Sunday, February 10, 2019

Tallying Stock Market Worries 盘点股市忧虑

Tallying Stock Market Worries :

1. Global economic slow down projected.
2. Corporate earning projections lowered for 2019.
3. Potential delay in US-China trade deal.
4. Potential government shut down the second time.
5. Goldman Sachs and another brokerage warned clients that the semiconductor 's 2019 rally looks excessive compared to chip demand expectations.
6. According to Dana Lyons of J. Lyons Fund Management's S&P 500 chart, it has reached the second most overbought level in the last 150 years. The past September saw the composite reach 122% above the trend line, meaning it was 122% overbought.


7. The “trifecta” of national, corporate, and consumer debt has reached all-time highs, and could prove to be catastrophic if a recession hits. ---Seeking Alpha

US National Debt: $22 Trillions



Corporate Debts: $6.1 Trillions


Consumer Debt: $4 Trillions


8. S&P 500, Nasdaq and Russell 2000 are still below their 200 day moving averages. Major stock indexes's 200 day moving averages are formidable resistances.




盘点股市忧虑:

1。全球经济成长预测被下调。
2。 2019年盈利预测被下调。
3。美中贸易协议可能出现延迟。
4。美国政府可能会再度关闭。
5。高盛和另一家券商警告客户,与芯片需求预期相比,半导体股票2019年的反弹看起来过多。
6。 根据Dana Lyons 的J. Lyons Fund Management的标准普尔500指数图表显示它已经达到了过去150年来第二大超买水平。 在去年9月份,标准普尔500指数达到趋势线之上122%,意味着超买率为122%。


7。国家,企业和消费者债务的“三高”已达到历史最高点,如果经济衰退到来,可能会被证明是灾难性的。
美国国家债务:22兆美元


企业债务:6.1兆美元


消费者债务:4兆美元:




8。 标准普尔500指数,纳斯达克指数和罗素2000指数仍然低于200日均线。各大指数的200日均线是重要市场难以逾越的阻力。

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