Morning Market News Digest 早盘市场新闻摘要

。Pacific Time 7:35AM : Dow -40, S&P 500 +16.2， Nasdaq ＋85.25, Russell 2000 +9.90. WTI crude oil +1.44%，Gold +1.04%.

。Oversea markets: Shanghai +0.35%, Japan+1.06%, Hong Kong+1.08%, Germany-0.89%, UK +0.30%, France -0.19%.

。U.S. President Donald Trump warned on Thursday that a trade deal with China would be unacceptable unless Beijing opened its markets to U.S. financial services, manufacturing, agriculture and other industries. ---Reuters

。Chinese factory activity contracted for a second straight month in January, the official Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) showed. The index ticked up to 49.5, but remained below the 50-point level that separates growth from contraction. China's services sector posted stronger figures, recording a PMI of 54.7.---BBC

。Italy's economy tipped into recession at the end of last year, according to latest figures. In the final three months of 2018, the economy shrank by 0.2%, following a 0.1% decline in the third quarter, the Istat statistics office said. Growth in the euro area remained at 0.2% in the final quarter of 2018, the same as the previous quarter and in line with analysts' expectations. ---BBC

。January Chicago PMI came in at 56.7 lower than 62.5 consensus. It was 65.4 in December。

。Microsoft (MSFT) reported Q2 results that beat EPS estimates by one cent with $1.10 and narrowly missed on revenue with a reported $32.5B (+12% Y/Y)。MSFT －2.05%。

。Facebook (FB) Q4 EPS of $2.38 beats by $0.20. Revenue of $16.91B (+30.4% Y/Y) beats by $510M。FB ＋11.7%。

。Qualcomm (QCOM) Q1 EPS of $0.87 beats by $0.11. Revenue of $4.82B (-19.7% Y/Y) misses by $80M。QCOM －0.86%。

。Tesla (TSLA) Q4 EPS of $0.78 misses by $0.48. Revenue of $7.23B (+119.8% Y/Y) beats by $110M。TSLA －2.31%。

。Visa (NYSE:V) Q1 GAAP EPS of $1.30 beats by $0.05.  Revenue of $5.5B (+13.2% Y/Y) beats by $90M。V －2.46%

。General Electric (GE) Q4 EPS of $0.08 misses by $0.05. Revenue of $33.3B (+5.4% Y/Y) beats by $1.07B。GE ＋15%。



。太平洋时间早上7:35：道琼斯-40，标准普尔500指数+16.2，纳斯达克指数+85.25，罗素2000 +9.90。 WTI原油+ 1.44％，黄金+ 1.04％。

。海外市场：上海+ 0.35％，日本+ 1.06％，香港+ 1.08％，德国-0.89％，英国+ 0.30％，法国-0.19％。

。官方采购经理人指数（PMI）显示，1月份中国工厂活动连续第二个月收缩。该指数上涨至49.5，但仍低于将增长与收缩分界的50点水平。中国服务业数据强劲，PMI为54.7 .---BBC

。美国总统唐纳德特朗普周四警告说，除非北京向美国金融服务，制造业，农业和其他行业开放市场，否则与中国的贸易协议将是不可接受的。---Reuters

。根据最新数据，意大利的经济在去年年底已陷入衰退。 Istat统计办公室表示，在2018年最后三个月，经济萎缩了0.2％，第三季度则下降0.1％。 2018年第四季度欧元区经济增长率维持在0.2％，与上一季度持平，符合分析师的预期。 --- BBC

。芝加哥采购经理人指数56.7，低于预期的62.5。 12月是65.4。

。微软（MSFT）报告第二季度每股盈利1.10美元超过预期1美分，营业额小幅低于预期，为32.5亿美元（同比增长12％）。MSFT-2.05％。

。Facebook（FB）Q4每股盈利2.38美元，好于预期0.20美元。营业额16.91亿美元（同比增长30.4％）好于预期5.1亿美元，增长11.7％。FB＋11.69%。

。Qualcomm（QCOM）第一季度每股盈利0.87美元，好于预期0.11美元。营业额 $ 4.82B（-19.7％Y / Y）低于预期$ 8M。QCOM －0.86%。

。Tesla（TSLA）第四季度每股盈利0.78美元，低于预期0.48美元。营业额为7.23亿美元（同比增长119.8％），好于预期1.1亿美元。TSLA -2.31％。

。Visa（V）Q1 每股盈利1.30美元，低于预期0.05美元。营业额为55亿美元（同比增长13.2％）好于预期9000万美元.。V -2.4％。

。通用电气（GE）Q4每股盈利0.08美元低于预期0.05美元。营业额33.3亿美元（同比增长5.4％）超过预期1.07亿美元。GE+ 15％。

US Stock Market Is At Critical Point 美国股市在临界点

Major market indexes are up sharply supported by strength in AAPL, BA, AMZN, AMD, MSFT and FB. Stocks rally on better than expected earning reports. Crude Oil up nearly 3% also helps. At 9:54AM Pacific Time Dow +330, S&P 500 +24, Nasdaq +93, Russell 2000 +7.

Today is critical for the stock market as US-China trade talk is in progress and FOMC is to announce interest rate policy. These results are crucial for market direction. Imminently, the performance of the Dow should be in focus. The Dow has rallied 15% since December 26, 2018 bottom and touched its 200 day moving average 24980. Pricey Dow and hitting major resistance may not be a good combination for the market.  It would be bullish if the Dow breaks out. But, look out, investors may be looking for reason to sell then to buy.

主要市场指数受AAPL，BA，AMZN，AMD，MSFT和FB的强势所推动上升。好于预期的盈利报告及原油上涨近3％也有帮助。 上午太平洋时间9:54 道指 +330，标准普尔500指数+24，纳斯达克指数+93，罗素2000 +7。

今天对股市来说至关重要，因为美中贸易谈判正在进行中，FOMC将公布利率政策及盘后有FB及MSFT的财报。 这些结果对市场方向至关重要。 迫在眉睫的是，道指的表现应该成为焦点。 自2018年12月26日至今天，道琼斯指数已上涨15％并触及200日移动平均线24980。 价格偏高的道琼斯指数和碰到主要阻力位可能不是市场的良好组合。 如果道琼斯指数突破，那将是好事。 但是，请注意，投资者可能正在寻找抛售的理由。

A Small Stock That's Moving 一只正在上升的小型股

Conns Inc(CONN 20.82) is an electronics and furniture retailer and is growing its store network at a blistering pace.

