美股今天或已见底 US Stock Market May Have Already Bottomed For The Day

中国的工厂活动在12月份进入收缩水平。其他亚洲国家，如韩国，台湾，新加坡和马来西亚均报出疲弱数据。最新的欧元区制造业数据也显示12月份放缓。亚洲股市下跌但欧洲股市均已从跌转升。美股在2019年的第一个交易日开盘走低。道指今早曾一度下跌399点。这是自1989年以来最糟糕的新年开盘。然而，除了道指及标普还分别下跌60点及3点外，纳指及罗素2000现在都已经从跌转升。

原油价格走高帮助石油股ETF OIH上涨2.6％。半导体ETF SMH和零售业ETF XRT今日表现强劲，均上涨约多于1％。市场龙头股如AMZN，FB，QCOM，NVDA，GS，IBM的强势也在支持市场上升。小型股指数罗素2000指数大幅反弹表明1月效应正在发挥作用。

美国股市今天看来已经见底，或会走强到收市。由于来自世界各地的经济数据的弱势似乎是由中美之间的贸易战所引起，市场情绪是美国和中国现在将被迫做出贸易妥协。


Factory activity in china shrank in December to contraction level . Other asian countries such as Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Malaysia also reported weak data. The latest Eurozone manufacturing data also indicates slow down in December. Asian and European stock markets are down.  Us stock market opened lower on the first trading day of 2019. Dow was down 399 points earlier this morning. It is the worst new year market open since 1989. However, Only the Dow and S&P 500 are still down 60 points and 3 points respectively, the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 have now risen from the morning fall.

Crude oil price is trading higher helped oil stock sector ETF OIH rising 2%. Semiconductor ETF SMH and Retail sector ETF XRT are strong today, both up more than 1% . Strength in market leaders such AMZN, FB, QCOM, NVDA, GS, IBM also supporting market. Small Cap index Russell 2000 bouncing aggressively is indicative of January Effect at work.

US stock market looks already bottomed for today, look for further strength towards the close. Since economic data from around the world are weak seemingly caused by trade war between US and China, market sentiment is that both US and China are now forced to make a trade deal.