Monday, November 30, 2020

Bitcoin Is Hot, Here Is All You Need To Know比特币炙手可热,这里有您所需要知道的

Bitcoin has been around 13 years and has been picking up more branding value each day. If you are willing to look hard enough, these days you can basically spend your Bitcoin anywhere, if not directly with the merchant then through a third party gift card purchaser. While some of these methods are little unconventional, they do help make Bitcoin more useful today and easier to adopt for tomorrow. 

Unlike commodities like gold, silver and oil which can replenish buy producing more when depleted, the supply of Bitcoin is limited to only 21 Million and there are currently 18,544,925 bitcoins in existence. This number changes about every 10 minutes when new blocks are mined. Right now, each new block adds 6.25 bitcoins into circulation. Why do bitcoins have value? Bitcoins have value because they are useful as a form of money and store of value. It will likely grow more valuable as  users, merchants, and startups grow. Bitcoin's value increases as people willing to accept them as payment. The rise of bitcoin is textbook supply and demand. Since supply is fixed and more and more institutional investors and end-users are adopting bitcoin, the price will surged. Bitcoin price surge is more likely now as more and more billionaires, hedge funds, corporation and investors are more willing to buy/ invest in it.  While the Apps from both Square and PayPal make their nearly 400 million accounts worldwide to buy Bitcoin easily also facilitates the Bitcoin price surge.

Technically, Bitcoin is bullish as it rallied strongly back from a sharp sell off from near $19500 to near $16000 last week and has quickly surge back up during the weekend and today to exceed the previous high in early trading. The breaking above its $20000 psychological level looks imminent. It has the potential to start the 2nd leg up of a bullish Continuation Up pattern if it breaks above $20000. This pattern if materialized could put Bitcoins potential target at $26000 rather quickly.  Other analysts are suggesting $50000, $60000, $100000, $318000 by end of next year and $500000 in a decade.





The ways to participate on the growth of Bitcoin in the stock market can be through GBTC, RIOT, MARA, SQ and PYPL.  I am only presenting charts for GBTC and RIOT Below.












Below I have collected latest news and analysis from sources such as CNBC, ZeroHedge, Seeking Alpha, Coindesk, CoinTelegraph, Investopedia...Etc for your references:

1.Guggenheim's Scott Minerd is the latest institutional type to be won over by Bitcoin, with his $5.3B Macro Opportunities Fund now having the green light to invest up to 10% of its assets in the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) . ---Seeking Alpha

2. "We are just getting started," says Grayscale's Michael Sonnenshein, appearing on CNBC this morning. Addressing what some see as excessive speculation in crypto, Sonnenshein says inflows into Grayscale's various crypto vehicles don't indicate unhealthy investor fervor. ---Seeking Alpha

3. Tyler Winklevoss, the co-founder of the cryptocurrency exchange Gemini, who is bullish at Bitcoin for a long time, said on the "Squawk Box" that he has not bought more Bitcoin, but he thinks there is still a lot of room for growth. "Our argument is that Bitcoin is Gold 2.0, and it will be a big blow to gold. If this result is to be achieved, its market value must reach 9 trillion US dollars. Therefore, we think that the price of Bitcoin may be reached 500,000 US dollars in a decade, and the current price of Bitcoin is only 18,000 US dollars, so you should continue to hold it, or if you have not bought it, this is an opportunity to buy, because we think the future growth is 25 times." Winklevoss said. --- CNBC

4. BTIG strategists say cryptocurrency has come of age, and bitcoin should reach $50000 by the end of 2021. ---CNBC

5. Payments giant PayPal (PYPL) will allow its users to buy bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

6. In its updated policy, the Virginia-based business intelligence company Microstrategy declared that it would treat Bitcoin as the primary treasury reserve asset on an ongoing basis. MicroStrategy committed to investing up to $250 million in Bitcoin and gold.  MicroStrategy CEO Michael J. Saylor  remarked that the cryptocurrency “is a dependable store of value and an attractive investment asset with more long-term appreciation potential than holding cash.”

7. Square's Cash App allows user to buy bitcoin very easily even a fractional purchase.  Square announced on October 8 that it has purchased approximately 4,709 bitcoins at an aggregate purchase price of $50 million.

8. Mexican billionaire Ricardo Salinas-whose Grupo Salinas has interests in telecommunications, media, financial services, and retail-says he has 10% of his liquid net worth invested in Bitcoin (BTC-USD). He also recommends Safiedean Ammous's The Bitcoin Standard to his followers.

