Tuesday, January 1, 2019

对明日股市的利好消息 Good News For Tomorrow's Stock Market

以下是对1月2日股市重开的一些好消息:

1.许多分析师表示,市场最大的担忧是贸易战和美联储通过加息以及缩减资产负债表的“紧缩” 计划。一些策略师表示,如果这两个最严重的担忧在2019年得到解决,对股市来说可能会是非常好的一年。

2.根据芝加哥商品交易所的Fedwatch工具,2019年加息的可能性如下:1/30 13%,3/20 5.1%,5/1 7.9%,6/19 15.1%,7/31 14.8%, 9/18 20.4%,10/30 20%,12/11 19.5%1。

3.唐纳德·特朗普总统邀请国会高层领导人参加白宫关于边境安全的简报会,此举表明他可能愿意达成协议,以结束迄今为止持续11天的部分政府停工。

4.习近平主席说:“我愿意与特朗普总统共同努力,实现我们共同努力推进中美关系和稳定关系的共识,以便更好地造福两国人民和世界其他地方的人。“

5. 没有坏消息。


Here are some good news for the stock market when market opens January 2:

1. According to many analyst, the market’s biggest worries are trade wars and Fed ‘tightening’ through rate hikes and its program to shrink its balance sheet. If these two worst fears are resolved in 2019, it could be a very good year for stocks, some strategists say.

2. According to CME's Fedwatch Tool, the chance of a rate hike during 2019 are as follows: 1/30 13%, 3/20 5.1%, 5/1 7.9%, 6/19 15.1%, 7/31 14.8%, 9/18 20.4%,10/30 20%, 12/11 19.5%1.

3. President Donald Trump invites top congressional leaders to a White House briefing on border security, a move suggesting he may be ready to make a deal to end the partial government shutdown that's lasted 11 days so far.

4. President Xi Jin Ping said: "I am willing to work with President Trump to implement the consensus we have reached in a joint effort to advance China-U.S. relations featuring coordination and stability so as to better benefit the two peoples as well as the people of the rest of the world."

5. No bad news.

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