Tuesday, January 15, 2019

Market Rallies Defying This List Of Bad News 市场上升无视这个坏消息清单

Major US stock indexes continue to rally on the following list of bad news, when will reality set in?

New White House estimates that for every week the government shut down it will lower GDP by 0.1%.

Senator Chuck Grassley said that US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer saw little progress in last week's China trade talks on structural issues or IP protections.

Data from China showed imports fell 7.6 percent year-on-year in December while analysts had predicted a 5-percent rise. Exports dropped 4.4 percent, confounding expectations for a 3-percent gain.

Euro Zone industrial output numbers showed the largest fall in nearly three years.

Sales of newly built homes fell 18 percent in December compared with December of 2017, according to data compiled by John Burns Real Estate Consulting, a California-based housing research and analytics firm.

Company earning guidances are expected to be lowered during this earning season.

S&P 500 facing crucial resistance at its 50 day moving average 2631.

The recent market rally, while strong, occurred amidst declining volume suggesting more of a short-covering rally rather than a conviction to a “bull market” meme.








美国主要股指继续在下面的坏消息中反弹,何时会回归到现实?

。新白宫估计,政府每关闭一周将导致GDP下降0.1%。

。参议员查克·格拉斯利表示,美国贸易代表罗伯特·莱特希泽尔说在上周中国贸易谈判中关于结构性或知识产权保护问题方面看不到什么进展。

。来自中国的数据显示,12月份进口同比下降7.6%,而分析师预计进口量增长5%。 出口下降4.4%,预期为3%的增长。

。欧元区工业产出数据显示近三年来最大跌幅。

。根据加州住房研究和分析公司(John Burns Real Estate Consulting)编制的数据,12月份新建住宅的销售量较201712月下降了18%。

。预计公司盈利指引将在这个财报季节降低。

SP 500在其50日均线2631水平面临关键阻力。

。最近的市场反弹虽然强劲,但成交量下降显示这只是空头回补反弹,而不是牛市表现。



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