Tuesday, January 8, 2019

美股主要指数遇上阻力回落 Major US Stock Indices Hit Resistance And Retrace

由于对中美贸易协议持乐观态度,主要股市指数开市大幅上涨。 道指一度上涨超过300点。 此后市场回撤了大部分早上涨幅。

高盛预计半导体公司在2019年将是另一个充满挑战的一年,特别是在上半年。 半导体资本设备公司的负面影响会最小,因为股价似乎已经反影了利空。 半导体行业ETF SMH目前下跌1.50%。 其他行业,如生物技术,零售和金融业也在昨天强劲反弹后获利了结,现在它们都在跌。

从技术面来看,主要市场指数早些时候反弹到或接近它们的斐波那契50%反弹水平,现在则低于这些水评。 这些水平是强大的阻力并明显的受到尊重。 如要市场继续上行,这些水平需要克服。 这些水平是道琼斯23856,标准普尔500 2573,纳斯达克6840和罗素2000 1461。

Major stock market indices rallied sharply at the open on optimism of a US-China trade deal. Dow was at one point up more than 300 points. The market has since retraced most of its earlier gain.
Goldman Sachs expects 2019 to be another challenging year for semiconductor companies particularly in the first half of year. Firm is least negative on semiconductor capital equipment companies as the stocks already seem to be pricing in a down turn. Semiconductor sector ETF SMH is now down 1.30%. Other sectors such as biotech, retails and financials are also subject of profit taking after strong rally yesterday and they are also down this morning.

Technically, major market indices rallied pass or near their Fibonacci  50% bounce levels earlier and are now below them. These levels are strong resistances and are being respected. In order for the market to continue its upside move, these levels need to be overcome. These levels are Dow 23856, S&P 500 2573, Nasdaq 6840 and Russell 2000 1461.

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