。US-China trade war is intensifying, US-Mexico trade war just started and US-European and US-Japan trade war coming.
。Oil is down sharply ,gold up sharply and 10 year treasury yield hit 2016 low. They are starting to react and/or predicting more troubles to come in the stock market.
。Consistent yield curve inversion lately is predicting economic recession ahead.
。All major US stock indexes are below their 200 day moving averages. These are major technical breaches which indicate more downside. Not mention bearish Dow Triple Top and Double Top for both S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have been confirmed. Market's downside supports are indicated with Fibonacci lines as shown in the following S&P 500 daily chart.
。Sentiment is still bullish as the fear guage VIX is still sitting near recent low level. Investors have not reflecting enough of the stock market's trouble.
。Seasonally, May to August stock market trend is usually down.
。美中贸易战正在加剧,美墨贸易战刚刚开始,美欧和美日贸易战即将来临。
。石油价格急剧下跌,黄金大幅上涨及10年国债回报率跌至2016年低位。这都显示他们开始反应和/或预测股市会出现更多麻烦。
。近期经常的收益率曲线反转预示着经济衰退或会到来。
。美国所有主要股指均低于200日均线。 这些是主要的技术破坏,显示更多的下跌会到来。 另外道指三重顶,标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数的双顶看跌形态均已得到证实。市场的下跌支撑在下面的标普500 图上以Fibonacci线列出。
。由于恐慌情绪VIX仍处于近期低位附近,市场情绪依然看涨。 投资者显然没有反映出足够的股市问题。
。从季节来看,5月至8月股市的走势通常是下行。
This blog follows the US stock market daily. Free market news, market comments, stock charts, stock and options buy/sell suggestions are provided throughout the day.
Friday, May 31, 2019
Bearish Factors For The US Stock Market 美国股市的利空因素
Contact Email: tradeideablog@gmail.com
U.C. Berkeley graduated, former electronic/computer engineer turned investment advisor / analyst. In the market 42 years with focus in market timing, learned from experience to trust charts,combine with trend, valuation, news and investors sentiment in making trading decisions,, knowing anything can happen to the market so very flexible to trade both sides of the market. 1992 CNBC/USA Today Investment Challenge professional options division champ with 3 month return of 1125%. In real life trading accomplished 9600% return by trading TZA options in the course of 3 months, doubled account value in 3 months by trading 3X ETFs. Now retired and enjoy trading stock and options daily. On going partnership with Sing Tao Daily and Sing Tao Radios in offering advanced stock and options trading classes semi-annually.
联系Email:tradeideablog@gmail.com
伯克利加州大学毕业,前电子/计算机工程师转为财务顾问/股市分析师。 在市场42年,专注于参与市场时机。从经验中学到信任图表,结合趋势、估值、新闻和投资者情绪做出交易决策。知道任何事情都可能发生在市场上,因此非常灵活地参与买涨及做空,参与市场的两个方向。 1992年CNBC /今日美国日报投资挑战赛专业期权组冠军,3个月回报率为1125%。 在现实生活中,通过在3个月内交易TZA期权获得9600%的回报,通过交易3X ETF在3个月内使账户价值翻倍。 现在退休,享受每日交易股票和期权。 与星岛日报和星岛电台合作,每半年提供一次深入的股票和期权交易课程。
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment