Sunday, February 21, 2021

Opportunities To Trade For Profit Now 现在可交易获利的机会

Life is full of good opportunities and we are right at one now. I am talking about opportunity to make money and this a perfect time for making money in speculative trading. The bubbly stock market, the validation and fast adaptation of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies investments, the short squeeze phenomenon causes daily multi-hundred percent appreciation of stocks, and the still very low interest rate that destine to rise fast due to inflation. However, in order to trade successfully, you need to equip yourself with market knowledge, technical and fundamental analysis skills, trading skills and the right trading mentality.  It will definitely helps if you are also fluent in short selling, options and ETFs. All the above will allow you to exercise you trading flexibility at will. 

Bubbly Stock Market

The S&P 500 has risen from 2020 March low of 2192 to Friday's close of 3907, a huge 78% increase in 11 months. This is the largest 11 month gain since a 46% yearly gain in 1933.  The 78% rise in the past 11 months definitely dwarfed the average S&P 500 yearly return of 7% throughout history and is not nomal.   This comparison and numerous other metrics such as S&P 500 has the 3rd highest PE in history, highest Buffet Indicator (whole stock market value/GDP), highest margin debt level, extreme low interest rate that is destine to rise and the very low Volatility Index (VIX) and stock Put/Call ratio indicating extreme bullish sentiment all are calling for a sharp market correction to come. It is not the time to buy and hold stocks  at this point. It is the time to trade and it is a opportunity to make big money in betting on market down turn at the right time.  I think the right time is fast approaching.  UVXY, TZA, SQQQ and FNGD are good vehicles to participate on the market down turn. These are only suggested ETFs, you still need to time the entries and exits.






Bitcoin and Crypto Currencies

With a 200% annual appreciation in Bitcoin during the past 10 years sure catch everyone by surprise. With Bitcoin on the verge of breaking above $60,000, there are still many skeptics out there and that is why it is so bullish for Bitcoin.  Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are the new investment trend, the critics just don't see it.  The rise is just the beginning, as billionaires, hedge funds, mutual funds and corporations are just starting to warm up to the idea and many will be force to get in as the adaptation of Bitcoin accelerates. With about 18.63 millions of Bitcoins in circulation currently and a life time limit of only 21 millions, the supply and demand factor alone should drive Bitcoin price much higher.  I do believe that Bitcoin is to replace Gold as hedge against risks. Bitcoin's capitalization is around $1 trillion and Gold is 10 trillions,  Bitcoin price still has a lot of room to grow. Bitcoin price can reach $600,000 if Bitcoin take the place of gold. For this year,  projected Bitcoin price ranges from $100,000 to $300,000. Buy on dips is the way to play Bitcoin. Ways to participate in Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in the stock market are GBTC, CAN, MARA, RIOT, MOGO, BTBT, SI, MSTR, PYPL, SQ, OSTK and BRPHF.   The above are only suggestions, you still need to time the entries and exits. You may also open accounts for trading crypto currencies directly with crypto currency exchanges such as Coinbase, Binance, Kraken, Bittrex....etc. 






Short Squeeze Phenomenon

It is generally known that if the short interest of a stock is high and the share float is small, any positive news will cause a short squeeze and drive stock surging higher. The recent Game Stop (GME) and AMC Entertainment short squeeze fiascos drove GME and AMC stock surged 2703% and 966% higher respectively from January 2021 low to January 27, 2021 high. Of course, these extremes cannot be achieved without the ignorance of many retail investors.  The aftermaths are that there are many big winners and big losers and we need to navigate with caution and hopefully land on the winner side.  After what happened on GME and AMC, it becomes customary for investors to look for high shorts and low float stock to trade. Nowadays, there's no lack of daily multi-hundred percent stock movers each day. There are plenty of opportunities for knowledgeable and skillful traders to make a killing for the short term. I think go with wisely and carefully chosen daily big movers to trade for the short term (1 to 3 days) is highly profitable.   I also believe small biotech with new drug potentials are the safest in this market environment.  Here are a few biotech short squeeze potentials: SRNE, CLGN, AVXL, SAVA and CLVS. The above are only suggestions, you still need to time the entries and exits.




Long Term US Treasury Is Bearish

With Federal Reserve keep pumping money into the economy, the $1.9 trillions economic stimulus plan expected to be approved soon by congress and the roll outs of virus vaccines, the economy is expected to heat up. Better economic growth means higher inflation and interest rate. High inflation and interest rate means lower treasury bond prices. So it should be profitable to short treasuries. One way to have the same effect without shorting is by buying TBT (the ETF that reflects 2x performance of the reverse of the 20+ year treasuries ).  The above is only suggestion, you still need to time the entries and exits.








