Monday, January 14, 2019

Closing Market Comment 尾盘市场评论

With only 35 minutes  to go before closing, major market indexes performances are as follows: Dow -50, S&P 500 -8.5, Nasdaq -41.5 and Russell 2000 -8.  Crude oil is down 1.96% at 50.59.  Nasdaq leader stock such as AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, MSFT, TSLA, NFLX and INTC are all down more than 1%. However, financials are strong after Citigroup's profit beat and revenue miss ,up 0.7%.

It has been another narrowly traded consolidation day. Major market indexes have been trying to break above their resistances at Dow 24000, S&P 500 2600, Nasdaq 7003 and Russell 2000 1454 and so far to no avail. It has been 4 days that major indexes have tried to break, the longer they are not able to, the more discourage investors would be. And they may start to sell and drive the market down. I think the time to resolve either up or down to the market is very close and I believe down is the likely direction. Remember, the 3 most important factors are stopping the market from breaking out ,they are slowing global economy, likely disappointing earning reports and heavy overhead technical resistances.  I am holding my bearish view until something changes.


在收盘前35分钟,主要市场指数表现如下:道指-50,标准普尔500 -8.5,纳斯达克-41.5和罗素2000 -8。 原油下跌1.96%至50.59。 纳斯达克的龙头股票如AAPL,AMZN,GOOGL,MSFT,TSLA,NFLX和INTC都下跌超过1%。 然而,在花旗集团的利润超过估计和营业额低于预期后,金融股却反转走强,上涨0.7%。

今天又是一个窄幅整理的日子。主要市场指数近日一直试图突破道指24000,标准普尔500指数2600,纳斯达克7003和罗素2000 1454的阻力位,迄今为止仍是无济于事。4天来主要股指曾试图突破,无法实现的时间越长,投资者就会越沮丧。这样的话他们可能就会开始抛售并推动市场下滑。 我认为解决上涨或下跌的时间已经非常接近,我认为下行是可能的方向。 请记住,3个阻止市场突破的最重要因素是,全球经济在放缓,可能令人失望的盈利报告和严重的技术阻力就在前头。 在看到一些改变化之前,我还是保持看跌观点。

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