Positives for CONN's stock price :

1.  On February 4, Conn's Inc. (CONN) will replace Electro Scientific Industries Inc. (ESIO) in the S&P SmallCap 600.

2. CONN fell 48% lower over the last six months, including a 40% drop in the last quarter alone and is overdone.

3.  CONN consistently beat Wall Street's earnings expectations.

4. Bargain valuation: Forward PE 6.82, PEG 0.44, Price/Sale 0.39, Price/Book 1.02, all are good value indicators.

5. High short squeeze possibility: short as percentage of float 32.18%, only 12.5M shares float.

6. Bullish Double Bottom chart formation

7. Upside potential to $25.

8. Analysts consensus 1 year price target is 36.

CONN gapped up with above average volume and is generating good upside momentum. It is facing resistance at its 50 day moving average 21.64. Once this level is broken, next resistance is around 25.
Support is now at its recent breakout price 20.7 then 20.

Conns Inc（CONN 20.82）是一家电子和家具零售商，正在以惊人的速度发展其商店网络。

对CONN股票价格有利的因素：

1. 2月4日，康恩公司（CONN）将进入标准普尔SmallCap 600取代Electro Scientific Industries Inc.（ESIO）。

2. CONN在过去六个月下跌了48％，其中包括仅在上个季度下跌40％，下跌过度。

3. CONN一直超越华尔街的盈利预期。

4.股价估值：前瞻PE 6.82，PEG 0.44，价格/销售0.39，价格/账面1.02， 都是有价值的指标。

5.卖空被挤压的可能性高：卖空股对流通股百分比为32.18％，流通股只有12.5M股。

6.看涨双底图形已经造成。

7.上行潜力至25美元。

8.分析师普遍认为1年目标价格为36。

CONN今天以高于平均成交量跳空大升，产生良好的上行动力。它在50日均线21.64面临阻力。一旦这个水平被打破，下一个阻力位在25左右。现在的支撑位是刚突破的20.7然后是20。

Morning Market News Digest 早盘市场新闻摘要

。Pacific Time 7:54AM : Dow ＋266, S&P 500 +13， Nasdaq ＋57, Russell 2000 +4. WTI crude oil +1.58%，Gold +0.10%.

。Oversea markets: Shanghai －0.72%, Japan-0.52%, Hong Kong+0.40%, Germany-0.66%, UK +1.45%, France +0.53%.

。The United States and China were set to try again on Wednesday to dig out from a damaging trade war with a new round of high-level talks aim at bridging deep differences over China’s intellectual property and technology transfer policies.  People familiar with the talks and trade experts watching them say that, so far, there has been little indication that Chinese officials are willing to address core US demands to protect American intellectual property rights and end policies that Washington says force US companies to transfer technology to Chinese firms. Some business groups watching the talks were tempering expectations for a breakthrough. ---Reuters

。FOMC will announce interest rate policy at 11AM Pacific Time today follow by Federal Reserve chairman Jay Powell's press conference at 11:30AM. Most people expect no interest rate change.
Some believe that whether the continuing shrinkage in the central bank's bloated balance sheet will end sooner than previously planned is also important for the market.

。The January ADP employment change was +213k well above the 181k expected but down from a revised lower 263k rise in December. ---zerohedge

。Apple will cut iPhone prices for only the second time in the device's history, Apple CEO Tim Cook told Reuters on Tuesday, adding that the cuts will be restricted to foreign markets where the dollar's strength has impacted sales (though critics have also questioned the company's decision To offer $1,000 smartphones beginning with the iPhone X). Cook didn't specify which markets would be impacted. ---zerohedge

。The latest revelation reported by TechCrunch shows that the social media giant has crossed a serious ethical line: Bribing children into sharing almost all of the personal data that can be gleaned from their smartphones (for a small fee) to help the company better understand consumption patterns , generating data that can be used for - what else? - more advanced microtargeting of ads. ---zerohedge

。Boeing (BA): Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $5.48 beats by $0.91; GAAP EPS of $5.93 beats by $0.83. Revenue of $28.3B (+14.3% Y/Y) beats by $1.44B. Outlook for 2019: Core EPS of $19.90-$20.10; Revenues of $109.5B-$111.5B; Commercial deliveries of 895-905 planes. ---seeking alpha

。McDonald's (MCD): Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.97 beats by $0.08; GAAP EPS of $1.82 misses by $0.07. Revenue of $5.16B (-3.4% Y/Y) misses by $10M. ---seeking alpha

。AT&T (T): Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.86 in-line; GAAP EPS of $0.66 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $47.99B (+15.2% Y/Y) misses by $510M.---seeking alpha

。Alibaba (BABA): Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.77 beats by $0.09; GAAP EPS of $1.84 beats by $0.69. Revenue of $17.06B (+42.6% Y/Y) misses by $380M. ---seeking alpha



。太平洋时间上午7:54：道琼斯指数+266，标准普尔500指数+13，纳斯达克指数+57，罗素2000 +4。 WTI原油+ 1.58％，黄金+ 0.10％。

。海外市场：上海-0.72％，日本-0.52％，香港+ 0.40％，德国-0.66％，英国+ 1.45％，法国+ 0.53％。

。美国和中国周三将再次尝试通过新一轮高层会谈希望从具破坏性的贸易战中走出来，但在弥合中国知识产权和技术转让政策上仍有者深刻的分歧。知情人士和观察他们的贸易专家表示，到目前为止，几乎没有迹象表明中国官员愿意解决美国的保护美国的知识产权核心要求，并终止华盛顿称中国企业迫使美国公司将技术转让给美国的政策。一些观察谈判的商业团体正在缓和对突破的期望。 ---路透社

。联邦公开市场委员会将于太平洋时间上午11点公布利率政策，美联储主席杰伊鲍威尔将于上午11:30召开新闻发布会。大多数人都认为利率不会改变。一些人认为，央行臃肿的资产负债表的持续萎缩是否会比以前的计划更早结束对市场也很重要。

。1月份ADP就业人数变化为+ 213k，远高于预期的18.1万，但低于12月修正后的263k增幅。 --- zerohedge

。苹果首席执行官蒂姆库克周二告诉路透社，苹果将削减iPhone价格，这是历史上第二次，并补充说减价将限制在美元强势影响销售的外国市场。库克没有说明哪些市场会受到影响。 --- zerohedge

。TechCrunch报道的最新消息显示，社交媒体巨头面书FaceBook已经跨越了一条严肃的道德标准：贿赂儿童分享几乎所有可以通过智能手机收集的个人数据（收取少量费用），以帮助公司更好地了解消费模式，生成可用于的数据以为 更高级的广告微目标定位。 --- zerohedge

