1. S&P 500 failed to break above 2800-2817 resistances 5 times since last October. It may not be overcome for a while.
2. All major market indexes were up at the open and sharply lower now, an bearish outside day has formed.
3. Volatility Index VIX is up over 24% today, the biggest up move since December low. This is a show of fear.
4. The US-China trade deal progress news has been used too much, best result may have been reflected by the stock market.
5. Major US stock indexes have risen 19%-22% since December low, too much too soon.
6. The Shanghai stock index has risen 23% since January 3, 2019 low, too much too soon.
7. 7. Recent US, European and Chinese economic data is not good.
Projected downside targets for the S&P 500 are 2750 and 2700.
1.自从标准普尔500指数未能突破2800-2817阻力位5次。这个阻力区可能有一段时间不能越过。
2.所有主要市场指数均在开盘上涨,现在大幅走低,形成看跌的外部日。
3.波动率指数VIX今天上涨超过24%,是自12月低点以来的最大涨幅。 这是恐惧的表现。
4.美中贸易协议进展新闻使用过多,最好的结果可能已经反映在股市上。
5.美国主要股指自去年12月的低点上涨了19%-22%,太多太快了。
6.自2019年1月3日以来,上证指数已经上涨了23%,太多太快了。
7. 最近美国,欧洲及中国经济数据并不好。
标准普尔500指数的下行目标预计为2750和2700。
This blog follows the US stock market daily. Free market news, market comments, stock charts, stock and options buy/sell suggestions are provided throughout the day.
Monday, March 4, 2019
Reasons for US stock market to start downside correction 美国股市开始下行修正的一些原因
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U.C. Berkeley graduated, former electronic/computer engineer turned investment advisor / analyst. In the market 42 years with focus in market timing, learned from experience to trust charts,combine with trend, valuation, news and investors sentiment in making trading decisions,, knowing anything can happen to the market so very flexible to trade both sides of the market. 1992 CNBC/USA Today Investment Challenge professional options division champ with 3 month return of 1125%. In real life trading accomplished 9600% return by trading TZA options in the course of 3 months, doubled account value in 3 months by trading 3X ETFs. Now retired and enjoy trading stock and options daily. On going partnership with Sing Tao Daily and Sing Tao Radios in offering advanced stock and options trading classes semi-annually.
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伯克利加州大学毕业,前电子/计算机工程师转为财务顾问/股市分析师。 在市场42年,专注于参与市场时机。从经验中学到信任图表,结合趋势、估值、新闻和投资者情绪做出交易决策。知道任何事情都可能发生在市场上,因此非常灵活地参与买涨及做空,参与市场的两个方向。 1992年CNBC /今日美国日报投资挑战赛专业期权组冠军,3个月回报率为1125%。 在现实生活中,通过在3个月内交易TZA期权获得9600%的回报,通过交易3X ETF在3个月内使账户价值翻倍。 现在退休,享受每日交易股票和期权。 与星岛日报和星岛电台合作,每半年提供一次深入的股票和期权交易课程。
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