9. Big investors such as Stanley Druckenmiller, Paul Tudor Jones, Jack Dorsey, Michael Saylor, among others have all put a portion of their vast wealth in Bitcoin.

10. The chief decision maker for where BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, invests its funds said bitcoin could take the place of gold to a large extent because crypto is “so much more functional than passing a bar of gold around.”  BlackRock CIO of fixed income Rick Reider discussed Bitcoin on CNBC, billionaire investor Mike Novogratz said BTC is now an institutional asset. Reider said that Bitcoin is here to stay and that it has the potential to evolve. He suggested that millennials favor BTC and that the strengthening reality of digital currencies becoming mainstream payment options were both major positive factors for BTC. 

11. As reported by Coindesk, "filings for the first half of this year show Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. purchased 22,977 Riot shares for $52,000. Two Vanguard funds – the Vanguard Index Fund and Vanguard Valley Forge Index Fund – were invested in 954,229 Riot shares worth $2,118,000, and two Fidelity funds were separately invested in 176,242 Riot shares worth $230,115 (split between a NASDAQ index and three market indices) and 2,769,759 HIVE shares worth $1,003,163. Riot Blockchain, based in the U.S., and HIVE Blockchain Technologies, based in Canada, provide services for mining bitcoin, a process where new cryptocurrency is minted."

12. A recent Bitcoin (BTC) technical analysis reportedly prepared by CitiFX for its institutional clients points to a potential high of $318,000 sometime in December 2021.While conceding that this figure may seem highly improbable, he points out that this “would only be a low to high rally of 102 times. We are at a point where the arguments in favour of Bitcoin could well be at their most persuasive ever." Citibank managing director Tom Fitzpatrick points out the three major bullish periods of BTC so far have been increasing in length. Initially, there was a 10-month run from 2010–2011, followed by a two-year run from 2011–2013, and finally a three-year run covering 2015 --2017. Fitzpatrick posits that the period of correction following the last two bull runs has remained stable at around 12 months. This, according to the analysis, places us squarely in the middle of a bull run which started in early 2019 and is potentially set to run for four years until late 2022.

13. Hot stock and Bitcoin analyst Thomas Lee of Fundstrat think Bitcoin will triple by next year, that is about $60000.




比特币已经存在大约13年了,并且每天都在增加品牌价值。如果您愿意足够努力来看,现在您基本上可以在任何地方花费您的比特币,如果不直接与商人联系,则可以通过第三方礼品卡购买者。尽管这些方法中的一些方法并非非常规,但它们确实有助于使比特币在今天更加有用,并在明天更容易被采用。

不同于黄金,白银和石油等商品可以在枯竭时增加生产来补充,比特币的供应仅限于2100万,目前存在18,544,925个比特币。开采新区块时,此数字大约每10分钟更改一次。现在,每个新区块都会增加6.25比特币的流通量。为什么比特币具有价值?比特币之所以具有价值,是因为它们作为一种货币和价值存储方式很有用。随着用户,商家和这行业初创企业的增长,它可能会变得越来越有价值。比特币的价值随着人们愿意接受用其付款而增加。比特币的兴起是教科书式的供求关系。由于供应是固定的,并且越来越多的机构投资者和最终用户采用比特币,价格将继续飙升。随着越来越多的亿万富翁,对冲基金,企业和投资者越来越愿意购买/投资比特币,比特币价格现在更有上涨的可能。另外,来自Square和PayPal的应用程序在全球范围内拥有近4亿账户可轻易购买比特币,也将促进比特币价格的飙升。

从技术上讲,比特币是看涨的,因为它从上周的近19500美元的大幅抛售到16000美元附近后强劲回升,并且在周末和今天迅速回升,今天早些时曾超过了先前的高点并即将突破其20000美元的心理水平。如果它突破20000美元,它有可能会开始看涨的上升继续(Continuation Up)形态的第二波上升。如果这一形态能够实现 ,则比特币的潜在目标很快就会达到26000美元。其他分析师对比特币将来的目标价建议是明年到达$ 50000,$60000,$ 100000 和$ 318000和10年达到$ 500000。




您可以在股票市场上通过GBTC,RIOT,MARA,SQ和PYPL参与比特币的增长。我在下面仅介绍GBTC和RIOT的图表。












下面,我从CNBC,ZeroHedge,Seeking Alpha,Coindesk,CoinTelegraph,Investopedia ... Et等来源收集了最新的比特币新闻和分析,以供您参考:

