Friday, February 1, 2019

Market mixed, 2 play suggestions 市场涨跌互见,提议两只股票

Much stronger Non-farm payroll report,  better Chevron(CVX) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) earnings , Amazon (AMZN) sell off after earning, dovish Federal Reserve and hopes of US-China trade deal produce a mixed market. At 10:28 AM Pacific Time Dow +74, S&P 500 +2.66, Nasdaq -12, Russell 2000 +2.40. WTI crude is up 3.03%. Gold is down 0.23%. 10 year treasury yield +0.053 to 2.6880.

Technically, Dow is above its 200 day moving average 24985 and psychological level at 25000.
If Dow's 25000 is able to hold, other indexes may try to catch up and challenge their 200 day moving averages. They are S&P 500 2741, Nasdaq 7453 and Russell 2000 1589. However, with the indexes are already up ranging from 16% to 18%,  a down side correction is also possible.

With the market bias to the upside but not willing to chase, I think playing individual stocks is prudent. My pick for the day are: Short Sell or buy Put for PZZA and Long or buy Call for USO. Papa John PZZA announced it's only looking to sell off a slice of itself after acquisition offers from PE firms disappointed. Stock is breaking below support. USO accelerated to the up side after breaking above its Head and Shoulder neckline. Oil rig count decreased by 14 helped the rise.


强劲的非农就业报告,雪佛龙(CVX)和埃克森美孚(XOM)财报好于预期,亚马逊(AMZN)财报后被抛售,温和的美联储政策和美中贸易协议的希望造成今天市场涨跌互见。太平洋时间上午10:28,道指+74,标准普尔500指数+2.66,纳斯达克-12,罗素2000 +2.40。 WTI原油上涨3.03%。黄金下跌0.23%。 10年期国债收益率+0.053至2.6880。

从技术面来看,道琼斯指数高于其200日均线24985及心理价位在25000点。如果道指25000能够守稳,其他指数可能会试图赶上并挑战它们的200日均线。他们是标准普尔500 2741,纳斯达克7453和罗素2000 1589. 然而,由于指数已经从一个月前上升了16%至18%,也可能会出现下行修正。

由于市场偏向上行但不愿意追高,我认为要谨慎而参与个股。我今天的选择是:卖空PZZA或买入PZZA 的看跌期权和买入USO或买USO的看涨期权。在私募股权公司的收购报价令人失望之后,Papa John PZZA宣布只会出售公司的一部分。股市跌破支撑位。USO 在突破头肩底的颈线后加速向上。石油钻井平台数减少了14个,这有助于上涨。


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