美股上升但是谨慎的时候了 Market Is Up But It's Time To Be Cautious

今天上午主要股指已经经历了上涨，下跌和上涨的周期，现在正在上涨。道指，标准普尔500指数，纳斯达克指数和罗素2000指数分别上涨0.55％，0.50％，0.85％和0.56％。强劲的石油，半导体，零售和社交媒体类股正在推动整体市场向上。主要市场指数正走向它们的50天移动平均线水平。它们是道指24451，标准普尔500 2637，纳斯达克7013和罗素2000 1456. 在6959，纳斯达克仅0.7％低于它的50日均线。由于50天移动平均线是指数上升趋势和下降趋的临界线，所以这是一个非常重要的水平。通常交易者在指数接近这些水平时会非常谨慎而卖股，特别是在从底部上涨超过10％之后。在达到这些水平之前卖出部分或全部多头头寸是明智的。尽管这样说，zerohedge.com援引野村证券的跨资产策略师Charlie McElligott的话说，”由于资金普遍在股票投资上的不足，在错过Beta领涨后将被“逼入”股市“。这可能会在各大指数突破50日均线之后发生吧。


This morning major stock indexes has gone through an up, down and up cycle and is now up. Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq and Russell 2000 are now up 0.55%, 0.50%, 0.85% and 0.56% respectively. Stong oil, semiconductor, retail and social media stocks are driving the general market up. Major market indexes are on course to challenge their 50 Day Moving Average levels. They are Dow 24451, S&P 500 2637, Nasdaq 7013 and Russell 2000 1456. At 6959, Nasdaq is only 0.7% away. Since 50 Day Moving Average is the line dividing uptrend and downtrend of the index, so it's a very important level. Normally traders will be very cautious as the indexes approaching these levels especially after a more than 10% up move from the bottom. It would be prudent to get out of portion or all of the long positions before these levels are reached. That said, zerohedge.com cited Nomura's cross-asset strategist Charlie McElligott said widespread under-positioning in Equities which will be “forced-in” after missing this Beta-led rally.  Still, I would get out positions first and get back in when the 50 Day Moving Averages are broken to the upside. This may happen after major market indexes breaking out of their 50 Day Moving Averages.