1.古根海姆(Guggenheim)的斯科特·米纳德(Scott Minerd)正准备加入比特币投资,他的$ 5.3B宏观机会基金现在已获准将其多达10%的资产投资于Grayscale比特币信托基金(GBTC)。 ---寻求阿尔法

2.“我们才刚刚起步,” Grayscale比特币信托基金的Michael Sonnenshein说,他今天早上出现在CNBC上。针对一些人认为加密货币过度投机的问题,Sonnenshein说,流入Grayscale的各种加密货币工具并不显示不健康的投资者热情。 ---寻求阿尔法

3.加密货币交易所Gemini的共同创始人,长期以来看好比特币的Tyler Winklevoss在“ Squawk Box”上说,他一直没有购买更多的比特币,但他认为仍有很大的上涨空间。 “我们的论点是,比特币是黄金2.0,它将对黄金有很大打击。如果要达到这个结果,它的市值必须达到9万亿美元。因此,我们认为10年内比特币的价格可能会到50万美元,而现在比特币的价格只为18,000美元,所以应该继续持有,或者在您没有买的话,这是一个购买的机会,因为我们认为将来的成长是25倍。” Winklevoss说。 --- CNBC

4. BTIG策略师表示,加密货币已经成熟,比特币到2021年底应能达到$50000. ---CNBC

5.支付巨头PayPal (PYPL)将允许其用户购买比特币和其他加密货币。

6.总部位于弗吉尼亚州的商业情报公司Microstrategy在其最新政策中宣布,将持续将比特币视为主要的库存储备资产。 MicroStrategy承诺在比特币和黄金上投资高达2.5亿美元。 MicroStrategy首席执行官Michael J. Saylor表示,该加密货币“是可靠的价值存储和具有吸引力的投资资产,比持有现金具有更大的长期升值潜力。”

7. Square (SQ)的Cash App允许用户非常轻易地购买比特币,即使是少量购买。Square在10月8日宣布已以总购买价5,000万美元的购买了约4,709枚比特币。

8.对电信,媒体,金融服务和零售感兴趣的墨西哥亿万富翁里卡多·萨利纳斯(Ricardo Salinas)-将其流动资产的10%投资于比特币(BTC-USD)。他还向追随者推荐Safiedean Ammous的“比特币标准”。

9. Stanley Druckenmiller,Paul Tudor Jones,Jack Dorsey,Michael Saylor等大投资家都将其巨大财富的一部分投入了比特币。

10.全球最大资产管理公司贝莱德(BlackRock)投资基金的首席决策者表示,比特币在很大程度上可以取代黄金,因为加密货币“比传递金条的功能要强大得多”。亿万富翁投资者迈克·诺沃格拉茨(Mike Novogratz)表示,固定收益贝莱德(BlackRock)CIO Rick Reider在CNBC上讨论了比特币。 Reider表示,比特币将继续存在,并且有发展的潜力。他建议千禧一代青睐BTC,数字货币日益成为主流支付方式的现实是BTC的主要正面因素。

11.根据Coindesk的报告,“今年上半年的备案显示Charles Schwab Investment Management,Inc.以52,000美元的价格购买了22,977股Riot股份。Vanguard指数基金和Vanguard Valley Forge指数基金这两个Vanguard基金投资了954,229 Riot股票价值为2118,000美元,两个富达基金分别投资了176,242 Riot股票,价值230,115美元(在纳斯达克指数和三个市场指数之间平分)和2,769,759股HIVE股票,价值1,003,163美元。美国Riot Blockchain和HIVE Blockchain Technologies在加拿大,为开采比特币提供服务,这是铸造新的加密货币的过程。”

12.据报道,CitiFX为机构客户准备的最新比特币(BTC)技术分析显示,2021年12月某个时候可能达到318,000美元的高位。尽管他承认这一数字似乎不太可能,但他指出,“这只是从低位增长102倍。现在支持比特币的论点​​很可能是有史以来最具说服力的。”到目前为止,BTC的牛市长度一直在增加,最初是从2010-2011年开始,为期10个月,然后从2011-2013年开始,为期两年,最后是2015年-2017年,为三年。分析显示,最近两次牛市之后的修正期一直稳定在12个月左右。这使我们完全处于牛市中期,牛市于2019年初开始,可能会持续四年直到2022年下半年。

13. 当红股票和比特币分析师, Fundstrat 的Thomas Lee认为到明年比特币将是现在的3倍,即$60000.













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