The S&P 500 bounced 56 points today after dropping 156 points in the previous two days. This is a 36% bounce and is an average bounce. The S&P 500 is still solidly on a down trend after it failed to break above resistance at 2637. With the surge in confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths within US, record breaking unemployment claims, more companies announcing layoffs and furlough and continue "shelter in place" in more states stopping economic activities , good news is hard to come by to help the market. The retest of S&P 500's March 23 low of 2191 looks inevitable.
。Latest world and US COVID-19 statistics, source BNO News:
。U.S. officials are keeping a close watch on which areas of the country might follow New York —where 38% of the country’s more than 242,100 cases are concentrated. Louisiana, where 26% of all tests come back positive, concerns U.S. health officials. Michigan, Connecticut, Indiana, Georgia and Illinois all test positive about 15% of the time. ---CNBC
。CBO said that it now expects the economy to contract sharply during the second quarter of 2020 as a result of the continued disruption of commerce stemming from the spread of the novel coronavirus. What it expects now is, at least in the short-run, nothing short of a depression, with Q2 GDP expected to plunge to -28% as unemployment soars to 10%.---ZeroHedge
。Tesla (TSLA) says it produced almost 103K vehicles and delivered approximately 88.4K vehicles to mark its best Q1 ever. The consensus analyst mark was for 79.9K deliveries after a series of recent downward revisions to account for the coronavirus impact. The deliveries tally included 12.2K Model S/X vehicles and 76.2K Model 3/Ys.The EV automaker says Model Y production started in January and deliveries began in March, significantly ahead of schedule.---Seeking Alpha
。Boeing offered voluntary buyouts to its entire staff of 161,000, in a bid to shed costs and adapt the massive manufacturer to a coronavirus crisis that could depress the aircraft market for years.
“When the world emerges from the pandemic, the size of the commercial market and the types of products and services our customers want and need will likely be different,” Chief Executive Officer David Calhoun said in a message to employees Thursday. “It’s important we start adjusting to our new reality now.” According to Bloomberg which first reported about the offer, the buyout is being present companywide to all eligible employees of the Chicago-based company. Boeing will provide information on the terms within four weeks.---Zero Hedge
。Russia's energy minister Novak made it clear that instead of cutting supply, Moscow will wait for demand to return: RUSSIA'S NOVAK SAYS WE HOPE THAT GLOBAL OIL DEMAND WILL RISE IN A FEW MONTHS. Then Dow Jones made it clear that according to Saudi sources, Trump's tweet was nothing but baseless oil price manipulation: SAUDI OFFICIAL SAY TRUMP'S TALK OF 10 MILLION BBL A DAY CUT OR ABOVE WAS AN EXAGGERATION. ---ZeroHedge
。General Electric is planning to furlough half of its aviation unit’s engine-manufacturing staff as the coronavirus roils the industry, the company told CNBC. The move would involve thousands of jobs in the important unit and last for four weeks.---CNBC
。Dr. Anthony S. Fauci says that the United States will not come out of lockdown until there are no “new cases” of coronavirus, prompting some to question precisely how long that will be.---CNBC