。波音（BA）：第四季度非美国通用会计准则（Non GAAP )每股盈利为5.48美元，好于预期0.91美元; GAAP每股盈利5.93美元，好于预期0.83美元。营业额为283亿美元（同比增长14.3％），比去年同期增长1.44亿美元。2019年指引为核心每股收益19.90美元至20.10美元;营业额为109.5亿美元至1.115亿美元;交付895-905架商业飞机。 ---Seeking Alpha

。麦当劳（MCD）：第四季度非GAAP每股盈利1.97美元，好于预期0.08美元; GAAP每股盈利1.82美元，小于预期0.07美元。营业额为5.16亿美元（同比下降-3.4％），小于预期1000万美元。---Seeking Alpha

。AT＆T（T）：第四季度非GAAP每股盈利0.86美元; GAAP每股收益0.66美元，好于预期0.08美元。营业额为47.99亿美元（同比增长15.2％），小于预期5.1亿美元.---Seeking Alpha

。阿里巴巴（BABA）：第三季度非GAAP每股盈利1.77美元，好于预期0.09美元; GAAP每股盈利1.84美元，好于预期0.69美元。 17.06亿美元的营业额（同比增长42.6％）小于预期3.8亿美元。---Seeking Alpha

News For Tomorrow's Market 影响明天市场的新闻

。Apple Inc(AAPL) reported sharp growth in its services business but iPhone sales dipped in the holiday shopping quarter for the first time. Chief Executive Tim Cook said trade tensions between the United States and China were easing.  Apple Q1 GAAP EPS of $4.18 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $84.3B (-4.5% Y/Y) beats by $330M.  AAPL guided Q2 revenue from $55B to $59B (consensus: $58.97B), gross margin from 37% to 38% (consensus: 38%). In after hour trading, AAPL +5.83% to 163.70.

。AMD (AMD) reported Q4 results that met on EPS but missed on revenue with revenue up 6% Y/Y. AMD guided Q1 revenue of $1.2B to $1.3B Vs $1.47B consensus due to graphics softness as the cryptocurrency mining inventory continues to clear out. AMD traded up 8.78% to 20.94.

。Amgen (AMGN): Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.42 beats by $0.15.  Revenue of $6.23B (+7.4% Y/Y) beats by $390M.  2019 guidance: revenues: $21.8B - 22.9B lower then $22.94B consensus estimate; non-GAAP EPS: $13.10 - 14.30 lower than $14.6 consensus estimate. AMGN traded down 2.43% to 187.44.

。eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY): Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.71 beats by $0.03.Revenue of $2.88B (+6.3% Y/Y) beats by $20M. eBay sees Q1 revenue of $2.55B to $2.60B lower than $2.66B consensus and EPS of $0.62 to $0.64 vs. $0.61 consensus. EBAY traded down 0.44% to 33.54.

。U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said that if China presents enough trade concessions to President Donald Trump, there’s a chance the administration may lift all tariffs. “Everything is on the table,” Mnuchin said early Tuesday during an interview on Fox Business Network. The Treasury chief is set to meet with top Chinese officials in Washington on Wednesday and Thursday alongside U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer.

。Tomorrow's influential earning reports: Boeing (BA), AT&T (T), McDonald (MCD), Alibaba (BABA), Facebook (FB), Microsoft (MSFT)

。2018 Q4 GDP advance estimate is to be announced tomorrow at 5:30 AM Pacific Time. The consensus estimate is +2.6% down from 3.4% in Q3.

。FOMC policy decision to be announced tomorrow at 11AM Pacific Time. No change to policy is expected. Fed chairman is answer reporter questions at 11:30 AM.



。苹果公司（AAPL）报告其服务业务大幅增长，但iPhone销售则首次在假日购物季度下滑。首席执行官蒂姆库克表示，美国和中国之间的贸易紧张局势正在缓和。苹果 Q1 GAAP每股盈利4.18美元，好于预期0.01美元。营业额为84.3亿美元（同比下降-4.5％），超过预期3.3亿美元。 AAPL指引第二季度收入从55亿美元至59亿美元（市场共识为58.97亿美元），毛利率从37％上升至38％（市场共识为38％）。在盘后交易中，AAPL + 5.83％至163.70。

。AMD（AMD）报告第四季度业绩符合每股收益但营业额同比增长6％，未达预期。由于加密货币采矿库存不断清理，导致图形芯片需求软弱，AMD引导第一季度营业额会在12亿美元至13亿美元之间，低于市场预期的14.4亿美元。 AMD后市交易上涨8.78％至20.94。

。Amgen（AMGN）：第四季度非GAAP每股盈利3.42美元，好于预期0.15美元。营业额为62.3亿美元（同比增长7.4％），超过预期3.9亿美元。 2019年指引：营业额：21.8亿美元到22.9亿美元，低于22.94亿美元的预期;非GAAP每股收益：13.10  -  14.30低于市场预期的14.6美元。 AMGN后市交易下跌2.43％至187.44。

。eBay（EBAY）：第四季度非GAAP每股收益0.71美元，好于预期0.03美元。营业额28.8亿美元（同比增长6.3％）超过预期2000万美元。 eBay认为第一季度营业额为25.5亿美元至26亿美元，低于市场预期的26.6亿美元，每股收益为0.62美元至0.64美元，而市场预期为0.61美元。 EBAY后市交易下跌0.44％至33.54。

。美国财政部长史努文姆努钦周二早些时候在福克斯商业网络采访时表示，如果中国向唐纳德特朗普总统提供足够的贸易优惠，政府可能会取消所有关税。 “一切都在谈论桌上，”财政部长将于周三和周四与美国贸易代表罗伯特·莱希特（Robert Lighthizer）与中国的高级官员会面。

。明天有影响力的财报有：波音（BA），AT＆T（T），麦当劳（MCD），阿里巴巴（BABA），Facebook（FB），微软（MSFT）

。2018第四季度国内生产总值预估将于明天上午5:30太平洋时间公布。市场普遍预期为＋2.6%，第三季度GDP为3.4％。

。FOMC政策决定将于明天上午11点太平洋时间公布。预计不会改变政策。美联储主席在上午11:30将回答记者提问。

Mid Morning Market Comment 中盘市场评论

At 10:20 AM Pacific Time, major market indexes are trading mixed with Dow +97, S&P 500 -1.3, Nasdaq -44 and Russell 2000 +0.30. Dow's rise is helped by strength in MMM, PFE, UTX and CAT. Nasdaq is dragged buy weakness in NVDA, FB, TWTR, AMZN, MSFT and QCOM.  Strong sectors are gold stock GDX, material IYM and oil stock OIH. Weak sectors are retail XRT, internet FDN, semiconductor SMH and software IGV.

