。Oversea markets: Shanghai +0.68%, Japan+2.61%, Hong Kong +0.10%, Germany +1.11%, UK +0.09%, France +1.07%.
。Oil prices gained nearly 3 percent on Tuesday, supported by OPEC-led production cuts, which Saudi Arabia said it would surpass by more than half a million barrels per day (bpd), and by U.S. sanctions against Iran and Venezuela. ---Reuters
。Democratic and Republican lawmakers said late Monday that a deal has been reached to avert another damaging government shutdown. Committed to avoiding the repeat of such a scenario, GOP negotiators agreed to a border-security deal that will involve far less money for an extension of the southern U.S. border wall than President Donald Trump has been demanding. ---MarketWatch
。Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said on Tuesday Britain should be under no illusions about the likely shock to its economy if it leaves the European Union next month without a transition deal to ease the shock. ---Reuters
。The allocation to global equities tumbled 12% to just net 6% overweight, the lowest level since September 2016, and the biggest MoM drop relative to the performance of global equities (+7% from Jan 4th start of Jan'19 survey) to Feb 7th (end of Feb'19 survey) on record. This confirms that nobody has any faith in the current rally, which may indeed be simply a lingering artifact of Steven Mnuchin calling in the Plunge Protection Team in late December. If investors are selling stocks who is buying, with the most likely culprits being the return of stock buybacks and a historic short squeeze.
---Zero Hedge
。Morgan Stanley downgrades Cisco Systems (CSCO) from Overweight to Equal-Weight and drops the target from $51 to $49. Analyst James E Faucette: "Cisco’s stock’s multiple has meaningfully converged with the market over the past 1.5 years, and we therefore think it is a good time to step to the sidelines." ---Seeking Alpha
。Ahead of Thursday's earnings report, Goldman Sachs maintains a Buy rating on Nvidia (NVDA) and lowers the target from $184 to $162. The firm cites "disappointing sell-through of high-end gaming and the ongoing ‘pause’ in server purchases by hyperscale customers." Goldman's bull/bear scenarios put upside potential at 76% and downside at 45%.
---Seeking Alpha
。太平洋时间上午8:07：道琼斯指数+ 288标准普尔500指数+30.5，纳斯达克指数+98，罗素2000 +18.8。 WTI原油+ 1.95％，黄金+ 0.11％，美元指数-0.19％。
。海外市场：上海+ 0.68％，日本+ 2.61％，香港+ 0.10％，德国+ 1.11％，英国+ 0.09％，法国+ 1.07％。
。周二油价上涨，得益于欧佩克主导的减产，沙特阿拉伯表示每天将减产比原来多50万桶，以及美国对伊朗和委内瑞拉的制裁。 ---Reuters
。民主党和共和党立法者周一晚间表示已达成协议，避免另一个破坏性的政府关闭。共和党谈判代表承诺避免重复这种情况，同意签署一项边境安全协议，这个协议将比唐纳德特朗普总统要求的延长美国南部边境墙的资金少得多。 ---Market Watch
。英国央行行长马克·卡尼周二表示，如果英国下个月离开欧盟而没有一项缓和冲击的过渡协议，英国应该对经济不会受到冲击而抱有幻想。 ---Reuters
。全球股票的配置下跌12％至仅持有6％，为2016年9月以来的最低水平，这是相对于全球股市表现的最大环比下降（从1月4日至2月7月（结束调查）全球股市上升7%）。这证实了没有人对目前的反弹有任何信心，这可能只是Steven Mnuchin在12月底召集暴跌保护队的一件挥之不去的神器。如果投资者在卖股那么谁在购买的股票？最有可能的原因是股票回购的回归和历史性的空头挤压。--- Zero Hedge
。摩根士丹利将思科系统公司（CSCO）的评级从“增持”下调至“等权重”，并将目标价从51美元下调至49美元。分析师James E Faucette：“过去1.5年来，思科股票的PE倍数与市场有意义地融合在一起，因此我们认为现在是离场 的好时机。” ---Seeking Alpha
。在周四的盈利报告公布前，高盛（Goldman Sachs）维持对Nvidia（NVDA）的买入评级，但将目标价从184美元下调至162美元。该公司援引“令人失望的高端游戏销售情况以及超大规模客户购买服务器的持续'停顿'。”高盛的牛市/熊市情景上行潜力为76％，下行潜力为45％。
---Seeking Alpha
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