Wednesday, January 16, 2019

Mid Day Market Comment 美股中盘评论

After initial strengths driven by earning beats by Goldman Sachs (GS) and Bank Of America (BAC),
major market indexes have been retreating form their morning highs. The morning highs for indexes are: Dow 24248, S&P 500 2624, Nasdaq 7080, Russell 2000 1460. At 10:16 Pacific Time, they are trading at 24205, 2618, 7040 and 1452 respectively. Strong sectors are: Financial XLF and Materials IYM. However, Semiconductor SMH , Biotech IBB and Software IGV sectors have now turned from up to down. VXX is up in the face of S&P500 up 0.3% indicates investors are buying protections for the downside.

At its morning high, S&P 500 is only 4 points away from its 50 day moving average resistance at 2628. By backing away from 2628, investors may take it as a failure in testing the 50 day moving average. After close to 12% surge from December low, the S&P 500 need a rest. The 2628 level is hard to cross over without further good news.  Major tech earnings will not be reported until the week of January 28. So no big driver for the market until then and it's a natural time for the market to correct. On the negative side, Netflix (NFLX) earning tomorrow may usher in profit taking on the stock regardless of its result since it has rallied over 54% from December low. This may be a trigger for a market sell off.


在高盛(GS)和美国银行(BAC)财报好于预期的推动美股开市上升,但主要市场指数已从早盘高位回落。各大指数的早盘高位为:道指24248,标准普尔500 2624,纳斯达克7080,罗素2000 1460。太平洋时间10点16分,它们的交易价格分别为24205,2618,7040和1452。强势行业是:金融XLF和材料IYM。然而,半导体SMH,生物技术IBB和软件IGV板块现在已经从上升到下降。面对标准普尔500指数的上升0.34%,VXX指数也上涨显示投资者正在购买美股下行保护。

标准普尔500指数早上高位距离其50日均线阻力位2628只有4点。从2628点回落,投资者可能会将其视为测试50日均线的失败。从12月低点飙升近12%后,标准普尔500指数的涨势需要休息。在没有进一步的好消息的情况下,2628水平很难跨越。直到1月28日这一周,主要的科技公司财报才会发报。因此,在此之前市场没有大的推动新闻,这是市场下跌调整最合适的时间。从另一方面来看,Netflix(NFLX)明天的财报无论其结果如何可能都会带来股票的获利回吐,因为它已经从12月的低点反弹超过54%。这可能会是市场抛售的触发因素。

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