The stock market is likely to stay mixed through out today while waiting Apple's (AAPL) earning result after market.

Apple reports earning after market close today, High level US-China trade talk starts tomorrow, Federal Reserve interest rate decision and statement tomorrow, all these events are so important that any of them can make or break the US stock market. The results of these events are so binary, i.e. either good or bad, it is hard to predict which way the market go. The good strategy is to stay clear of the market until tomorrow.



太平洋时间上午10:20，主要市场指数涨跌互见，道指+97，标准普尔500-1.3，纳斯达克-44和罗素2000 +0.30。 道指的上涨得益于MMM，PFE，UTX和CAT的强势。 纳斯达克被NVDA，FB，TWTR，AMZN，MSFT和QCOM的弱势拖累。 强劲的行业是黄金股票GDX，材料IYM和石油股票OIH。 弱势行业是零售XRT，互联网FDN，半导体SMH和软件IGV。

在市场等待下午苹果（AAPL）的财报结果，股市今天可能会保持涨跌互现到收市。

苹果公布今日市场收盘后的财报，美中高层贸易谈判将于明天开始，美联储将于明天公布利率决议和声明，所有这些事件都非常重要，任何一方都可以决定美国股市的成败。 这些事件的结果是二元化的，即可好可坏，令人难以预测市场走向。 好的策略是明天之前暂离市场。

How To Deal With AAPL Before Earning AAPL财报前如何操作

After Apple's fourth quarter warning on January 2, AAPL dropped sharply for a couple of days but has since recovered to the early January level. The stock is still down roughly a third from a record high in October. Many analysts think most of the Q4 bad news is likely priced in and now investors are leaning more heavily on Q1 guidance rather than Q4 results. Morgan Stanley gives high importance to “clarity on the Services growth deceleration in December” quarter and “March quarter guidance.” The bank thinks that “Apple likely needs to deliver a ‘better than feared’ revenue outlook for shares to recover further in the very near-term.”

The March quarter revenue consensus is currently at $59 billion (down 3.5% annually), after having fallen by about $5 billion since Apple's warning.  Besides Apple's warning, a slew of other U.S. multinational companies have also reported seeing soft Chinese demand.  One key question, then, is whether Apple has seen demand in China and other emerging markets stabilize since its warning, or are conditions still deteriorating?

Bloomberg article says anyone looking for an upbeat forecast from Apple Inc. is likely to be disappointed when the company reports results later on Tuesday. Two analysts interviewed by CNBC said there are more pains to come for Apple.

That said, one bright spot is its low forward PE.  As of January 28, Apple’s forward PE ratio was 12.3, which is lower than its forward PE ratio of 13.8x about a month ago. The forward PE ratios were calculated based on analysts’ estimates for the company’s earnings for the next 12 months. It's lower than other tech giants  forward PE including Microsoft (MSFT)22.2, Amazon.com (AMZN) 60.6, and Alphabet (GOOG) 22.9.

Technically, AAPL is below its 50 and 200 day moving averages, so its intermediate and long term trends are down. Its short term trend is up since it has recovered above its 20 day moving average.
However, its OBV has been flat as its price moved up is indicative of weak trend. Trading volume has been low is indicative of lack of interest from investors. Its support is 20 day moving average level at 152.25 then 150 while its resistances are 160 and 50 day moving average at 164.

At 9:40 Pacific Time， a quick calculation of AAPL February 1 expiration Call Put ratio is 1.26.
It's a little more call buying then put buying, but the ratio is not big enough to draw definite conclusion of which way the stock will go. Strategy is do nothing if no position. Sell Covered Call if holding AAPL.

在苹果公司于1月2日发布第四季度警告后，AAPL大幅下挫两天，但此后已恢复到1月初的水平。该股仍然从10月创下的历史新高下跌约三分之一。许多分析师认为，大多数第四季度的坏消息都可能被反应了，而现在投资者更倾向于第一季度的指引而不是第四季度的结果。摩根士丹利高度重视“服务业12月季度增长减速的澄清”和“三月季度的指引”。银行认​​为“苹果可能需要提供'好于预期'的营业额前景，以便股票能进一步向好。”

自苹果公司发出警告以来，3月季度收入预期目标为590亿美元（下降3.5％）。除了苹果公司的一月份的警告外，其他一些美国跨国公司也看到中国需求的疲软。那么，一个关键问题是苹果公司是否已经看到中国和其他新兴市场的需求在发出警告后趋于稳定，或者情况是否仍在恶化？

彭博社的一篇文章称，当该公司今天晚些时候公布结果时，任何对苹果公司乐观预测的人都可能会感到失望。今日接受CNBC采访的两位分析师表示苹果公司将面临更多痛苦。

尽管上面说的都不好，AAPL一个亮点是它的低前瞻市盈率。截至1月28日，苹果公司的前瞻市盈率为12.3，低于一个月前的预期市盈率13.8。前瞻市盈率是根据分析师对未来12个月公司盈利的预测计算得出的。它低于其他技术巨头的前瞻市盈率，包括微软（MSFT）22.2，亚马逊（AMZN）60.6和Alphabet（GOOG）22.9。

从技术上讲，AAPL低于其50日和200日移动平均线，因此其中长期趋势下跌。 其短期趋势上升，因为它已经恢复到20日移动均线之上。然而，由于其价格上涨而其OBV持平表明弱势。 交易量一直很低表明投资人缺乏兴趣。 它的支撑位是20天移动平均线152.25然后是150，而其阻力位则是160和50天移动平均线在164。

太平洋时间9点40分，快速计算AAPL 2月1日到期看涨期权对看跌期权比率为1.26。尽管买看涨期权多于买看跌期权，但这个比例不够大，无法得出股票走向的明确结论。如果没有持有AAPL，现在的策略是观望。若果持有股票，可卖Covered Call。

Morning Market News Digest 早盘市场新闻摘要

。Pacific Time 7:30AM : Dow ＋126, S&P 500 -2.5, Nasdaq -17, Russell 2000 +1.3. WTI crude oil +3.12%，Gold +0.45%.

。Oversea markets: Shanghai －0.10%, Japan+0.08%, Hong Kong -0.16%, Germany+0.35%, UK +1.42%, France +1.04%.