人生充满了美好的机会,而我们现在正处在一个时刻。我说的是赚钱的机会,这是在投机交易中赚钱的绝佳时机。活跃的股票市场,比特币和加密货币投资的确认和快速适应,短暂的挤压现象导致股票每日升值数百%,并且由于通货膨胀,仍然非常低的利率决定快速上升。但是,为了成功进行交易,您需要掌握市场知识,技术和基本面分析,交易技巧以及正确的交易心态。如果您还精通卖空,期权和ETF,那肯定会有所帮助。以上所有内容将使您可以随意行使交易灵活性。


 泡沫性的股票市场

标准普尔500指数已从2020年3月的低点2192点上涨至周五的收盘价3907点,在11个月中大幅上涨了78%。这是自1933年以来的46%的年度增长以来最大的11个月增长。过去11个月中的78%增长无疑使标准普尔500指数平均7%的历史年度回报率相形见拙,而且并非正常。这种不正常以及其他许多指标,例如标准普尔500指数达到历史上第三最高的市盈率,最高的巴菲特指表(整体股市价值/GDP),最高的保证金债务水平,必然上升的超低利率以及显示看涨情绪高涨的极低的波动指数(VIX)和看跌/看涨期权比例都是市场大幅调整的先兆。现在不是时候购买和持有股票而是短线交易的时候。在正确的时间押注市场下跌将是赚大利润的机会。我认为合适的时机即将到来。 UVXY,TZA,SQQQ和FNGD是参与下跌市场的好工具。这些都只是提议,您仍需选择入场及出场价格与时间。







比特币和加密货币

在过去10年中,比特币的年升值幅度为200%,这肯定会让所有人感到惊讶。随着比特币即将突破60,000美元水平却仍然有很多怀疑者,这就是为什么对比特币如此看好的原因。比特币和加密货币是极具潜力的新兴投资,批评者只是看不到它好处。比特币的上升还只是个开始,因为亿万富翁,对冲基金,共同基金和企业才刚刚开始接受这一想法,随着对比特币的适应加速,许多人将被迫买入。当前有大约1863万比特币在流通,总数量限制在2100万个,仅凭供求因素就可以把比特币价格推高很多。我确实相信比特币将取代黄金来对冲风险。比特币的市值约为1万亿美元,黄金为10万亿美元,如且看来比特币的价格仍有很大的增长空间。如果比特币真的代替黄金,比特币的价格可以达到60万美元一个。今年,预计的比特币价格从100,000美元到300,000美元不等。逢低买入是现在玩比特币的方式。在股票市场上参与比特币和加密货币的方式有GBTC,CAN,MARA,RIOT,MOGO,BTBT,SI,MSTR,PYPL,SQ, OSTK和BRPHF。这些都只是提议,您仍需选择入场及出场价格与时间。您也可以直接通过Coinbase,Binance,Kraken,Bittrex等加密货币交易所开设交易加密货币的帐户来加以加密货币。







股票的逼空现象 

众所周知,如果股票的空头头寸很高,而股票的流通量很小,那么任何利好消息都会导致空头挤压并推动股票大幅上涨。从2021年1月的低点到2021年1月27日的高点,最近的Game Stop(GME)和AMC Entertainment的空头挤压导致GME和AMC的股票分别上涨了2703%和966%。当然,如果没有许多散户投资者的无知,就不可能实现这些极端。结果是有许多大赢家和大输家,我们需要谨慎行事,并希望落在赢家一方。在GME和AMC的事情发生之后,投资者习惯于寻找高空头和低流通量股票进行交易。如今,每天不乏百分之几百上涨的股票。知识渊博且炒股技能娴熟的交易者有大量机会在短期内获大利润。我认为,明智且精心选择的每日波动大的股票进行短期(1至3天)交易是非常有利可图的。我还相信,在这种市场环境下,具有新药潜力的小型生物技术是最安全及大涨潜力最大的。以下是一些生物技术领域的空头挤压潜力股:SRNE,CLGN,AVXL,SAVA和CLVS。这些都只是提议,您仍需选择入场及出场价格与时间。




长期美国国债看跌

随着美联储(Fed)继续向经济注入资金,预计国会将很快批准1.9万亿美元的经济刺激计划,以及病毒疫苗的推出,预计经济将升温。 好的经济增长意味着高的通货膨胀率和利率。 高通胀和高利率意味着国债价格走跌。 因此,卖空国债应该有利可图。 在没有做空的情况下达到相同效果的一种方法是购买TBT(反映20年以上国债反向的2倍表现的ETF)。这只是提议,您仍需选择入场及出场价格与时间。



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