。The federal government's own emergency stockpile of respirator masks, gloves, and ventilators is already nearly depleted. Two Homeland Security Department officials told the Washington Post that crucial supplies kept in the Health and Human Services Department’s Strategic National Stockpile are woefully low and will run out amid the pandemic. “The stockpile was designed to respond to a handful of cities. It was never built or designed to fight a 50-state pandemic,” one official said. “This is not only a U.S. government problem. The supply chain for PPE worldwide has broken down, and there is a lot of price gouging happening.”---Zero Hedge
标普500指数在前两天下跌了156点之后,今天反弹了56点。 这是36%的反弹,是正常的反弹。 标普500指数未能突破2637的阻力位后,仍处于稳定的下跌趋势中。随着激增的美国境内确诊COVID-19病例和死亡人数,创纪录的申领失业人数,越来越多公司宣布裁员和无薪休假及有更多的州继续禁止外出导致经济活动停止,很难会有好消息推动市场。 标普500指数3月23日低点2191的重新测试已是不可避免的。
。最新世界及美国COVID-19统计,源自BNO新闻:
。美国官员一直在密切关注可能跟随纽约成为病毒传染热点的将是哪些地区。美国超过242,100例案件中有38%集中在纽约。 路易斯安那州的所有测试中有26%返回阳性,这令美国卫生官员担忧。 密歇根州,康涅狄格州,印第安纳州,乔治亚州和伊利诺伊州的测试结果大约有15%为阳性。 --- CNBC
。国会预算办公室说,现在预计由于新型冠状病毒的传播导致商业持续中断,经济将在2020年第二季度急剧萎缩。 目前的预期是,至少在短期内会出现萧条,随着失业率飙升至10%,第二季度GDP预计将降至-28%. ---ZeroHedge
。特斯拉(TSLA)说,它生产了近103,000辆汽车,交付了约88,400辆汽车,这是有史以来最好的第一季度。 经过一系列近期下调以解释冠状病毒的影响后,分析师的共识标志是交货量为7.99万。电动汽车制造商表示,Y型车于1月份开始生产,3月开始交付,这大大超过了计划。---Seeking Alpha
。波音公司向其全部161,000名员工提供自愿被收购,以降低成本并使庞大的制造商适应冠状病毒危机,这种危机可能会压抑飞机市场多年。“当世界从病毒大流行中重薪起来时,商业市场的规模以及客户想要和需要的产品和服务的类型可能会有所不同,”首席执行官David Calhoun在周四给员工的一封信中说。 “重要的是我们现在开始适应我们的新现实。” 据首次报道要约的彭博社报道,此次收购正在全公司范围内向位于芝加哥的公司的所有合格员工提出。 波音将在四个星期内提供有关条款的信息。 --- ZeroHedge
。俄罗斯能源部长诺瓦克明确表示,莫斯科不会削减供应,而是会等待需求恢复。俄罗斯的诺瓦克说,我们希望全球石油需求在未来几个月内会上升。 道琼斯新闻明确表示,根据沙特消息来源,特朗普的推文不过是毫无根据的油价操纵:沙特阿拉伯官方对特朗普一天至少减1000万桶的言论感到愤怒。 --- ZeroHedge
。随着冠状病毒席卷整个行业,通用电气(General Electric GE)正计划解散其航空部门的引擎制造人员的一半。 此举将在重要部门涉及数千个工作岗位持续四个星期。---CNBC
。Anthony S. Fauci医生士说,直到没有冠状病毒的“新病例”,美国才会解除封锁,促使一些人确切地问这将持续多长时间。--- CNBC
。联邦政府自己的呼吸器口罩,手套和呼吸机应急储存已经接近耗尽。 国土安全部的两名官员告诉《华盛顿邮报》,卫生与公共服务部战略性国家储备中的关键物资严重不足,将在病毒大流行中耗尽。 “库存旨在应对少数几个城市。 它从来没有为对抗50个州的大流行而建造或设计。”一位官员说。 “这不仅是美国政府的问题。 全球PPE的供应链已经崩溃,并且价格欺诈正在发生。” ---零对冲
This blog follows the US stock market daily. Free market news, market comments, stock charts, stock and options buy/sell suggestions are provided throughout the day.
Thursday, April 2, 2020
Good News Is No Where To Be Found, Market Retest Of March Low Inevitable 好消息无处可寻,市场三月低点的重新测试不可避免
Contact Email: tradeideablog@gmail.com
U.C. Berkeley graduated, former electronic/computer engineer turned investment advisor / analyst. In the market 42 years with focus in market timing, learned from experience to trust charts,combine with trend, valuation, news and investors sentiment in making trading decisions,, knowing anything can happen to the market so very flexible to trade both sides of the market. 1992 CNBC/USA Today Investment Challenge professional options division champ with 3 month return of 1125%. In real life trading accomplished 9600% return by trading TZA options in the course of 3 months, doubled account value in 3 months by trading 3X ETFs. Now retired and enjoy trading stock and options daily. On going partnership with Sing Tao Daily and Sing Tao Radios in offering advanced stock and options trading classes semi-annually.
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伯克利加州大学毕业,前电子/计算机工程师转为财务顾问/股市分析师。 在市场42年,专注于参与市场时机。从经验中学到信任图表,结合趋势、估值、新闻和投资者情绪做出交易决策。知道任何事情都可能发生在市场上,因此非常灵活地参与买涨及做空,参与市场的两个方向。 1992年CNBC /今日美国日报投资挑战赛专业期权组冠军,3个月回报率为1125%。 在现实生活中,通过在3个月内交易TZA期权获得9600%的回报,通过交易3X ETF在3个月内使账户价值翻倍。 现在退休,享受每日交易股票和期权。 与星岛日报和星岛电台合作,每半年提供一次深入的股票和期权交易课程。
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