。January Consumer Confidence: 120.2 vs. 124.3 consensus; 126.6 prior in December (revised).

。3M(MMM) Q4 earned an adjusted $2.31 per share, 3 cents a share above estimates. Revenue beat forecasts, but cut its full-year outlook citing the current economic environment among other factors. MMM+3.32%

。Pfizer(PFE)Q4 beat estimates by 1 cent a share, with adjusted fourth-quarter profit of 64 cents per share. Revenue also beat Street forecasts, however Pfizer’s 2019 earnings outlook came in short of consensus. The company is expecting a hit from the loss of patent protection on its Lyrica pain treatment. PFE +1.24%

。Verizon (VZ) Q4 earnings came in at an adjusted $1.12 per share, 3 cents  above estimates ,  revenue below forecasts. Verizon’s results were helped by a greater-than-expected number of subscriber additions. VZ -2.94%

。太平洋时间早上7：30：道琼斯指数126，标准普尔500指数-2.5，纳斯达克指数-17，罗素2000 + 1.3。 WTI原油+ 3.12％，黄金+ 0.45％。

。海外市场：上海-0.10％，日本+ 0.08％，香港-0.16％，德国+ 0.35％，英国+ 1.42％，法国+ 1.04％。

。1月消费者信心指数：120.2对124.3共识; 12月为126.6经修订）。

。3M（MMM）第四季度每股收益调整为2.31美元，比预期高出每股3美分。 营业额超过预期，但由于当前的经济环境以及其他因素，削减了全年的预期。MMM+3.32%

。辉瑞（PFE）第四季度每股盈利比预期高1美分，每股盈利为64美分。 营业额也超过了预测，但辉瑞公司2019年的盈利前景未达预期。 该公司预计其Lyrica疼痛治疗失去专利保护而受到打击。PFE +1.24%

。Verizon（VZ）第四季度盈利为每股调整后的1.12美元，高于预期3美分，营业额低于预期。 Verizon的结果得益于超过预期的用户数量增加。VZ -2.94%

NVDA Momentum Is Down NVDA 动力向下

Nvidia (NVDA) pre-announced its fourth quarter results. Revenue was nearly 20% below the company’s prior revenue guidance in November. Margins which came in 650 basis points below guidance. It may suggest that Nvidia has even seen peak margin expansion, as margins continue to contract. 

Management blamed “deteriorating macroeconomic conditions, particularly in China” as further harming demand for gaming chips. Additionally, management said the company’s datacenter business also fell short of expectations. “A number of deals in the company’s forecast did not close in the last month of the quarter as customers shifted to a more cautious approach,” the company said in a statement.

Raymond James cuts its target from $250 to $165 after revenue guidance cut. Analyst Chris Caso says "headwinds are mounting" for NVDA, according to the firm's internal checks, and lowers his EPS and revenue estimates for 2019 and 2020.

Cowen lowered price target from $265 to $215 but reiterated Outperform rating.

The Bench Market Company lowered price target from $240 to $190 but reiterated Buy rating.

Fundamentally, NVDA's forward PE is 19.36 compared with average semiconductor stock PE of around 13. It's valuation is not cheap.

Technically, NVDA gapped down 13.82% on 3.6 times its average volume today. Its short term momentum is down. On its daily chart, its December low is $124.50 and should serve as it's near term support. Its 50 day moving average near $150 is its resistance.  On its weekly chart, we can find support after $124.50 is it's historical and 200 week moving average support at around $121. NVDA looks likely to test this level.

Nvidia（NVDA）预先公布了其第四季度业绩。营业额比11月公司的先前指引低近20％。利润率低于指引的650个基点。这可能显示随着利润继续收缩，Nvidia 利润率或已经见顶了。

管理层称“宏观经济状况恶化，特别是在中国”，进一步损害了对游戏晶片的需求。此外，管理层表示，该公司的数据中心业务也未达到预期。该公司在一份声明中表示，“该公司预测的一些交易在本季度的最后一个月因为客户转向采取更加谨慎的态度而没有完成。”

NVDA营业额指引下调后，Raymond James将目标价从250美元下调至165美元。分析师Chris Caso表示，根据该公司的内部检查，NVDA的“逆风正在增加”，并降低了他对NVDA 2019年和2020年的每股盈利和营业额预期。

Cowen将目标价从265美元下调至215美元，但重申优于大盘评级。

Bench Market Company将目标价格从240美元下调至190美元，但重申买入评级。

从基本面上说，NVDA前瞻市盈率为19.36，而平均半导体股票市盈率则为13左右。估值并不便宜。

从技术上讲，NVDA今天的跌幅为13.82％，成交量是平均成交量的3.6倍。它的短期势头是下跌。在其日线图上，其12月低点为124.50美元，应该是近期支撑位。它的50日均线150美元是它的阻力。从周图上看，在124.50美元支撑被击穿后，历史性及200周均线121美元附近是下一个支撑水平。NVDA 很有可能会下探这个水平。

Market Can Still Go Either Up Or Down 市场仍然可升可跌

Weak Chinese industrial profits, Caterpillar(CAT) earning miss and disappointing guidance and Nvidia (NVDA) profit earning are driving US stocks sharply lower. At 11:45 Pacific Time, Dow is down  272 ,S&P 500 -27, Nasdaq -91 and Russell 2000 -10.5 . After initial drop, the market has been consolidating sideway in the lower 1/3 of today's range. Weak sectors are Oil USO, Oil stocks OIH, Biotech IBB, Internet FDN, Software IGV, Social Media (SOCL) and Consumer Discretionary XLY.

Technically, major market indexes all formed bearish Abandon Baby candle pattern. However, Dow is still bounded by it's 50 and 200 day moving averages. With 50 day moving average 24198 as support and 200 day moving average 24977 as resistance. Even though the stock market is biased to the downside now, the Dow can still break either up or down since there will be a lot of event this week that can move the market either way.  (Please refer to blog https://tradeideablog.blogspot.com/2019/01/important-events-to-watch-this-week.html for event calendar).

Wait and see is still the way to deal with the market at the moment.

