从技术上讲,TSLA(887.06)随时会开始下行修正。在过去的12个月中,股票增长了150%,在过去的半年中,增长了233%。它是在是上升太多,速度太快了。 TSLA价格走势图已经变成垂直,并且随时会下跌,因为它无法抵抗地心吸力。最近两天的大交易量表明购买高潮。 CCI现为328,是有史以来最高水平,这意味着极端超买情况。 图表中今天的缺口可能是疲惫性缺口,而且转势的杜奇星已出现,股价并且已经开始退下来。蓝色和红色的斐波那契线是股票可能回落到的水平。正常的回撤将是2020年1月27日最后一次上涨行清的38%,这意味着回落至804水平(蓝线)。从2019年11月26日起更大幅度上涨行情的38%回调位将为722(红线)。
This blog follows the US stock market daily. Free market news, market comments, stock charts, stock and options buy/sell suggestions are provided throughout the day.
Tuesday, February 4, 2020
TSLA Fall Is Imminent TSLA即将下跌
Technically, TSLA (887.06) is ready to have a downside correction. Stock has risen 150% in the last 12 months and 233% in the last half year. It has ran up too much too fast. TSLA price chart has turned vertical and may be ready to come down since it cannot defy gravity. Heavy volume in the last two days is indicative of buying climax. CCI at 328 is the highest ever means extreme overbought condition. Today's gap in the chart may as well be the exhaustion gap. A Doji Star indicating reversal has formed and stock price have already turning down. The Blue and Red Fibonacci lines are levels that the stock may come back to. A normal retracement would be 38% of the last up move from January 27, 2020 and this means retracing back down to 804 level (blue line). A 38% retracement of a bigger up move from November 26, 2019 would be 722 (red line).
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U.C. Berkeley graduated, former electronic/computer engineer turned investment advisor / analyst. In the market 42 years with focus in market timing, learned from experience to trust charts,combine with trend, valuation, news and investors sentiment in making trading decisions,, knowing anything can happen to the market so very flexible to trade both sides of the market. 1992 CNBC/USA Today Investment Challenge professional options division champ with 3 month return of 1125%. In real life trading accomplished 9600% return by trading TZA options in the course of 3 months, doubled account value in 3 months by trading 3X ETFs. Now retired and enjoy trading stock and options daily. On going partnership with Sing Tao Daily and Sing Tao Radios in offering advanced stock and options trading classes semi-annually.
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伯克利加州大学毕业,前电子/计算机工程师转为财务顾问/股市分析师。 在市场42年,专注于参与市场时机。从经验中学到信任图表,结合趋势、估值、新闻和投资者情绪做出交易决策。知道任何事情都可能发生在市场上,因此非常灵活地参与买涨及做空,参与市场的两个方向。 1992年CNBC /今日美国日报投资挑战赛专业期权组冠军,3个月回报率为1125%。 在现实生活中,通过在3个月内交易TZA期权获得9600%的回报,通过交易3X ETF在3个月内使账户价值翻倍。 现在退休,享受每日交易股票和期权。 与星岛日报和星岛电台合作,每半年提供一次深入的股票和期权交易课程。
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