVXY价位没有极端激增时，我们不太可能看到市场触底。