疲软的中国工业利润，卡特彼勒（CAT）收益低于预期和令人失望的指引以及Nvidia（NVDA）的盈利的预警推动美国股市大幅走低。太平洋时间11:45，道指-272，标准普尔500 -27，纳斯达克-91和罗素2000 -10.5。在开盘下跌之后，市场在今天幅度的下1/3范围内一直在盘整。弱势板块是石油USO，石油股OIH，生物技术IBB，互联网FDN，软件IGV，社交媒体（SOCL）和非必需消费品XLY。

技术上，主要市场指数均形成看跌的弃婴蜡烛模式。然而，道琼斯指数仍然被50日和200日移动均线限制着。50日均线24198是支撑而200日均线24977是阻力。即使股市现在偏向下行，但道指仍然可能上涨或下跌，因为本周会有很多事件可以推动市场两边走。 （请参阅博文https://tradeideablog.blogspot.com/2019/01/important-events-to-watch-this-week.html查看事件日历）。

观望，仍然是目前应对市场的策略。

Morning Market News Digest 早盘市场新闻摘要

。Pacific Time 7:03AM : Dow -360, S&P 500 －37, Nasdaq -115, Russell 2000 -14. WTI crude oil －2.96%，Gold +0.03%.

。Oversea markets: Shanghai －0.18%, Japan-0.60%, Hong Kong +0.03%, Germany-0.53%, UK -0.86%, France -0.77%.

。China's industrial profits in December fell 1.9% from a year earlier to 680.8B yuan ($100.9B), weighed down by weak factory-gate prices, soft demand and a protracted U.S.-Sino trade war. This is on top of a decline of 1.8% in November - the first contraction in profits in nearly three years - and China's slowest economic growth in three decades. ---Seeking Alpha

。Oil fell over 2 percent on Monday after U.S. companies added rigs for the first time this year, a signal that crude output may rise further, but the price is still on course for its strongest January gain for 14 years. Further weighing on oil markets, the trade dispute between the United States and China looks unlikely to end anytime soon and its impact on the Chinese economy is increasing. ---Reuters

。Nvidia (NVDA) Q4 revenue expected to be $2.20 billion versus previous guidance of $2.70 billion. Gaming and Datacenter revenue below company’s expectations. Deteriorating macroeconomic conditions, particularly in China, impacted consumer demand for NVIDIA gaming GPUs.  In addition, sales of certain high-end GPUs using NVIDIA’s new Turing™ architecture were lower than expected.

。Caterpillar (CAT) adjusted profit per share rose 18% Y/Y to $2.55 in Q4, but still missed estimates by a whopping $0.43. 2019 profit projection  is expected to increase to a range of $11.75-$12.75 per share, compared with analysts' average estimate of $12.73, indicating a slide in global demand.



。太平洋时间上午7:03：道指-360，标准普尔500 -37，纳斯达克-115，罗素2000 -14。 WTI原油-2.96％，黄金+ 0.03％。

。海外市场：上海-0.18％，日本-0.60％，香港+ 0.03％，德国-0.53％，英国-0.86％，法国-0.77％。

。中国12月工业利润较上年同期下降1.9％至680.8亿元人民币（100.9亿美元），受工厂门价疲软，需求疲软以及美中贸易战持续拖累。 这是继11月份下降1.8％ - 近三年来首次收缩 - 以及中国三十年来最慢的经济增长。

。在美国公司今年首次增加钻井平台后，油价周一下跌了超过2％，这显示原油产量可能进一步上涨，但价格仍然是14年来最强劲的1月份涨幅。 进一步拖累石油市场的因素是美国与中国之间的贸易争端似乎不太可能很快结束，对中国经济的影响正在增加。

。Nvidia（NVDA）第四季度收入预计为22亿美元，低于之前的预期27亿美元。 游戏和数据中心的收入低于公司的预期。不断恶化的宏观经济状况，尤其是中国的宏观经济状况，影响了消费者对NVIDIA游戏GPU的需求。 此外，使用NVIDIA新Turing™架构的某些高端GPU的销售也低于预期。

。Caterpillar（CAT）第四季度调整后每股盈利同比增长18％至2.55美元，但仍大幅低于预期的0.43美元。 2019年的利润预计将增加至每股11.75美元至12.75美元，而分析师的平均预期则为12.73美元，显示全球需求下滑。

Useful Charts From Social Media 来自社交媒体的有用图表

OCCUPY WISDOM‏ @OccupyWisdom Jan 20

One of the more scary $SPX charts I’ve seen. A return to fair value.

scheplick

Jan. 22nd, 8:53 am

Chart of the day from

@KimbleCharting

. Crude oil and the market have been correlated. Extremely, as of late. Now that you know that, here's the downtrend levels to watch next.

Trader's Toolbox‏ @kkernttb 2m2 minutes ago

$SPX major trend line to keep an eye on

StockTwits

Jan. 24th, 5:59 am

This is the incredible history of jobless claims in America. Chart of the day from

@charliebilello

. $SPX $DJIA

Callum Thomas‏ @Callum_Thomas Jan 26

8. Asset Allocation: cash allocations rising from record lows... https://www.topdowncharts.com/single-post/2019/01/25/Cash-Allocations-King-or-Trash … @topdowncharts $SPX $SPY

Worse to Come

Analysts expect a drop in tech earnings to buck broad trend of positive growth---Bloomberg

Important Events To Watch This Week 本周要注意的重要事件

。This week's influential major earning reports are:1/28 CAT, 1/29 MMM, BIIB, PFE, AAPL, AMD, 1/30 BABA, BA, T, MCD, FB, MSFT, 1/31 MA, CELG, UPS, AMZN, 2/1 XOM. CVX, MRK, 2/4 GOOGL.

。China’s Vice Premier Liu He sits down with U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer for two days of trade talks. This isn’t necessarily a make-or-break moment, but nervous investors have been hanging on every bullish and bearish twist in the trade war ahead of a March 1 deadline to reach a deal. ---Bloomberg

。Wednesday afternoon features Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s first monetary policy decision of the year. While the chance for an interest-rate move is near zero, reporters at his now regular post-FOMC press briefing will grill him on everything from his level of “patience” before the next hike to his plans for the central bank’s $4 trillion balance sheet. ---Bloomberg

。This week sees the release of gross domestic product data from France, Italy and Spain for the fourth quarter, as well as first estimate for the 19-nation euro zone. Almost every economic number out of the euro area recently has disappointed.

。The main event in Asia will be Thursday’s release of January PMI data for China. Economists see the gauge notching down further below the 50 line that indicates contraction. Japan releases industrial production data on Thursday, with economists expecting output to have dropped in the final month of last year.

