1. “The spread of Covid in China is the most bearish item affecting the market,” said Andy Lipow, president at Lipow Oil Associates. “If [Covid] spreads throughout China resulting in a significant number of lockdowns, the impact on oil markets could be substantial.” China is the world’s largest oil importer, and the Shanghai area consumes roughly 4% of the country’s crude, according to Lipow. ---CNBC
2. Ukraine's president said the country is "ready" for a major Russian offensive in the east of the country, as he accused Moscow of lying to deflect the blame for the war.
Russia has appointed a new general to direct the war after troops failed to take Kyiv, according to US and European officials.
Nine evacuation corridors were agreed for Sunday, as the death toll rose from a Russian missile strike last week on a train station packed with evacuees.
Ukraine's foreign minister said it would be "extremely difficult" to even think about negotiations with Russia following the atrocities committed in the town of Bucha and at the train station. ---CNN 04/11/2022
3. Factors for this morning's market weakness: Technical pressure after the S&P 500 closed below its 200-day moving average (4494) last Friday, the Russia-Ukraine situation that has no end in sight, the COVID lockdowns in Shanghai that have pressured oil prices ($94.38, -3.83, -3.9%), and a wait-and-see mindset for the week's economic data and earnings reports.---Briefing.com 04/11/2022On
4. On Tuesday, traders are set to receive the latest Consumer Price Index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which is expected to show a staggering 8.4% year-over-year increase in prices for the biggest leap since 1982. And this comes as Fed officials have increasingly talked of larger-than-average 50 basis-point interest rate hikes this year to help bring down prices. Last week, the Fed's March meeting minutes also showed the central bank was gearing up to begin rolling off assets from its $9 trillion balance sheet, in a further move removing financial market support and pivoting away from pandemic-era accommodative policies. ---Yahoo 04/11/2022
5. Today's Fed official speeches: All times are Eastern. 9:30 Raphael Bostic, 12:00 John Williams, 12:45 Charles Evans. ---Wall Street Breakfast 04/11/2022
6. ECB is to meet and decide on monetary policy on Thursday. At their last meeting in March, the ECB adopted a more hawkish position than had been expected by confirming a faster reduction in their asset purchases. That's set to see APP purchases fall from €40bn in April to €30bn in May and then €20bn in June, with the possibility of ending purchases altogether in Q3. Since then however, inflation has accelerated by even more than the consensus expected, with the flash CPI estimate for the Euro Area at +7.5% in March, which is the highest since the formation of the single currency, and up from +5.9% in February. In terms of what to look for this time round, Deutsche Bank economists write in their preview that they're not expecting much change to the ECB's message. Instead, they think that when the new staff forecasts are available in June, they'll announce that APP purchases will end in July, ahead of a liftoff in the policy rate in September, so an underlying direction of travel that's becoming clear. ---ZeroHedge 04/11/2022
7. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization is in the middle of a “fundamental transformation” and planning a massive military buildup along Russian borders. The Telegraph reported, "Nato is drawing up plans to deploy a permanent full-scale military force on its border in an effort to combat future Russian aggression following the invasion of Ukraine, the alliance's secretary general has revealed." Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said NATO will undergo a major “reset” and plans to put enough troops in states that border Russia to repel an invasion. The alliance currently has 40,000 troops in eastern member states. ---ZeroHedge 04/11/2022
1. “新冠病毒在中国的蔓延是影响市场的最利空因素，”Lipow Oil Associates 总裁 Andy Lipow 表示。 “如果 [Covid] 在中国蔓延并导致大量封锁，对石油市场的影响可能是巨大的。”据 Lipow 称，中国是世界上最大的石油进口国，上海地区消耗了该国大约 4% 的原油。 ---CNBC
2. 乌克兰总统表示，该国“准备好”应对俄罗斯在该国东部发动的大规模进攻，因为他指责莫斯科撒谎以转移对战争的指责。
据美国和欧洲官员称，在军队未能占领基辅后，俄罗斯任命了一名新将军来指挥战争。
由于上周俄罗斯导弹袭击一个挤满了撤离人员的火车站，造成死亡人数上升，因此周日商定了九条疏散走廊。
乌克兰外交部长表示，在布查镇和火车站发生暴行之后，甚至考虑与俄罗斯进行谈判都将是“极其困难的”。 ---CNN 04/11/2022
3. 今早市场疲软的因素：标准普尔500指数上周五收于200日均线（4494）下方后的技术压力，俄罗斯-乌克兰局势看不到尽头，上海的COVID封锁令油价承压价格（94.38 美元，-3.83，-3.9%），以及对本周经济数据和收益报告的观望心态。---Briefing.com 04/11/2022
4. 周二，交易员将收到美国劳工统计局发布的最新消费者物价指数，预计该指数将显示出惊人的 8.4% 的同比涨幅，创下 1982 年以来的最大涨幅。美联储官员越来越多地谈到今年将高于平均水平的 50 个基点加息以帮助压低价格。上周，美联储 3 月份的会议纪要还显示，美联储正准备开始从其 9 万亿美元的资产负债表中缩减资产，以进一步取消金融市场的支持并摆脱大流行时期的宽松政策。 ---雅虎 04/11/2022
5、今日美联储官员讲话：所有时间都是东部时间。 9:30 拉斐尔·博斯蒂克，12:00 约翰·威廉姆斯，12:45 查尔斯·埃文斯。 ---华尔街早餐 04/11/2022
6. 欧洲央行将于周四开会并决定货币政策。在 3 月份的最后一次会议上，欧洲央行通过确认加快减少资产购买，采取了比预期更为强硬的立场。这将使 APP 购买量从 4 月的 400 亿欧元降至 5 月的 300 亿欧元，然后在 6 月降至 200 亿欧元，并有可能在第三季度完全结束购买。然而，自那时以来，通胀加速的速度甚至超过了普遍预期，欧元区 3 月份的 CPI 预估为 +7.5%，这是自单一货币形成以来的最高水平，高于二月s的 +5.9%。就这一次的展望而言，德意志银行经济学家在他们的预览中写道，他们预计欧洲央行的信息不会有太大变化。相反，他们认为当新的劳工预测在 6 月发布时，他们将宣布 APP 购买将在 7 月结束，在 9 月政策利率上调之前，因此潜在的政策方向变得越来越清晰。 ---ZeroHedge 04/11/2022
7. 北大西洋公约组织正处于“根本性转型”之中，并计划在俄罗斯边境进行大规模军事集结。 《每日电讯报》报道称，“北约秘书长透露，北约正在制定计划，在其边境部署一支永久性的全面军事力量，以对抗俄罗斯入侵乌克兰后未来的侵略。”秘书长延斯·斯托尔滕贝格表示，北约将进行重大“重置”，并计划在与俄罗斯接壤的国家部署足够的部队以击退入侵。该联盟目前在东部成员国拥有40,000名士兵。 ---ZeroHedge 04/11/2022
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