Wednesday, January 16, 2019

US Stocks Are Ready To Correct 美股面临下跌调整


US stock market is ready to come down because:

1. S&P 500 is overbought after close to 12% surge in only 3 weeks time. Stochastic index is at the 96 extreme overbought level.

2. S&P 500 is facing the formidable 50 day moving average resistance at 2628.

3. S&P 500 has formed a tail reversal down pattern  after climbing to only 3 points away from 2628. This is a failed attempt to break above its 50 day moving average.

4. Many worries are still around such as slowing economy, US-China trade negotiation, government shut down and worrisome corporate earning reports etc.

S&P 500 is likely to start a downside correction from here and downside target is at least a 38% retracement of its recent bounce range. This level is 2521 and the 20 day moving average support also happen to be at the same level.







美国股市面临跌调整,因为:

1。标准普尔500指数在仅仅3周时间内急升接近12%的涨幅后已达超买。 随机指数处于96的极端超买水平。

2。标准普尔500指数面临令人生畏的50日均线阻力位2628水平。

3。标准普尔500指数在攀升至只差3点便到2628点后形成长上影线反转下行格局。这是一次突破50日均线的尝试失败。

4。许多担忧仍然存在,如经济放缓,美中贸易谈判,政府关闭和不被看好的企业盈利报告等。

标准普尔500指数很可能从这里开始下行修正,而下行目标至少是其近期反弹幅度的38%回撤水平。 该水平为2521,20日均线支撑也恰好处于同一水平。



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