This blog follows the US stock market daily. Free market news, market comments, stock charts, stock and options buy/sell suggestions are provided throughout the day.
Wednesday, January 16, 2019
US Stocks Are Ready To Correct 美股面临下跌调整
US stock market is ready to come down because:
1. S&P 500 is overbought after close to 12% surge in only 3 weeks time. Stochastic index is at the 96 extreme overbought level.
2. S&P 500 is facing the formidable 50 day moving average resistance at 2628.
3. S&P 500 has formed a tail reversal down pattern after climbing to only 3 points away from 2628. This is a failed attempt to break above its 50 day moving average.
4. Many worries are still around such as slowing economy, US-China trade negotiation, government shut down and worrisome corporate earning reports etc.
S&P 500 is likely to start a downside correction from here and downside target is at least a 38% retracement of its recent bounce range. This level is 2521 and the 20 day moving average support also happen to be at the same level.
美国股市面临跌调整,因为:
1。标准普尔500指数在仅仅3周时间内急升接近12%的涨幅后已达超买。 随机指数处于96的极端超买水平。
2。标准普尔500指数面临令人生畏的50日均线阻力位2628水平。
3。标准普尔500指数在攀升至只差3点便到2628点后形成长上影线反转下行格局。这是一次突破50日均线的尝试失败。
4。许多担忧仍然存在,如经济放缓,美中贸易谈判,政府关闭和不被看好的企业盈利报告等。
标准普尔500指数很可能从这里开始下行修正,而下行目标至少是其近期反弹幅度的38%回撤水平。 该水平为2521,20日均线支撑也恰好处于同一水平。
Contact Email: tradeideablog@gmail.com
U.C. Berkeley graduated, former electronic/computer engineer turned investment advisor / analyst. In the market 42 years with focus in market timing, learned from experience to trust charts,combine with trend, valuation, news and investors sentiment in making trading decisions,, knowing anything can happen to the market so very flexible to trade both sides of the market. 1992 CNBC/USA Today Investment Challenge professional options division champ with 3 month return of 1125%. In real life trading accomplished 9600% return by trading TZA options in the course of 3 months, doubled account value in 3 months by trading 3X ETFs. Now retired and enjoy trading stock and options daily. On going partnership with Sing Tao Daily and Sing Tao Radios in offering advanced stock and options trading classes semi-annually.
联系Email:tradeideablog@gmail.com
伯克利加州大学毕业,前电子/计算机工程师转为财务顾问/股市分析师。 在市场42年,专注于参与市场时机。从经验中学到信任图表,结合趋势、估值、新闻和投资者情绪做出交易决策。知道任何事情都可能发生在市场上,因此非常灵活地参与买涨及做空,参与市场的两个方向。 1992年CNBC /今日美国日报投资挑战赛专业期权组冠军,3个月回报率为1125%。 在现实生活中,通过在3个月内交易TZA期权获得9600%的回报,通过交易3X ETF在3个月内使账户价值翻倍。 现在退休,享受每日交易股票和期权。 与星岛日报和星岛电台合作,每半年提供一次深入的股票和期权交易课程。
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