美股尾盘评论 Closing Market Comment

Major indices have rallied from their openings much lower levels with Nasdaq and Russell 2000 now positive and Dow and S&P 500 have recovered most of their morning drop . Worse then expected December manufacture data released from all over the world brought fear to the market early in the trading day. But sentiment quickly changed from fear to optimistic as bad economic data may be positive for US and China to strike a deal on trade negotiation. The thinking of weak economy may stop the Fed from raising interest rate (CME Fed watch tool indicates no hike in 2019) also helps. January Effect buying will likely be another driver for higher market near term. Technically, major indices have been consolidating their recent sharp move up positively and may be ready for another up leg before coming back down to test December lows. Major indices may recover up 50% of their December drop which means approximately Dow 2400, S&P 500 2600 and Nasdaq 6800 levels.


主要股指从开盘的低水平上涨回来，纳斯达克和罗素2000现在正面，而道琼斯指数和标准普尔500指数则从早盘低点大幅反弹。 12月份全球发布的制造业数据坏于预期在早盘给市场带来恐慌。 但由于糟糕的经济数据可能对美国和中国达成贸易谈判协议有利，因此情绪迅速从恐惧变为乐观。另外，经济疲软的想法可能会阻止美联储加息（CME Fed监测工具显示2019年加息的机会微）也有所帮助。 1月效应买盘可能是近期上涨行情的另一个推动因素。 从技术面来看，主要市场指数一直在正面的整理近期的大幅上涨，并可能准备迎接另一个上涨行情，然后再重探12月低点。 主要股指可能会向上收复12月跌幅的50％，这意味着大约会到道指2400，标准普尔500 2600和纳斯达克6800水平。