Morning Market News Digest 早盘市场新闻摘要

。Pacific Time 7:04 AM : Dow -2.80，  S&P 500-0.06， Nasdaq-2.25, Russell 2000 +0.73, WTI crude oil-0.10%，Gold+0.19%， US dollar index-0.10%.

。Oversea markets: Shanghai -1.12%, Japan -1.46%, Hong Kong-1.23%, Germany+0.30%, UK-0.32%, France--0.04%.

。Weak sectors: FDN, FXI   Strong sectors:IYR, PPH, EWG, GDX, SOCL

。The diplomatic cable from Beijing arrived in Washington late on Friday night, with systematic edits to a nearly 150-page draft trade agreement that would blow up months of negotiations between the world’s two largest economies, according to three U.S. government sources and three private sector sources briefed on the talks. In each of the seven chapters of the draft trade deal, China had deleted its commitments to change laws to resolve core complaints that caused the United States to launch a trade war: theft of U.S. intellectual property and trade secrets; forced technology transfers; competition policy; access to financial services; and currency manipulation.---Reuters

。Nomura analysts see a high likelihood further negotiations between the United States and China will be needed before a final trade deal is reached, dragging out a dispute between the world’s two biggest economies that has kept investors on edge. Nomura sees a 10 percent possibility of the U.S. and China coming to an agreement on a comprehensive trade deal this week, and a five percent chance that negotiations “completely break down”. The bank said there is a 45 percent chance new tariffs on China imports threatened by U.S. President Donald Trump go into effect on Friday but negotiations continue thereafter, and a 40 percent chance the U.S. postpones the tariffs and talks continue. ---Reuters

。Here Are The Four Possible Scenarios For Friday:
1.Rabbit out of a hat deal (25%) : This could be positive for asset markets, which could regain and maybe even exceed previous highs on the view that the deal is finally done. 2. Delay of tariff imposition because talks are making ‘progress’ (50%) – This is neutral to somewhat positive for asset markets. 3. Limited tariff imposition, for example, going from 10% to 15% tariff rates on already tariffed goods (10%) – this is neutral to somewhat negative for asset markets. 4. Full tariff imposition and breakdown of talks (15%) – this is the big risk event. ---Steve Englander via Zero Hedge

。China’s exports fell in April and imports rose. Exports dropped 2.7 percent in April, while imports expanded by 4 percent last month, leaving a trade surplus of $13.84 billion, the customs administration said Wednesday. Economists forecast that exports would tick up by 3 percent while imports would slip by 2.1 percent.---Bloomberg

。Wendy’s (WEN+1.68%) The restaurant chain came in 3 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly profit of 14 cents per share. Revenue also beat forecasts. Same-restaurant sales were up 1.3%, matching consensus. ---CNBC

。Lyft （LYFT +0.84%） lost $1.14 billion in its first earnings report since going public, with the ride-sharing service saying this will be its peak year for losses and that it sees a clear path to profitability. ---CNBC

。Electronic Arts（EA +5.03%） reported adjusted quarterly profit of $1.31 per share, topping the consensus estimate of 98 cents a share. The video game company’s revenue also exceeded Street forecasts and Electronic Arts issued better-than-expected revenue guidance for the current quarter and the full year. ---CNBC

。TripAdvisor （TRIP -9.90%） beat estimates by 5 cents a share, with adjusted quarterly profit of 36 cents per share. The travel review website operator’s revenue was short of forecasts, however, and the company said it sees a slowdown in non-hotel revenue growth. ---CNBC

。Zayo (ZAYO +8.10%) will sell itself for $35/share to affiliates of global investment firms EQT and Digital Colony. The offer represents a 32% premium on the volume-weighted price average of the past six months. ---Seeking Alpha

。Qorvo (QRVO +4.64%)  profits topped high-end estimates with a stronger-than-expected revenue gain in Q4. Revenues of $681M with a gross margin of 48.2% led to operating income of $167M.IPD revenue hit $238M thanks to strength in 5G base station deployments (including massive MIMO).---Seeking Alpha





。太平洋时间早上7点04分：道指-2.80，标准普尔500-0.06，纳斯达克2.25，罗素2000 +0.73，WTI原油-0.10％，黄金+ 0.19％，美元指数-0.10％。

。海外市场：上海-1.12％，日本-1.46％，香港1.23％，德国+ 0.30％，英国-0.32％，法国-0.04％。

。弱势行业：FDN，FXI   强势行业：IYR，PPH，EWG，GDX，SOCL

。根据美国三个政府消息来源和三个私营部门消息来源，来自北京的外交电报于上周五晚抵达华盛顿，系统地编辑了近150页的贸易协议草案，该协议将摧毁世界两大经济体之间数月的谈判。在贸易协议草案的七个章节中，中国删除了改变法律的承诺以解决导致美国发动贸易战的核心投诉：窃取美国知识产权和商业机密;强制技术转让;竞争政策;获得金融服务;和货币操纵.---路透社

。野村分析师认为，在达成最终贸易协议之前，美国和中国之间需要进一步谈判的可能性很大，这拖延了世界两大经济体之间的争端，这使得投资者处于紧张之中。野村认为，美国和中国本周就全面贸易协议达成协议的可能性为10％，谈判“彻底崩溃”的可能性为5％。该银行表示，美国总统唐纳德特朗普受到威胁的中国进口新关税有45％的可能性于周五生效，但此后谈判仍在继续，美国推迟关税和谈判的可能性仍有40％。 ---路透社

以下是周五的四种可能情景：
1. 突发协议（25％）：这对资产市场可能是积极的，由于谈判终于完成，资产市场可能重新获得甚至可能超过之前的高点。 2. 延迟征收关税，因为谈判取得了“进展”（50％） - 这对资产市场来说是中性的。 3. 有限的关税征收，例如，对已经有10%关税的商品征收10％至15％的关税税 - 这对资产市场来说是中性的。 4。完全关税征收和谈判破裂（15％） - 这是一个重大的风险事件。 --- Steve Englander通过Zero Hedge

。海关当局周三表示4月份中国出口下降2.7％，进口增加4％，盈余138.4亿美元。经济学家预测出口将增长3％，而进口将减少2.1％.---彭博社

。Wendy's （WEN +1.68%） - 餐厅连锁店的盈利高于每股3美分，季度利润为每股14美分。收入也超过了预期。同店销售额增长1.3％，与共识相同。 --- CNBC

。Lyft  （ LYFT +0.84%）自上市以来的第一份收益报告损失11.4亿美元，乘坐共享服务称这将是亏损的高峰年，并且它看到了明确的盈利之路。 --- CNBC

。Electronic Arts （EA +5.03%）报告调整后的季度每股盈利1.31美元，高于市场普遍预期的每股98美分。这家视频游戏公司的营收也超过了街道预测，而EA公布了本季度和全年的收入预期均好于预期。 --- CNBC

。TripAdvisor （TRIP -9.90%）的盈利好于预期5美分，调整后的季度利润为每股36美分。然而，旅游评论网站运营商的营收入低于预期，该公司表示其非酒店收入增长放缓。 --- CNBC

。Zayo（ZAYO +8.10%）将以35美元/股的价格出售给全球投资公司EQT和Digital Colony的附属公司。 该报价较过去六个月的成交量加权平均价格高出32％。---Seeking Alpha

。Qorvo（QRVO +4.64%）的利润超过了高端预期，第四季度的收入增长强于预期。 收入为6.81亿美元，毛利率为48.2％，营业收入达到1.67亿美元。由于5G基站部署（包括大规模MIMO）的实力，IPD收入达到2.38亿美元.---Seeking Alpha