对股市利好的发展 Developments That Are Positive For The Stock Market

1. 中国和美国将于1月7日至8日举行副部长级贸易谈判。分析师现在预计这两个经济巨头将在争议中找到一些共同点，其动力可能来自双方疲软的股市。

2. 中国总理李克强进一步表示放松政策和支持小企业。上证指数反弹2.05％。

3. 一个月前，联邦基金期货显示至少有一次加息的可能性为72.9％, 现在则只有38.9％的几率。美国经济衰退甚至经济不景气的风险已导致联邦基金期货投资者对利率预期的转变，现在显示年底减息的可能性为40％。

4. 随着石油输出国组织（OPEC）去年年底宣布减产快将开始实行，石油期货价格可望得到支撑。石油输出国组织，俄罗斯和其他非成员国去年12月同意2019年将从2018年10月的水平每天减产120万桶。石油输出国组织减产的份额为80万桶/日。


1. China and the United States will hold deputy ministerial trade negotiations from January 7th to 8th. Analysts now expect the two economic giants to find some common ground in the controversy, which may be driven by weak stock markets.

2. Chinese Premier Li Keqiang expressed his policy of further easing and support for small businesses. The Shanghai Composite Index rebounded by 1.4%.

3. A month ago, Fed Fund futures showed a 72.9% chance of raising interest rates at least once, and now there is only a 38.9% chance. The risk of a recession in the US and even the economic downturn has led to changes in interest rate expectations for federal funds futures investors, and now shows a 40% chance of a rate cut at the end of the year.

4. As the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) at the end of last year announced production cuts will begin soon , oil futures prices are expected to be supported. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, Russia and other non-member states agreed in December last year that they would reduce production by 1.2 million barrels per day from the 2018 level in 2019. The OPEC’s share of production reduction is 800,000 barrels per day.