。Friday’s employment report will offer one the clearest glimpses into the U.S. economy’s health in weeks, after many delayed reports during the government shutdown that ended last week. A Bloomberg survey of economists shows a median forecast for a gain of 160,000 in nonfarm payrolls in January, fewer than recent months but enough to keep the unemployment rate at 3.9 percent. ---Bloomberg

。Three Concerns Hanging Over the Davos Elite for 2019: 1. Signs of slowing global economic growth are increasing. 2. No matter how you slice it, public, corporate and individual debt levels around the world are at historical extremes. 3. Corporate Earnings Will Be Lower. ---Daily Reckoning

。The coming week will not only be the heaviest in terms of number of S&P500 companies reporting Q4 earnings, it will also see the peak of the current buyback blackout window. As JPMorgan shows in the chart below, in the week of Jan 29, roughly 60% of all companies will be prohibited from repurchasing their stock, a potential downside risk as should a negative catalyst emerge - say US-China Trade talks fail to impress - there will be far fewer companies able to provide a natural shock absorber to a rapid drop. ---zerohedge

Kim Wong notes: Raymond James has noted that it is typically two weeks prior to the end of the quarter through 48 hours after earnings are released corporates are not allow to purchase stock.

。本周有影响力的主要财报有：1/28 CAT，1/29 MMM，BIIB，PFE，AAPL，AMD，1/30 BABA，BA，T，MCD，FB，MSFT，1/31 MA，CELG，UPS ，AMZN，2/1 XOM。 CVX，MRK，2/4 GOOGL。

。本周三中国国务院副总理刘鹤与美国贸易代表罗伯特·莱希特（Robert Lighthizer）将进行为期两天的贸易谈判。 这不一定是一个成败的时刻，但在3月1日达成交易的最后期限之前，紧张的投资者一直利用贸易谈判中的每一个消息来判断看涨和看跌。---Bloomberg

。周三下午是美联储主席杰罗姆鲍威尔今年的第一个货币政策决定。 虽然利率变动的可能性接近于零，但记者在他的常规FOMC后新闻发布会上将从他在下次加息之前的“耐心”水平到他对央行4万亿美元资产负债表的计划中提出质问。---Bloomberg

。本周第四季度法国，意大利和西班牙国内生产总值数据以及欧元区19个国家的首次估计数据将公布。几乎每个近期欧元区的经济数字都令人失望。

。亚洲的主要事件将是周四发布的1月中国PMI数据。经济学家认为，该指标会进一步低于50线，显示收缩。 日本周四将发布工业生产数据，经济学家预计产量将在去年最后一个月下降。

。非农就业报告将在星期五的发布。 彭博社对经济学家的一项调查显示，1月非农就业人数增加160,000，低于近几个月，但足以将失业率维持在3.9％。---Bloomberg

。达沃斯精英对2019年的三个担忧：1。全球经济增长放缓的迹象正在增加。 无论你如何分割它，世界各地的公共，企业和个人债务水平都处于历史极端。 3.企业盈利将会下降。---Daily Reckoning

。未来一周不仅是报告第四季度财报的标准普尔500指数公司数量最多，它也将看到当前停止股票回购窗口的高峰。 正如摩根大通在下图所示，在1月29日那一周，大约60％的公司将被禁止回购他们的股票，如果有负面催化剂股市潜在的下行风险应该出现- 比如美中贸易谈判未能给人留下深刻印象 -  能够为快速下降提供天然减震器的公司将会少很多。---zerohedge

Kim Wong 注释: Raymond James称通常在季度结束前两周到财报公布后48小时不准企业回购股票。

A Perfect Chart 一个完美图形

United States Oil Fund (USO 11.30 +1.16)

USO is forming a very bullish and perfect Head And Shoulder chart pattern. It has stayed above its 50 Day Moving Average 10.80 for the 5th day already and it looks ready to challenge neckline 11.5, when that happens it likely will go up and challenge the 200 Day Moving Average 13.37 level. USO support is 10.80, resistances are 11.5, 12.3 then 13.37. It may be a good idea to buy and get ready for the breakout.

Background News：

The United States signaled on Thursday it may impose sanctions on Venezuelan exports after recognizing opposition leader Juan Guaido as interim president this week, prompting President Nicholas Maduro to cut ties with Washington. Oil price rises but concerns over surging U.S. fuel stocks and global economic woes weighed on sentiment.

Separately,  Goldman Sachs head of commodities research David Currie said there's "significant upside" ahead for crude oil, believing Brent crude likely will "overshoot" his $67.50/bbl price target this year.  Among bullish factors Currie cites: China imports were still up 30% Y/Y in December, supply is still coming off the market from OPEC and non-OPEC oil producing countries, global demand remains at least benign if not robust, and most recent economic data shows that what people think will happen is more negative than the hard data would suggest. In addition, sentiment in the midstream sector has bottomed after deteriorating last year, according to Goldman analysts led by Jerren Holder.

美国石油基金（USO 11.30 +1.16）

USO正在形成一个非常看好和完美的头肩底图表模式。 它已经连续第五天保持在50日移动平均线10.80以上，看起来准备挑战颈线水平11.5，之后可能会继续上升并挑战200日移动平均线13.37水平。 USO支撑位是10.80，阻力位是11.5, 12.3然后是13.37。 买入并为突破做好准备可能是个好主意。

背景消息：

美国周四表示可能会对委内瑞拉出口实施制裁。本周早些时候美国承认反对党领袖胡安瓜伊多为临时总统，促使总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗与华盛顿断绝关系。 油价今天因而上涨，但对美国燃料库存激增和全球经济困境的担忧打压市场情绪而上升不多。

另外，昨日高盛（Goldman Sachs）大宗商品研究主管大卫•柯里（David Currie）表示原油价格“有显着上行空间”，相信布伦特原油价格可能“超过”今年67.50美元/桶的价格目标。 Currie引用的利好因素包括：12月份中国进口量同比增长30％，石油输出国组织和非欧佩克产油国供应依然从市场上消失，全球需求至少保持良好，尽管不是强劲，但最近的经济数据表明人们认为会发生的事情比硬数据所暗示的更负面。 此外，根据杰伦霍尔德领导的高盛分析师的说法，去年中游行业的情绪已经因走低而见底。

Cautious Ahead Of Major Earnings 在主要财报前保持谨慎

Major US stock market indexes are rallying sharply. At 9:23 Pacific Time Dow +210 ,S&P 500 +24.5, Nasdaq +87.5 , and Russell 2000 +15.7 . This is a surprise move by the market defying Intel's worse than expected earning report. There is no particular good news to drive the market up except may be due to the residue strength from previous day's strong LRCX, XLNX and TXN earnings. I think it is more like Fear Of Missing Out rally.

Technically, the Dow is getting even closer to its 200 Day Moving Average 24976 resistance. After rallying the fifth week, the 24976 resistance may become formidable to cross. May be investors are expecting no problem from next week's influential earning reports and they better be good. Next week's major earning reports are:1/28 CAT, 1/29 MMM, BIIB, PFE, AAPL, AMD, 1/30 BABA, BA, T, MCD, FB, MSFT, 1/31 MA, CELG, UPS, AMZN, 2/1 XOM. CVX, MRK, 2/4 GOOGL.  And don't forget the other important factor for the market: Chinese Vice Premier Liu He is scheduled to meet next week in Washington with U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer for trade talk.

May be it is time to be cautious as the Dow is approaching 200 Day Moving Average resistance.

美国主要股市指数大幅上涨。太平洋时间9:23道琼斯指数+210，标准普尔500指数+24.5，纳斯达克指数+87.5，罗素2000 +15.7。市场无视英特尔糟糕的盈利报告，这是一个令人意外的举动。没有特别好的消息推动市场上涨，除了前一天强劲的LRCX，XLNX和TXN收益带来残余强势之外。我认为这更像是害怕失去机会最高的表现。

从技术面来看，道琼斯指数更加接近其200日移动平均线24976阻力位。经过第五周的上涨后，24976阻力可能变得难以跨越。可能是投资者对下周有影响力的收益报告有信心吧，所以它们一定要好才能维持市场的涨势。下周的主要财报是：1/28 CAT，1/29 MMM，BIIB，PFE，AAPL，AMD，1/30 BABA，BA，T，MCD，FB，MSFT，1/31 MA，CELG，UPS，AMZN ，2/1 XOM。 CVX，MRK，2/4 GOOGL。并且不要忘记市场的另一个重要因素：中国国务院副总理刘鹤定于下周在华盛顿会见美国贸易代表罗伯特·莱希特（Robert Lighthizer）进行贸易谈判。

道指接近200日移动平均线阻力，或许是谨慎的时候了。

A Cannabis Stock To Consider Buy 可考虑购买的大麻股票

Canopy Growth Corp (CGC 46.60 +5.39%), Piper Jaffray raised price target from 40 to 60 and said Canopy's recent success in receiving a legal hemp license in New York is "a tangible first step forward in the U.S. that points to the beginning of a long US growth trajectory. Short interest is very high at 47.37% and short squeeze may happen. Floating shares is only 49.29 millions and price can easily get push up. Technically, CGC has started the second leg up of a Continuation Up pattern. It is also a Cup And Handle breakout. CCI above 100 is a Buy signal.  Near term resistances are 50, 55 and 60. Support is 45.

Canopy Growth Corp（CGC 46.60 +5.39%），Piper Jaffray将价格目标从40提升至60，并表示Canopy最近在纽约获得合法大麻牌照的成功是“第一步指向美国长期增长轨迹"。股票卖空率非常高，为47.37％，可能会出现空头挤压。浮动股票数量只有49.29百万股，价格很容易被推高。技术上，CGC已经开始了继续向上模式的第二波涨势。同时也是杯状图形突破。CCI 指标超越100是个买入信号。 阻力为50,55和60。支撑是45。

After Hour Market News Digest 盤後市場新聞摘要

。The Senate blocked two rival proposals to reopen U.S. government agencies in largely partisan votes, leaving President Donald Trump and lawmakers deadlocked with the partial shutdown in its 34th day.  ---Bloomberg
。JP Morgan economists cut their first quarter growth forecasts for a second time in two weeks due to the government shutdown. The economists now see sub-trend growth of 1.75 percent but they expect a bounce back in the second quarter to boost that period by a quarter point if the government reopens. ---CNBC
。Intel Corp (INTC) missed on fourth-quarter sales expectations but earning beat by 6 cents, hit by a slowdown in China and sluggish demand for its data center and modem chips.  Forecast Q1 revenue and profit below analysts’ estimates . INTC-6.79% during after hour trading. 。Starbucks (SBUX): Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.75 beats by $0.10; GAAP EPS of $0.61 misses by $0.03. Revenue of $6.63B (+9.2% Y/Y) beats by $140M. SBUX +1.76% during after hour trading.  。PlainSite says more than 50% of Facebook's accounts are "very likely fake." Moreover, PlainSite says the company is lying about is fake accounts, which would make it liable to its advertising customers for billions of dollars. ---Seeking Alpha. FB -$0.27 in after hour trading. 。There's "significant upside" ahead for crude oil, says Goldman Sachs head of commodities research David Currie, believing Brent crude likely will "overshoot" his $67.50/bbl price target this year. Among factors Currie cites: China imports were still up 30% Y/Y in December, supply is still coming off the market from OPEC and non-OPEC oil producing countries, global demand remains at least benign if not robust, and most recent economic data shows that what people think will happen is more negative than the hard data would suggest. ---Seeking Alpha 。参议院阻止了两个竞争对手的重新开放美国政府的議案，让总统唐纳德特朗普和立法者陷入僵局而進入第34天政府部分关闭 。---Bloomberg 。由于政府关闭，摩根大通经济学家在两周内第二次下调了第一季度的增长预测。 经济学家现在认增长率为1.75％，但如果政府重新启动，他们预计第二季度将会反弹，将这一时期提高25个百分点。 ---CNBC
。由于中国经济放缓以及对数据中心和调制解调器芯片的需求低迷，英特尔公司（INTC ）第四季度的 盈利超預期6美分但未能達到销售预期。 预测第一季度收入和利润均 低于分析师预期。盤后交易INTC-6.79%。 。星巴克（SBUX）：第一季度非GAAP每股盈利0.75美元，好於預期0.10美元; 公认会计准则每股收益0.61美元，小於預期0.03美元。營業額为6.63亿美元（同比增长9.2％），超过預期1.4亿美元。盤后交易SBUX +1.76%。 。PlainSite表示，超过50％的Facebook（FB）帐户“非常可能是虚假的”。
此外，PlainSite表示该公司谎称假账户将使其广告客户承担数十亿美元的责任。---Seeking Alpha。 FB後市交易下跌27分。   。高盛（Goldman Sachs）大宗商品研究主管大卫•柯里（David Currie）表示，原油价格将“显着上行”，他认为布伦特原油可能将“超过”今年67.50美元/桶的价格目标。Currie引用的因素包括：12月份中国进口量同比增长30％，石油输出国组织和非欧佩克产油国供应依然从市场上消失，全球需求至少保持良好如果不是强劲的话，以及最近的经济数据 表明人们认为会发生的事情比硬数据所暗示的更負面。---Seeking Alpha